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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A busy MLB Tuesday rolls around with a dozen games lined up on the main slate docket! On the surface, today’s slate will set up a bit more balanced than yesterday’s… although, I say that, and what appeared to be a pitcher-centric Monday slate ended with nine teams scoring at least seven runs! Baseball does get a bit more unpredictable than usual at this time of the season, but, as always, we’ll see if we can crack the code today. Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

💣8/26 Dinger Report💣

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected HR odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• WAS at NYY (7:05 ET, 9.0 O/U): 5-10 mph winds OUT to right/center.

• PHI at NYM (7:10 ET, 8.0 O/U): 5-10 mph winds a bit left-to-right, a bit OUT to right.

• DET at ATH (10:05 ET, 11.0 O/U): Temps mostly in the 80s with 10 mph winds OUT to left. This is on par with the sort of forecast we’ve seen a lot in Sacramento this season and, once again, it represents the best hitting weather on the slate!

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Hunter Brown (RHP), HOU | DK: $11k, FD: $10.8k | vs. COL

Compared to the phenomenal start to his 2025 campaign, which had Brown near or at the top of the list in the Cy Young award race, he hasn’t been as dominant over the last couple of months. But he has remained rock-solid and held strong across a recent difficult five-start stretch where he faced the A’s, Red Sox (twice), Yankees, and Tigers. In those last five starts, Brown pitched to a sharp 1.50 ERA, 3.65 xFIP, .217 opp AVG, 1.10 WHIP, 21.8% kRate, and he allowed zero home runs. The kRate has been closer to league average lately, but he’s at an excellent 29.3% kRate on the season, and there is reason to believe he could get back on the strikeout wagon today.

The Rockies are showing signs of regressing back to their woeful hitting ways. They only managed to score a single run (on 13 combined hits) across their recent three-game road series against the Pirates. As usual, the Rockies tend to be a much worse offense when they’re on the road away from the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. They’ve easily been the worst road offense in baseball this season, averaging only 2.92 runs/gm. And, against RHPs on the road over the last month (350 plate appearances), they have mustered just a .206 AVG, .557 OPS, .246 wOBA, .101 ISO, 54 wRC+, and 24.0% kRate. They’ve been essentially half as productive as a league-average offense, based on that near-50 wRC+. This is also an extremely RHB-heavy lineup, which features eight RHBs in the confirmed lineup today. At home against RHBs this season, Hunter Brown has held those hitters to a minuscule .164 AVG and .198 wOBA with just a single home run given up (0.26 HR/9 Rate) to go alongside a strong 26.0% kRate and a low 4.9% BB%. The Astros (-367 ML) are landslide favorites tonight, so, with all things considered, this is as good a time as any for Brown to pop off for a ceiling game for the first time in a couple of months.

Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR | DK: $8.4k, FD: $9.2k | vs. MIN

Sometimes, when pitchers have noticeably different home/road splits, it can ultimately just be statistical ‘noise’. But, in the case of Chris Bassitt (+76.4% more FPPG at home), there seems to be some real legs to his splits. Here is a quick rundown:

Bassitt at Home (82.1 IP): 2.73 ERA, 3.37 xFIP, 1.20 WHIP, 0.98 HR/9 Rate, 25.7% kRate

Bassitt on Road (62.0 IP): 6.10 ERA, 4.33 xFIP, 1.52 WHIP, 1.74 HR/9 Rate, 19.1% kRate

The Blue Jays’ offense follows suit and has been the #2 home offense in baseball (5.34 runs/gm), so we can feel pretty good about Bassitt receiving some quality run support and positioning himself in line for the win bonus.

The Twins were able to put four runs up on Max Scherzer last night, but Matt Wallner (2 HR, 3 RBI) was the primary reason behind that. Minnesota has otherwise been a fairly poor offense against RHPs lately. Across 326 PAs versus RHPs L2Weeks, the Twins have a .215 AVG, .661 OPS, 86 wRC+, and 25.5% kRate. Each of those metrics ranks them 24th or worse in that span. The Blue Jays (-220 ML) are another huge favorite today, and we’ll go into this expecting to see the “good version” of Chris Bassitt.

Andre Pallante (RHP), STL | DK: $6k, FD: $6.4k | vs. PIT

We got a nice result from our spotlighted value pitcher yesterday (Jose Soriano), so perhaps we can start the week two-for-two if Andre Pallante can put forth a strong effort. Across 25 starts this season, Pallante has procured a poor 5.17 ERA. However, a much stronger 3.93 xFIP suggests that he has been the victim of some bad luck and/or poor defense. He isn’t much of a strikeout pitcher (15.8% kRate) but, rather, makes his living forcing a ton of groundball outs -- Pallante is 2nd among qualified MLB pitchers with a 60.9% GroundBall% this season.

The Pirates have been much more of a league-average offense, as opposed to a bottom-five offense, lately. They’ve posted a respectable .736 OPS, .320 wOBA, and 103 wRC+ against RHPs L2Weeks, which is solidly middle-of-the-pack. However, they have accounted for the second-highest GroundBall% (46.0%) over the last month, which could work in favor of Pallante’s ability to keep the ball on the ground for easy/easier outs. It’s a bit of a tough sell, but Pallante really has been a better pitcher than some of his surface stats would have you believe. There is a decent chance he puts up a quality start (6.0+ IP, ≤ 3 ER) this evening, perhaps with a handful of strikeouts along the way.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Jesus Luzardo (LHP), PHI | DK: $9k, FD: $10.3k | at NYM

Matthew Boyd (LHP), CHC | DK: $8.7k, FD: $10k | at SF

Yusei Kikuchi (LHP), LAA | DK: $8.3k, FD: $9.6k | at TEX

Luis Gil (RHP), NYY | DK: $8k, FD: $8.3k | vs. WAS

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Houston Astros vs. Tanner Gordon (RHP), COL

The Astros’ offense was slumping prior to their recent four-game series in Baltimore, where they combined for 28 runs on 41 hits. They also get a significant offensive piece back in the mix with Yordan Alvarez back in the lineup for the first time since May 2nd. Yordan was struggling before his hand injury, but he looked good in his brief four-game minor league rehab assignment, and he gets about as friendly a matchup as one could hope for upon returning from a lengthy injury absence.

Whether it’s been at Coors Field or on the road, Tanner Gordon has shown a propensity to get blown up. He has only made three road starts this season, but, in that time, he has been tagged for a 13.14 ERA, .419 opp AVG, .467 opp wOBA, 2.27 WHIP, 2.19 HR/9 Rate, and 40.3% Left-on-Base%. Awful stuff. Gordon will be backed up by one of the worst pens in the league, which has put up a 5.81 ERA and 1.55 WHIP over the last month.

Favorite HOU Bats: Jeremy Pena, Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez

Bargain Bats: Carlos Correa, Christian Walker

Los Angeles Angels vs. Patrick Corbin (LHP), TEX

Well, it seemed to be only a matter of time before Corbin’s decent season went off the rails, and it has been happening this month. Across his last four starts, Corbin has posted an 11.48 ERA, 6.57 xFIP, .424 opp AVG, .515 opp wOBA, 2.63 WHIP, 2.70 HR/9 Rate, 11.3% kRate, and 14.1% BB%. Yikes! Corbin did face some good and/or hot offenses in that stretch (NYY, PHI, TOR, KC), but he could also have some trouble with this pesky Angels lineup that has plenty of pop.

The Angels have put up some quality results against LHPs over the last month -- .824 OPS (ranks 7th), .348 wOBA (7th), .233 ISO (2nd), and 125 wRC+ (6th). They’ve had no major issues against Corbin in the past. Across 90 PAs versus Corbin, the current LAA roster owns a .361 AVG and .390 wOBA. The Rangers also have a bottom-10 bullpen over the last month, so, all-in-all, this should be a productive night for the Angels’ lineup, with a good chance at multiple dingers.

Favorite LAA Bats: Zach Neto, Taylor Ward, Jo Adell

Bargain Bat: Luis Rengifo

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI

Every hitter in the projected Brewers lineup has a < 5% pOwn%. The Brewers were unstoppable in the first half of August. Though they have cooled quite a bit at the plate, they’ve still been getting it done against RHPs with a 125 wRC+ (ranks 5th) over the last two weeks.

Brandon Pfaadt is a decent pitcher, but has had some ebbs and flows to his 2025 season. His recent outings have not gone well, overall, as he enters today with a 5.72 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and 13.8% kRate over his last five starts. Pfaadt averages 52.0% less FPPG on the road (6.50 road ERA this season) and is in the bottom 15th percentile in barreled balls allowed (8) over the last month. Pfaadt will be backed by a D-Backs bullpen that owns the lowest kRate (15.6%) and third-worst xFIP (4.73) over the last month.

Favorite MIL Bats: Brice Turang, Christian Yelich, William Contreras

Bargain Bat: Isaac Collins

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAD vs. Nick Martinez (RHP), CIN

C Cal Raleigh, SEA vs. Dylan Cease (RHP), SD

OF Corbin Carroll, ARI vs. Jacob Misiorowski (RHP), MIL

SS Trea Turner, PHI vs. Sean Manaea (LHP), NYM

1B Nick Kurtz, ATH vs. Charlie Morton (RHP), DET

OF Kyle Tucker, CHC vs. Justin Verlander (RHP), SF

OF Riley Greene, DET vs. Osvaldo Bido (RHP), ATH

SS Bobby Witt Jr., KC vs. Martin Perez (LHP), CWS

OF James Wood, WAS vs. Luis Gil (RHP), NYY

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM vs. Jesus Luzardo (LHP), PHI

SS Jeremy Pena, HOU vs. Tanner Gordon (RHP), COL

OF Giancarlo Stanton, NYY vs. MacKenzie Gore (LHP), WAS

OF George Springer, TOR vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

OF Fernando Tatis Jr., SD vs. Luis Castillo (RHP), SEA

2B Luke Keaschall, MIN vs. Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR

1B Willson Contreras, STL vs. Mitch Keller (RHP), PIT

C Hunter Goodman, COL vs. Hunter Brown (RHP), HOU

SS Zach Neto, LAA vs. Patrick Corbin (LHP), TEX

OF Bryan Reynolds, PIT vs. Andre Pallante (RHP), STL

SS Corey Seager, TEX vs. Yusei Kikuchi (LHP), LAA

2B Brice Turang, MIL vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI

OF Noelvi Marte, CIN vs. Clayton Kershaw (LHP), LAD

SS Colson Montgomery, CWS vs. Michael Lorenzen (RHP), KC

SS Willy Adames, SF vs. Matthew Boyd (LHP), CHC

Bargain Bats 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

3B Carlos Correa, HOU vs. Tanner Gordon (RHP), COL

1B Christian Walker, HOU vs. Tanner Gordon (RHP), COL

OF Wyatt Langford, TEX vs. Yusei Kikuchi (LHP), LAA

2B Luis Garcia Jr., WAS vs. Luis Gil (RHP), NYY

OF Isaac Collins, MIL vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI

OF Matt Wallner, MIN vs. Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR

3B Colt Keith, DET vs. Osvaldo Bido (RHP), ATH

1B Paul Goldschmidt, NYY vs. MacKenzie Gore (LHP), WAS

C Alejandro Kirk, TOR vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

2B/3B Luis Rengifo, LAA vs. Patrick Corbin (LHP), TEX

1B/3B Miguel Vargas, CWS vs. Michael Lorenzen (RHP), KC

3B Mark Vientos, NYM vs. Jesus Luzardo (LHP), PHI

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter/X. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet for your chance to win prizes!

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for a month of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus deposit match for new customers.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!