Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter/X and LineStar Chat.

• Rate LineStarApp on the App store and get a shoutout on Twitter from @LineStarApp official account!

• Have questions? Check out the LineStar Tutorial Wiki.

• LineStar’s 2025 MLB DFS Primer & Strategy Guide ⚾

Top DFS Offers 9/26/25 💸

Our editors found the top deals in sports books so you don’t have to! Tapping the links below will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

Offers for new users only, additional terms and conditions may apply — see operator site for full details. Must be 18+ (some states may require 21+) and be present in an eligible state; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

LineStar MLB DFS & Prop Bet Shows 🎙️

Like, Subscribe, and Comment @ LineStar YouTube channel! You never know when we’ll shout you out or give you something cool. New episodes drop Mon-Fri feat. host Tyler Wiemann! Every episode is quick, informative, & easy to watch.

Main Slate Rundown 🏟

The final regular season Friday has arrived, and, like all Fridays for the previous six months, we’ll be looking at a loaded slate with 12 games on the docket! With the season winding down, be sure to exercise some added caution over these next three days since many teams that have nothing left to play for will be quick to pull some of their starters, or they may roll out a "watered down" lineup to begin with. If anyone reading this is looking to shut down their MLB DFS ventures to focus on other sports, I’d just like to say thank you for reading this season! It’s been a fun one!

Since there are no weekend MLB newsletters, this will be the final write-up of the regular season, but, time and interest permitting, I may put together a few postseason newsletters for any (Mon-Fri) slate that features four games. Then we’ll come back with some showdown newsletters for the World Series.

Best of luck!

MLB Playoff Standings

MLB Playoff Odds (Via FanGraphs)

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

💣9/26 Dinger Report💣

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected HR odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• PIT at ATL (7:15 ET, 8.5 O/U): Some scattered storms will be in the ATL area tonight. If one pops over the ballpark, a delay would likely follow. And if they happen to be more widespread storms, a PPD cannot fully be ruled out. This will be the only game with any notable risk today.

• KC at ATH (10:05 ET, 10.5 O/U): Mid-80s to start with 5-10 mph winds OUT to left.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Quinn Priester (RHP), MIL | DK: $8.5k, FD: $9k | vs. CIN

This is a slightly volatile suggestion as the Brewers have solidified the #1 overall seed in the NL playoffs. They also have several key pitchers, both starters and relievers, on the IL, so Milwaukee may exercise some caution with Priester’s workload tonight. But, assuming he still throws around 80-90 pitches this evening, Priester will set up as an appealing option. He’s been very sharp over his last four starts, pitching to a 2.25 ERA, 3.30 xFIP, 0.96 WHIP, 25.5% kRate, and 4.3% BB%. His statcast data over the last month is filled with green (good) figures, including an 84.1 mph average exit velo (top 95th percentile), 141.6 feet average batted ball distance (top 85%), and a low 23.8% HardContact%. The Brewers (-170 ML) are also the third-heaviest favorites on the slate.

The Reds are still clinging to hope for a playoff berth, but their odds of making the postseason are dwindling. They do not control their own destiny, as they’re a game back from the Mets for the final NL Wild Card spot entering the weekend. So, this is very much a must-win game for them, especially considering that the Mets will play a less competitive Marlins team in their season series finale. But just because an offense is desperate for victory does not mean they’ll come through in the end. The Reds have been a bottom-10 offense versus RHPs over the last month, and they’ve also posted the 6th highest kRate (25.8%) in that span as well.

Slade Cecconi (RHP), CLE | DK: $8k, FD: $8.8k | vs. TEX

The Guardians’ magic number currently sits at two, and, with a win plus an Astros loss tonight, they will clinch a playoff berth. So there is plenty to play for in Cleveland this evening. The Guardians’ starting rotation has been killer in the month of September, and Cecconi has chipped in a few excellent outings of his own. Over his last three starts (20.2 IP), Cecconi has boasted a 0.87 ERA, 3.90 xFIP, .091 opp AVG, .150 opp wOBA, 0.53 WHIP, and 21.1% kRate. He has certainly pitched above his head, based on the 3.90 xFIP, and the strikeout rate hasn’t been amazing. But the results have been there, nonetheless.

Meanwhile, the Rangers have nothing to play for, and we’ll likely see a rather “scrubby” starting lineup from them tonight. They have several key bats (Seager, Langford, Semien, E. Carter) on the IL, to begin with, and I’d be surprised if we see someone like Adolis Garcia in the lineup as well. Against RHPs L2Weeks, the Rangers have ranked 25th or worse in OPS (.598), wOBA (.266), ISO (.100), and wRC+ (69), while hovering around league-average in the kRate department (21.7%). It’s not as if the guys who will be in the Rangers’ lineup tonight will have zero desire to hit the ball, but that doesn’t negate the fact that it is going to be a pretty watered-down MLB batting order.

Joey Wentz (LHP), ATL | DK: $6k, FD: $8k | vs. PIT

Reminder: Monitor the weather here.

As long as the weather looks cooperative in Atlanta this evening, Wentz will make some sense as a value SP option, particularly on DraftKings as an SP2 candidate. Neither team in this game is making the postseason, but that doesn’t mean that a fringe MLB player like Wentz won’t look to end his season on a high note in hopes of sticking around on the Braves’ roster or another MLB team’s roster next year. Wentz has bounced around from three MLB teams this season (PIT, MIN, ATL). Since coming over to the Braves, he has been a serviceable, albeit inconsistent, starting pitcher. Across 13 games and 60.0 IP with Atlanta this year, Wentz has provided a 4.65 ERA, 3.87 xFIP, 1.35 WHIP, 0.80 HR/9 Rate, and 23.8% kRate. Nothing amazing, but he has been a touch unlucky, given that his xFIP is nearly a run lower than his ERA. Wentz has also posted an above-average strikeout rate and has done a good job at limiting home runs.

Wentz will draw a very favorable matchup as the woeful Pirates’ offense heads in ranking 28th or worse in AVG (.213), OPS (.608), wOBA (.274), ISO (.087), and wRC+ (72) against LHPs over the last month. They’ve also posted the 8th-highest kRate (26.6%) in that span. Again, keep an eye on the weather for this game, but if things look clear, Wentz could work out nicely.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Shane Bieber (RHP), TOR | DK: $9.8k, FD: $9.4k | vs. TB

Will Warren (RHP), NYY | DK: $7.4k, FD: $8.1k | vs. BAL

Brandon Sproat (RHP), NYM | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8.7k | at MIA

Jason Alexander (RHP), HOU | DK: $6.5k, FD: $7.7k | at LAA

Trevor McDonald (RHP), SF | DK: $4k, FD: $6k | vs. COL

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Kansas City Royals vs. Mason Barnett (RHP), ATH

By most key offensive metrics, the Royals have been a top-3 offense versus RHPs L2Weeks (358 PAs): .305 AVG (1st), .875 OPS (3rd), .375 wOBA (3rd), 140 wRC+ (3rd), and 15.6% kRate (1st). They’ve also had excellent pop with a .209 ISO in that span (ranks 6th). No postseason for this Royals team, but there’s no question that they’d be a dangerous opponent to face in the playoffs, if they started today.

Mason Barnett, a 24-year-old righty, does check in as the A’s #6 prospect (per FanGraphs), but he will be making just his fifth big league start. Outside of a nice showing versus the strikeout-happy Angels offense, the results have not been great for Barnett since coming over to the MLB level: 7.56 ERA, 5.63 xFIP, 1.92 WHIP, .319 opp AVG, 43.9% HardHit%, 18.3% kRate, and 11.0% BB%. Sutter Health Park has been one of the best hitter-friendly parks this season, and the hitting conditions in West Sacramento are arguably the best on the slate, hence the 10.5 over/under.

Favorite KC Bats: Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, Salvador Perez

Bargain Bat: Carter Jensen

San Francisco Giants vs. German Marquez (RHP), COL

The Giants have not made the stack section often this year, but facing the Rockies and their awful pitching staff tends to be the tide that raises all ships. Over his last eight starts, German Marquez has struggled to an 8.38 ERA, 5.91 xFIP, 1.94 WHIP, .348 opp AVG, .444 opp wOBA, 2.60 HR/9 Rate, and 11.4% kRate. Tragic. Marquez has also allowed 17 barreled balls over the last month (bottom 5th percentile) and an average exit velo of 92.6 mph (bottom 5%).

The Giants have cooled off from their hot stretch in late-August/early-September, but there is a decent chance they’ll get the bats going again versus Marquez and a bad Rockies’ bullpen.

Favorite SF Bats: Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers, Heliot Ramos

Bargain Bats: Patrick Bailey, Bryce Eldridge

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Atlanta Braves vs. Mitch Keller (RHP), PIT

Every hitter in the confirmed Braves lineup has a < 10% pOwn%. Before their one-run loss to the Nats on Wednesday, the Braves had ripped off an impressive, but rather meaningless, 10-game win streak. It was too little too late for an Atlanta team that will miss the playoffs by about a half-dozen games, but at least they’re still swinging away with some conviction. Against RHPs since the start of that win streak (Sept. 14th), the Braves have put up a .294 AVG (ranks 3rd), .946 OPS (1st), .402 wOBA (1st), .273 ISO (1st), 161 wRC+ (2nd), and 18.0% kRate (2nd). The Braves don’t usually find themselves sitting on the couch in October, so there is something to be said about finishing this lost season on a high note in preparation for a bounce-back 2026 campaign.

Mitch Keller will make his final start of the year this evening. He has been pitching pretty well over his last five starts -- 3.58 ERA, 3.37 xFIP, 0.87 WHIP, 25.7% kRate, and 3.7% BB%. However, he has been plagued by the long ball over that stretch, giving up six bombs, which equates to a 2.00 HR/9 Rate. The nine barreled balls he has allowed over the last month also put him in the bottom 10th percentile of pitchers. There is also no need for the Pirates to push Keller at this point in the season, and he has only averaged 82.2 pitches/gm in those last five starts. So, weather in Atlanta permitting, we’ll see if the Braves can close out their disappointing season with a bang.

Favorite ATL Bats: Ronald Acuña Jr., Drake Baldwin, Matt Olson

Bargain Bats: Marcell Ozuna, Ha-Seong Kim, Michael Harris II

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter/X. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet for your chance to win prizes!

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for a month of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus deposit match for new customers.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!