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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

We have another strong slate lined up with 10 games on the Tuesday docket! Pitching is strong, overall, with multiple aces on the mound along with some worthy value arms. On the flip side, offense may be a little difficult to come by. The quality of pitching plays a key part in that, but temps are also cooling in many places across the country, so we’re seeing fewer ballparks with positive hitting weather. Only six teams have an implied run total over 4.5 runs, with two of those predictably being the Coors Field teams. Similar to yesterday, the only potential trouble spot for weather will be in the MIL at ATL game. It’s going to be a tricky slate to break down, but here’s to cracking the code! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

💣8/5 Dinger Report💣

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected HR odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• KC at BOS (7:10 ET, 8.0 O/U): Cooler temps around 70 degrees with ~5 mph winds IN from right.

• MIL at ATL (7:15 ET, 7.5 O/U): Once again, this is the one potential trouble spot on the slate. Scattered showers are expected in the general area tonight. Unlike last night, the ballpark probably won’t be lucky enough to avoid the rain entirely. I don’t see a ton of PPD risk here, but there is a decent likelihood of a delay. Worth checking the radar closer to gametime.

• CIN at CHC (8:05 ET, 7.5 O/U): 5-10 mph winds IN from center at the wind-sensitive Wrigley Field.

• TOR at COL (8:40 ET, 11.5 O/U): Hot temps in the upper 90s to start. 10 mph winds, but they’ll generally be blowing left-to-right.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Garrett Crochet (LHP), BOS | DK: $10.9k, FD: $11k | vs. KC

A strong case can be made for a handful of high-priced arms today, but you can rarely go wrong by simply paying up for Garrett Crochet. He’s having a stellar 2025 campaign, ranking 3rd among all qualified MLB pitchers in ERA (2.23), xFIP (2.68), and kRate (31.0%). He’s also 2nd in MLB, behind only Tarik Skubal, with a 114 Stuff+ rating, indicating elite pitch quality. Looking at the statcast data over the last month, he’s generating a ton of soft contact while also doing a great job at keeping balls on the ground.

The Royals head into this game with a .196 AVG, .640 OPS, 77 wRC+, and 25.0% kRate against LHPs L2Weeks. Normally, they’ve been a tough team to strike out against, but not so much lately against lefties. Outside of Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia, every hitter in the projected Royals lineup has a < .315 wOBA versus LHPs this season. So it’s a strong matchup for Crochet tonight, and the Red Sox (-250 ML) are also massive favorites.

Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX | DK: $9.7k, FD: $10.2k | vs. NYY

We’ll divvy out another spotlight to a top-flight pitcher in Nathan Eovaldi. He has missed time due to injury this season, but among pitchers with at least 100.0 IP under their belt this season, Eovaldi sits atop the ERA rankings with a minuscule 1.49 ERA. He also owns the second-lowest WHIP (0.89) and 6th-lowest xFIP (2.90). Over his last five starts, he has boasted a 0.59 ERA, 3.06 xFIP, 0.95 WHIP, 26.1% kRate, and he has allowed just a single barreled ball over the last month.

The Yankees head into tonight on a four-game losing skid, and the offense has been stuck in neutral at times recently. They’ve put up an exact league average 100 wRC+ against RHPs L2Weeks while hitting for a paltry .217 AVG with a 24.6% kRate. In 125 plate appearances versus Eovaldi, the current NYY roster owns a .233 AVG, .281 wOBA, and 30.4% kRate. They will be getting Aaron Judge back in the mix following a 10-day stint on the IL due to an elbow injury. That’s a significant boost for this lineup and a potential hit to Eovaldi’s upside. That said, I could see Eovaldi going a bit under-owned with several other aces on the board today, so he makes a great deal of sense if you’re looking for some leverage at the SP position.

Yu Darvish (RHP), SD | DK: $6.1k, FD: $8.1k | at ARI

Darvish got a late jump on the season and didn’t make his 2025 debut until June 7th due to an elbow injury. The first four starts of his season didn’t go over well whatsoever, but we saw a vintage Darvish performance in his most recent outing against the Mets, where he needed just 76 pitches to clear seven full innings while allowing just two hits, zero walks, and zero runs with seven strikeouts. Darvish’s 6.46 ERA across his five starts may not be pretty, but his 3.80 xERA tells us that he has had his fair share of bad luck and hasn’t pitched as poorly as the ERA would indicate. His last outing will be difficult to replicate, but perhaps it’s at least a sign that Darvish is turning a corner and has knocked off the bulk of the rust.

For much of this season, the D-Backs would represent a “stay away” matchup when it comes to rostering opposing pitchers. But they traded away a couple of their best bats (Eugenio Suarez & Josh Naylor) ahead of the deadline and have posted some lackluster numbers against right-handed pitchers recently. Against RHPs L2Weeks, the D-Backs have put up the 6th lowest OPS (.659), 4th lowest wOBA (.291), and 4th lowest wRC+ (84) while striking out at an above-average rate (22.8% kRate). So the D-Backs matchup just isn’t very scary at the moment, and, at least on DraftKings, where he is the second-cheapest SP on the board, Yu Darvish should command some real consideration.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA | DK: $10.4k, FD: $10.1k | vs. CWS

Freddy Peralta (RHP), MIL | DK: $10k, FD: $9.6k | at ATL

Shota Imanaga (LHP), CHC | DK: $8.9k, FD: $8.9k | vs. CIN

Jose Soriano (RHP), LAA | DK: $7.6k, FD: $8.7k | vs. TB

Emmet Sheehan (RHP), LAD | DK: $7.2k, FD: $8.5k | vs. STL

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Anthony Molina (RHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. Jose Berrios (RHP), TOR

Non-Coors Stacks

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miles Mikolas (RHP), STL

It was a pretty lackluster showing from this Dodgers’ lineup yesterday, but I don’t mind going back to them in what should be a better spot today. The Dodgers remain the #1 home offense in baseball (5.70 runs/gm), and they’re rocking an MLB-best .359 wOBA and 133 wRC+ versus RHPs at home this season.

Miles Mikolas hasn’t found a ton of success in recent months and, spanning his last 11 starts (56.2 IP), he’s struggled to a 6.04 ERA, .301 opp AVG, .376 opp wOBA, 2.40 HR/9 Rate, and 17.9% kRate. Across 105 PAs versus the current Dodgers’ roster, he has been tagged for a .309 AVG and .382 wOBA. The Cardinals’ bullpen has been a strength for them throughout the season, but if the Dodgers get to Mikolas early and often, then St. Louis will not have much ambition to deploy their top relievers.

Favorite LAD Bats: Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy

Bargain Bat: Miguel Rojas (or Alex Freeland, if Muncy is out)

Boston Red Sox vs. Ryan Bergert (RHP), KC

Boston has been a top 10 offense against RHPs L2Weeks as they’re sporting an .824 OPS, .350 wOBA, and 120 wRC+ in that span. They’ve also been their best at home this season, where they’ve ranked as the #2 home offense in baseball, averaging 5.29 runs/gm (versus 4.65 runs/gm away). Hitting conditions won’t be great today at Fenway, but, regardless, it’s still an easy ballpark to rack up extra base hits off the Green Monster or for lefty pull hitters to clear the short porch in right field.

The Royals will be debuting one of their recent trade acquisitions with Ryan Bergert on the mound this evening. Bergert pitched sparingly for the Padres this season, with 35.2 IP across 11 appearances. He pitched to a very respectable 2.78 ERA in that time, but his poor 4.77 xFIP tells us that he was extremely fortunate to post that sub-3 ERA. Walks have been an issue for Bergert this season (12.1% BB%), and he has put up some terrible statcast figures in his most recent starts. He has only made a pair of starts over the last month, but in those games, he allowed a huge 71.4% FlyBall%, a ton of hard contact, and an average exit velocity of 93.3 mph (bottom 5th percentile). The Royals’ bullpen is also fairly mediocre, so if Bergert goes down early, the Red Sox could still find some success in the later innings.

Favorite BOS Bats: Jarren Duran, Trevor Story, Alex Bregman

Bargain Bat: Wilyer Abreu

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Chicago White Sox vs. Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA

Every hitter in the projected White Sox lineup has a < 7% pOwn%. This is getting extra bold because Bryan Woo is a borderline ace-caliber pitcher, and T-Mobile Park has rated out as the 2nd least hitter-friendly ballpark this season. That being said, the White Sox have been a legitimately good offense since the All-Star Break. Against RHPs L2Weeks, they rank 6th or better in AVG (.294), OPS (.828), wOBA (.356), and wRC+ (129) while striking out at a low 15.6% clip, which is the lowest kRate in MLB in that span.

Bryan Woo has also not been on his A-game recently. He has a 5.40 ERA over his last three starts and has allowed six homers (2.90 HR/9 Rate) in that stretch with a .357 opp wOBA. The Mariners’ bullpen is one of the best in the biz, so it will be tough sledding even if Chicago can do some solid damage versus Woo. But I still don’t hate the idea of a mini CWS stack for leverage purposes.

Favorite CWS Bats: Colson Montgomery, Luis Robert Jr., Lenyn Sosa

Bargain Bat: Andrew Benintendi

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B Vlad Guerrero Jr., TOR vs. Anthony Molina (RHP), COL

3B Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. Clay Holmes (RHP), NYM

OF Corbin Carroll, ARI vs. Yu Darvish (RHP), SD

OF Aaron Judge, NYY vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX

OF Pete Crow-Armstrong, CHC vs. Zack Littell (RHP), CIN

C Hunter Goodman, COL vs. Jose Berrios (RHP), TOR

SS Bobby Witt Jr., KC vs. Garrett Crochet (LHP), BOS

1B Matt Olson, ATL vs. Freddy Peralta (RHP), MIL

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM vs. Logan Allen (RHP), CLE

OF Randy Arozarena, SEA vs. Davis Martin (RHP), CWS

1B Freddie Freeman, LAD vs. Miles Mikolas (RHP), STL

SS Corey Seager, TEX vs. Will Warren (RHP), NYY

OF Taylor Ward, LAA vs. Ryan Pepiot (RHP), TB

OF Jackson Merrill, SD vs. Ryne Nelson (RHP), ARI

2B Brandon Lowe, TB vs. Jose Soriano (RHP), LAA

OF Jarren Duran, BOS vs. Ryan Bergert (RHP), KC

2B Matt McLain, CIN vs. Shota Imanaga (LHP), CHC

1B Willson Contreras, STL vs. Emmet Sheehan (RHP), LAD

C William Contreras, MIL vs. Joey Wentz (LHP), ATL

Bargain Bats 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

1B Kyle Manzardo, CLE vs. Clay Holmes (RHP), NYM

1B Nolan Schanuel, LAA vs. Ryan Pepiot (RHP), TB

SS Trevor Story, BOS vs. Ryan Bergert (RHP), KC

2B/OF Davis Schneider, TOR vs. Anthony Molina (RHP), COL

3B/SS Colson Montgomery, CWS vs. Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA

1B Warming Bernabel, COL vs. Jose Berrios (RHP), TOR

OF Joey Loperfido, TOR vs. Anthony Molina (RHP), COL

2B Jorge Polanco, SEA vs. Davis Martin (RHP), CWS

OF Ramon Laureano, SD vs. Ryne Nelson (RHP), ARI

1B Andrew Vaughn, MIL vs. Joey Wentz (LHP), ATL

C Kyle Higashioka, TEX vs. Will Warren (RHP), NYY

OF Blake Perkins, MIL vs. Joey Wentz (LHP), ATL

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

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🔥 Props AI 🔥

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Best of luck out there today, everyone!