Sponsored by

Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter/X and LineStar Chat.

• Rate LineStarApp on the App store and get a shoutout on Twitter from @LineStarApp official account!

• Have questions? Check out the LineStar Tutorial Wiki.

• LineStar’s 2025 MLB DFS Primer & Strategy Guide ⚾

Looking for unbiased, fact-based news? Join 1440 today.

Join over 4 million Americans who start their day with 1440 – your daily digest for unbiased, fact-centric news. From politics to sports, we cover it all by analyzing over 100 sources. Our concise, 5-minute read lands in your inbox each morning at no cost. Experience news without the noise; let 1440 help you make up your own mind. Sign up now and invite your friends and family to be part of the informed.

Subscribe to 1440 today.

Top DFS Offers 6/23/25 💸

Our editors found the top deals in sports-books so you don’t have to! Tapping below links will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

Offers for new users only, additional terms and conditions may apply — see operator site for full details. Must be 18+ (some states may require 21+) and be present in an eligible state; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

LineStar MLB DFS & Prop Bet Shows 🎙️

Like, Subscribe, and Comment @ LineStar YouTube channel! You never know when we’ll shout you out or give you something cool. New episodes drop Mon-Fri feat. hosts Shannon Sommerville & Tyler Wiemann! Every episode is quick, informative, & easy to watch.

Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A solid eight-game MLB main slate will get us rolling this Monday evening! Pitching feels a bit lackluster, but there are some arms on the board that should work out for us. On the other end, there are going to be quite a few stack-worthy offenses to consider. There is a heat wave hitting the East Coast, so we’ll also see some warm and muggy conditions at a few ballparks. No rain is expected anywhere, so that’s always a plus. Overall, this looks like an entertaining slate, so let’s get into it! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

💣6/23 Dinger Report💣

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected HR odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• ATL at NYM (7:10 ET, 8.5 O/U): Humid and warm, with temps in the mid-to-upper 80s. Winds around 10 mph OUT to left. Citi Field typically isn’t a very hitter-friendly ballpark, but these weather conditions are a plus for the bats.

• NYY at CIN (7:10 ET, 10.0 O/U): Another hot (~90 degrees) and humid spot.

• SEA at MIN (7:40 ET, 8.5 O/U): Around 80 degrees with 5-10 mph winds OUT to right. Small bump for bats.

• ARI at CWS (7:40 ET, 9.0 O/U): I’m a broken record here, but hot (~90 degrees) and humid in Chicago as well. However, it looks like there will be some 10-15 mph winds blowing IN from right field this evening.

• CHC at STL (7:45 ET, 9.0 O/U): 85-90 degrees, humid, and light winds mostly blowing right-to-left, a bit OUT to left.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Spencer Schwellenbach (RHP), ATL | DK: $9.8k, FD: $9.9k | at NYM

Spending up on pitching may not be the move on this slate, but if that is a route you’re taking, Schwellenbach may be worth a look. He’ll be facing the same Mets team in back-to-back starts, which can often work against the pitcher’s favor as his “stuff” is still fresh in the minds of the opposing hitters. That said, though he did give up a couple of homers and four earned runs against the Mets last week, he also worked deep into the game, throwing seven innings while picking up eight Ks. The results have also been excellent overall across Schwelly’s last five starts which have produced a 2.80 ERA, 2.02 xFIP, 0.93 WHIP, 31.6% kRate, and 2.9% BB%. His 117 Pitching+ rating on the season ranks 4th among all MLB starters, trailing only Tarik Skubal, Jacob deGrom, and Zack Wheeler. That simply indicates that Schwellenbach’s pitch quality and plate command as been among the elites in baseball.

The Mets limp in having lost eight of their last nine. Over that span, dating back to June 13th, their offense has still managed to post a solid 117 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. However, the Mets, who have the 7th lowest strikeout rate versus RHPs this season (20.5%), have seen a notable increase in said kRate, which now sits at 24.4% L9Games. I wouldn’t call this an easy spot for Schwellenbach, but if we’re shooting for upside, he still has plenty of it today.

Ben Brown (RHP), CHC | DK: $7.7k, FD: $8.7k | at STL

The 5.57 ERA may look ugly for Brown, but he has been the victim of some bad luck this season. Opponents have secured a .365 BABIP against Brown, and, in general, he has been a better pitcher than his ERA would indicate. Brown’s 3.48 xFIP is a much stronger mark and a better indication of where his ERA *should* be. He has generated plenty of swing-and-miss this season with a slate-leading 26.3% kRate and 13.1% SwStr%. Brown sticks primarily to his four-seamer (57.6% USG%) and knuckle curve (38.1% USG%). The latter is his primary putaway pitch that has induced a 44.0% Whiff% this season.

The Cardinals head in with a subpar .225 AVG, .650 OPS, and 85 wRC+ versus RHPs L2Weeks. They have typically been one of the lower strikeout teams in MLB. However, their 21.9% kRate vs. RHPs L2Weeks, while not high, is much closer to middle-of-the-pack. Most of the outdoor ballparks have some hitter-friendly weather conditions in play today, this game included, but if Ben Brown can avoid the tough BABIP luck, he should end up as one of the better SP options today.

Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP), ARI | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8.4k | at CWS

It’s been a mixed bag of results for Rodriguez this season, but he is another guy whose ERA (5.93) is backed up by a stronger xFIP (4.09) as well as a solid xERA (3.89). He has also had a fairly difficult matchup schedule over the last couple of months, so I’m sure he’ll welcome a showdown with the White Sox. Rodriguez’s strikeout rate has dipped recently, but on the season, it sits at a respectable 22.9%.

The White Sox have been surprisingly decent against LHPs lately, with a 114 wRC+ L2Weeks (127 PAs). However, their strikeout rate has come in at a monstrous 36.2% against lefties in that stretch. Against Rodriguez’s primary pitch mix (four-seamer, changeup, cutter), the White Sox own the 3rd lowest batting average (.212) and 2nd lowest wOBA (.260), so this may be a spot where they hit a bit of regression against a lefty.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA | DK: $9.6k, FD: $9.6k | at MIN

Chad Patrick (RHP), MIL | DK: $8.6k, FD: $7.9k | vs. PIT

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Seattle Mariners vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

The Mariners are coming off of a series against the Cubs where the runs were bountiful and dingers were mashed in droves. There were some crazy-good hitting conditions at Wrigley Field for that series, so we probably need to pump the brakes on expectations somewhat. That being said, there will be some pretty nice hitting weather at Target Field (#9 most hitter-friendly ballpark) this evening, and the Mariners head in ranking 1st in MLB with a 148 wRC+ vs. RHPs L2Weeks. As a team, they’ve also stolen an MLB-leading 14 bases L2Weeks. Everyone in the lineup can’t hit tanks like Cal Raleigh does, but several Mariners have been highly productive at the plate and aggressive on the bases.

It’s safe to say that Bailey Ober is having a down year and he’s been laboring of late -- over his last seven starts, he has struggled to a 5.80 ERA, 5.56 xFIP, .364 opp wOBA, 15.9% kRate, and 2.30 HR/9 Rate. He is bottom 5th percentile in barreled balls allowed L30Days (13) and bottom 10th percentile in average batted ball distance allowed (202.3 feet). The Twins’ bullpen has also been an unmitigated disaster lately. Over the last two weeks, the Minny bullpen has posted an MLB-worst 9.60 ERA, 2.20 WHIP, .367 opp AVG, and 16.7% kRate.

Favorite SEA Bats: Cal Raleigh, Randy Arozarena, JP Crawford

Bargain Bat: Donovan Solano/Luke Raley

New York Yankees vs. Nick Lodolo (LHP), CIN

The Yankees are gradually getting out of their mid-June slump and have some appeal versus a lefty today in a hitter-friendly ballpark that will also boast some hot & humid hitter-friendly conditions. Against LHPs this season, the Yankees rank 4th or better in AVG, OPS, wOBA, ISO, wRC+, and HR/FB Rate. They’re up against LHP Nick Lodolo this evening. Lodolo has plenty of talent, but he has also shown some drastically worse splits at home:

Lodolo - Home: 38.1 IP, 5.40 ERA, 4.49 xFIP, .354 opp wOBA, 2.11 HR/9 Rate, 17.4% kRate

Lodolo - Away: 46.2 IP, 2.31 ERA, 3.59 xFIP, .257 opp wOBA, 0.39 HR/9 Rate, 24.3% kRate

The Cincy bullpen also heads in with an MLB-worst 4.88 xFIP L2Weeks alongside a lackluster 5.49 ERA and 1.66 WHIP.

Favorite NYY Bats: Aaron Judge, Paul Goldschmidt, Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Bargain Bat: Giancarlo Stanton

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Washington Nationals (LHBs Preferred) vs. Stephen Kolek (RHP), SD

Every hitter in the projected Nationals lineup has a < 10% pOwn%. Washington has plenty of lefty/switch hitter bats that they can roll out this evening -- likely seven in the lineup tonight -- which would set up well versus Stephen Kolek, given his traditional splits. Kolek has pitched well versus RHBs, but against LHBs, he has allowed a .293 AVG, .388 wOBA, .202 ISO, 1.88 HR/9 Rate, .885 OPS, and 1.88 WHIP. The Nationals have also been extremely tough to strike out lately and have posted an MLB-low 14.1% kRate versus RHPs over the last week (205 PAs). The Padres’ bullpen has been rock-solid this season but has faltered to a 1.51 WHIP (5th highest) L2Weeks. Washington has one of the lowest implied run totals today at just 3.8 runs, but I would not be shocked if they outperform those expectations.

Favorite WAS Bats: James Wood, CJ Abrams, Luis Garcia Jr.

Bargain Bat: Nathaniel Lowe

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

OF Aaron Judge, NYY vs. Nick Lodolo (LHP), CIN

OF Ronald Acuña Jr., ATL vs. Paul Blackburn (RHP), NYM

C Cal Raleigh, SEA vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

OF Oneil Cruz, PIT vs. Chad Patrick (RHP), MIL

SS Elly De La Cruz, CIN vs. Allan Winans (RHP), NYY

OF James Wood, WAS vs. Stephen Kolek (RHP), SD

OF Byron Buxton, MIN vs. Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA

2B Ketel Marte, ARI vs. Shane Smith (RHP), CWS

OF Juan Soto, NYM vs. Spencer Schwellenbach (RHP), ATL

3B Manny Machado, SD vs. Mitchell Parker (LHP), WAS

OF Seiya Suzuki, CHC vs. Matthew Liberatore (LHP), STL

SS Zach Neto, LAA vs. Walker Buehler (RHP), BOS

OF Christian Yelich, MIL vs. Braxton Ashcraft (RHP), PIT

OF Jarren Duran, BOS vs. Jack Kochanowicz (RHP), LAA

1B Willson Contreras, STL vs. Ben Brown (RHP), CHC

Bargain Bats 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

OF Ian Happ, CHC vs. Matthew Liberatore (LHP), STL

OF Sal Frelick, MIL vs. Braxton Ashcraft (RHP), PIT

OF Randy Arozarena, SEA vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

OF Giancarlo Stanton, NYY vs. Nick Lodolo (LHP), CIN

SS JP Crawford, SEA vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

2B Matt McLain, CIN vs. Allan Winans (RHP), NYY

OF Alec Burleson, STL vs. Ben Brown (RHP), CHC

1B Nathaniel Lowe, WAS vs. Stephen Kolek (RHP), SD

OF Luke Raley, SEA vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

1B Nolan Schanuel, LAA vs. Walker Buehler (RHP), BOS

OF Jo Adell, LAA vs. Walker Buehler (RHP), BOS

OF Isaac Collins, MIL vs. Braxton Ashcraft (RHP), PIT

2B/3B Marcelo Mayer, BOS vs. Jack Kochanowicz (RHP), LAA

1B/3B Miguel Vargas, CWS vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP), ARI

3B Caleb Durbin, MIL vs. Braxton Ashcraft (RHP), PIT

1B Donovan Solano, SEA vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter/X. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet for your chance to win prizes!

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash!

No picks from me today but Tyler & Shannon have some great recommendations in the props video posted at the top of this newsletter!

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for a month of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus deposit match for new customers.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!