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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A modest MLB Monday main slate hits the docket today with six games on the board! This will be one of those slates where you can easily track all the action, as there will be three games in the 7:00 p.m. ET window, followed by three West Coast games beginning at 9:45 p.m. ET or later. At first glance, this slate may skew toward the offensive side of things with four of the six games pinned with over/unders of at least nine runs. No weather issues to worry about either, which is always a welcomed factor! Let’s dive in. Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

💣6/2 Dinger Report💣

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected HR odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• LAA at BOS (7:10 ET, 9.5 O/U): Mid-60s with light winds OUT toward the Green Monster.

• MIL at CIN (7:10 ET, 9.0 O/U): 80 degrees to start with some very light winds mostly blowing OUT to left.

• DET at CWS (7:40 ET, 8.5 O/U): Around 80 degrees with 10 mph winds IN from right.

• SD at SF (9:45 ET, 7.5 O/U): Cool temps in the low-50s. You’ll also notice 10+ mph winds blowing OUT to left, but, as a reminder, Oracle Park’s design largely mitigates wind impact.

• MIN at ATH (10:05 ET, 9.5 O/U): Temps in the 80s to start with 10-15 mph winds OUT to left. Nice boost to the bats.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Joe Ryan (RHP), MIN | DK: $10k, FD: $10.5k | at ATH

It’s difficult to look past Joe Ryan’s recent efforts on the mound. Since April 27th (36.0 IP), he has pitched to a stellar 1.50 ERA, 3.34 xFIP, 0.72 WHIP, .161 opp AVG, 33.1% kRate, and 4.5% BB%. He has stranded 92.4% of baserunners in that stretch as well.

The matchup with the A’s isn’t perfect, especially when you account for the hitter-friendly conditions at Sutter Health Park tonight (80 degrees w/ 10-15 mph winds out to left). Against RHPs L2Weeks, the A’s are 3rd in MLB with an .809 OPS and 4th with a 130 wRC+. However, they have still racked up plenty of strikeouts with a 25.5% kRate in that span (4th highest). So this will be a battle between a hot offense versus a talented pitcher who has been in some elite form. Perhaps Ryan allows a couple of runs on a handful of hits but he also brings double-digit strikeout potential to the table.

Dustin May (RHP), LAD | DK: $8k, FD: $9k | vs. NYM

If you want to pivot away from the higher-owned arms on this slate (Ryan/Webb/Flaherty) the Dustin May will be worth a look. May is trending up in recent weeks and is rocking a strong 3.08 xFIP and an excellent 30.0% kRate over his previous five starts. He has also forced a high 50.0% Groundball rate in that span as well. May’s numbers on the season have also seen a notable improvement when pitching at home:

Home: 27.1 IP, 2.96 ERA, 2.79 xFIP, .204 opp AVG, 1.06 WHIP, 29.1% kRate

Away: 28.1 IP, 5.40 ERA, 4.09 xFIP, .259 opp AVG, 1.41 WHIP, 21.0% kRate

The Mets’ offense has been fairly productive recently but they’ve had the fortune of beating up on the Rockies and White Sox at home over their last two series. Even with those two weak opponents, the Mets have ranked mid-pack in nearly every key offensive metric when looking at their splits versus RHPs L2Weeks. The Dodgers (-162 ML) are solid favorites tonight and I believe we can get six strong innings out of May this evening.

Richard Fitts (RHP), BOS | DK: $6.6k, FD: $8k | vs. LAA

Value pitching isn’t great on this six-gamer, but if you’re feeling frisky, rolling the dice on Richard Fitts may work out… particularly as an SP2 play on DraftKings. Fitts returned from a six-week injury absence last Tuesday after recovering from a pectoral strain. He only had one rehab start and, as a result, went just three innings of 44 pitches in his MLB return, but appeared to be fully healthy with his fastball velo topping out at 97.1 mph. Across his four starts in 2025, Fitts has recorded a 2.70 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. His 18.3% kRate may not be sexy, but Fitts’ 11.6% SwStr% indicated that his kRate should positively regress to around 23%. Fitts has also generated a 35.5% Chase%, which is in the 95th percentile of MLB pitchers and is another indication that his strikeout rate will continue to climb as he pitches more innings (only 20.0 IP this season). The main risk here is that Fitts almost certainly won’t pitch a full workload, but the hope is that he can jump to around a 70-ish pitch count. If he has a couple of economical innings, that may be enough for him to clear five innings of work tonight.

Fitts will draw an advantageous matchup and it's certainly a spot where some of that positive kRate regression can kick in. The Angels head into Fenway with a 1-7 record over their last eight. In that span versus RHPs (228 PAs), they are hitting a meager .216 with a .600 OPS, 69 wRC+, and a sky-high 27.2% kRate. Also, when looking at Fitts’ three most-utilized pitches (four-seamer, slider, sweeper), we’ll find that the Angels have posted an MLB-high 29.6% kRate versus that pitch mix this season. Again, unless he is insanely efficient, Fitts isn’t going to pitch deep into this game, but he could very well end up as the best value arm on the slate.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Logan Webb (RHP), SF | DK: $9.7k, FD: $10.6k | vs. SD

Jack Flaherty (RHP), DET | DK: $9k, FD: $9.9k | at CWS

Tyler Anderson (LHP), LAA | DK: $7.2k, FD: $8.2k | at BOS

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Paul Blackburn (RHP), NYM

Blackburn will be making his 2025 MLB debut after recovering from a knee injury. He draws about the toughest matchup possible, having to face the Dodgers on the road. Blackburn was able to build up to a full workload across 29.1 IP in his minor league rehab assignment. The results there were mostly good (3.68 ERA, 3.94 xFIP, 27.4% kRate, 11.5% BB%, and 69.3% Left-on-Base%), but far from outstanding. He also allowed four home runs in that MiLB stint.

The Dodgers head into tonight with an .858 OPS (ranks 2nd), .370 wOBA (2nd), .210 ISO (1st), 139 wRC+ (2nd), and 18.2% kRate (5th lowest) against RHPs L2Weeks. They have also been, by far, the No. 1 home offense in baseball, averaging 6.50 runs/gm at Dodger Stadium (the Yankees are the No. 2 home offense at 5.59 runs/gm). The Mets do have an effective bullpen that they can deploy if Blackburn gets into early trouble. But, if the scoring margin is fairly significant, they won’t roll out their best bullpen arms.

Favorite LAD Bats: Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Andy Pages

Bargain Bat: Max Muncy

Minnesota Twins vs. Luis Severino (RHP), ATH

The Twins offense is getting back to full strength with Byron Buxton and Matt Wallner both returning from IL stints within the last three days. And, though he has struggled thus far this season after an early May season debut, Royce Lewis is probably going to get going sooner rather than later. The Twins do not possess outstanding offensive numbers, though, some of that can be to blame on injuries. However, they are fully capable of stringing together a big game. This should also be the best hitting environment on the slate -- Sutter Health Park ranks as the No. 2 most hitter-friendly ballpark and there will be warm 80-degree temps with 10-15 mph winds blowing out to left field.

Luis Severino has put up “okay” numbers this season, but he has really struggled at home where his ERA has jumped to 6.20 across 40.2 IP -- compare that to his minuscule 0.87 ERA across 31.0 IP on the road. He’s also not a big strikeout thrower and has only generated a 7.3% SwStr% this season. And, perhaps the sooner the Twins can get Severino off the mound, the better because the A's bullpen has been arguably the worst in MLB in recent weeks. Over the last 14 days, the A’s bullpen has accounted for a 7.36 ERA, 4.79 xFIP, 1.79 WHIP, .309 opp AVG, and 1.75 HR/9 Rate. Rough stuff!

Favorite MIN Bats: Byron Buxton, Matt Wallner, Trevor Larnach

Bargain Bat: Carlos Correa

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Chicago White Sox vs. Jack Flaherty (RHP), DET

Every hitter in the confirmed White Sox lineup has a < 10% pOwn%. As usual, with these low-owned stacks, you don’t have to necessarily go nuts with a full four or five-man stack to gain some leverage. Jack Flaherty (28% pOwn% on DK, 29% pOwn% on FanDuel) could end up being the highest-owned pitcher on the slate so if a few of these CWS bats do some sizable damage, you could be riding high.

Flaherty has ripped off three solid outings in a row but there are several red (aka “bad”) figures in his recent statcast data. Over the last 30 days, Flaherty has allowed an average batted-ball distance of 214.2 feet (bottom 5th percentile), nine barreled balls (bottom 15%), and 91.7 mph average exit velo (bottom 15%). He has also allowed a huge 36.4% LineDrive% (the most likely batted balls to fall for hits) and a 42.4% HardContact%. Flaherty has averaged 38.7% less FPPG on the road this season and owns a 5+ road ERA. The Tigers’ bullpen has also been pretty underwhelming lately and has an MLB-low 16.5% kRate L2Weeks.

Favorite CWS Bats: Mike Tauchman, Miguel Vargas, Andrew Benintendi

Bargain Bat: Joshua Palacios

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAD vs. Paul Blackburn (RHP), NYM

SS Elly De La Cruz, CIN vs. Aaron Civale (RHP), MIL

OF Byron Buxton, MIN vs. Luis Severino (RHP), ATH

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM vs. Dustin May (RHP), LAD

3B Rafael Devers, BOS vs. Tyler Anderson (LHP), LAA

OF Jackson Merrill, SD vs. Logan Webb (RHP), SF

OF Riley Greene, DET vs. Jonathan Cannon (RHP), CWS

OF Mike Trout, LAA vs. Richard Fitts (RHP), BOS

SS Jacob Wilson, ATH vs. Joe Ryan (RHP), MIN

OF Heliot Ramos, SF vs. Stephen Kolek (RHP), SD

OF Christian Yelich, MIL vs. Brady Singer (RHP), CIN

Bargain Bats 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

1B Luis Arraez, SD vs. Logan Webb (RHP), SF

OF Rob Refsnyder, BOS vs. Tyler Anderson (LHP), LAA

OF Trevor Larnach, MIN vs. Luis Severino (RHP), ATH

SS Carlos Correa, MIN vs. Luis Severino (RHP), ATH

3B Max Muncy, LAD vs. Paul Blackburn (RHP), NYM

1B/3B Miguel Vargas, CWS vs. Jack Flaherty (RHP), DET

OF Mike Tauchman, CWS vs. Jack Flaherty (RHP), DET

1B/2B Colt Keith, DET vs. Jonathan Cannon (RHP), CWS

OF Denzel Clarke, ATH vs. Joe Ryan (RHP), MIN

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter/X. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet for your chance to win prizes!

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash!

Andy Pages MORE than 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

Rafael Devers MORE than 7.0 Hitter Fantasy Score

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for a month of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus deposit match for new customers.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!