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- Top MLB DFS Plays & Pick 'Em 4/22 | Expecting Fireworks on a Hefty 10-Game Tuesday Slate!
Top MLB DFS Plays & Pick 'Em 4/22 | Expecting Fireworks on a Hefty 10-Game Tuesday Slate!
Tuesday, April 22nd ⚾️ DFS Plays & Props for Today's MLB Action
Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter/X and LineStar Chat.
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Main Slate Rundown 🏟
It’s time to do some damage on a big boy 10-game Tuesday slate! For a slate of this size, pitching is on the weaker side, but that means we’ll have more flexibility when it comes to hitters/stacks. On the weather front, we’ve got two, maybe three, spots to keep an eye on, but the current expectations are for every game to get nine innings in today, perhaps with a delay or two. There is plenty to dissect on this slate, so let’s hop to it! Best of luck!
Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:


💣4/22 Dinger Report💣

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️
Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.
PHI at NYM (7:10 ET, 8.0 O/U): 70-degree temps with 10 mph winds, but they’ll mostly be blowing left-to-right so no major advantage to bats.
STL at ATL (7:15 ET, 8.5 O/U): Trouble spot #1. A wide band of rain is moving through the area this afternoon though most of the heavier stuff is currently holding north of the ballpark. Some scattered remnants of that band of rain may still be around at the scheduled first pitch so a late start is definitely on the table and a PPD cannot totally be ruled out. We’ll have a better idea of how things will shake out closer to first pitch.
LAD at CHC (7:40 ET, 8.5 O/U): Trouble spot #2 (less risk than ATL). A fairly small batch of rain could be moving through Chicago around the scheduled first pitch. But there isn’t much behind it once that dose of rain is gone so, at worst, this seems like a delay-and-play situation. And there could also be zero issues altogether. Once again, we’ll know more closer to first pitch.
COL at KC (7:40 ET, 8.0 O/U): Unlikely to have issues here as storms look to hang north of KC but worth monitoring in case of any changes.
TB at ARI (9:40 ET, 9.0 O/U): The Chase Field roof is scheduled to be open tonight. Outdoor air temps will be in the mid-80s at first pitch in Phoenix.
TEX at OAK (10:05 ET, 10.0 O/U): 10-15 mph winds OUT to left.
Pitchers to Consider ⚾
Kris Bubic (LHP), KC | DK: $8.9k, FD: $10k | vs. COL
Bubic pitched exclusively out of the bullpen last season. His first few games back as a traditional starter this season have provided some surprisingly strong results and, as such, some steep DFS price points. He heads into start number five with a 1.88 ERA, 3.42 xFIP, 1.21 WHIP, and 26.2% kRate. The xFIP, while still solid, does indicate some regression is due… but that may not happen just yet against the woeful Rockies offense who will be playing away from Coors Field.
Bubic has generated plenty of swing-and-miss with a 14.5% SwStr% and no team has a higher Whiff% versus LHPs than Colorado (33.0% Whiff%). In 207 PA vs. LHPs, the Rockies have mustered just a .215 AVG, .629 OPS, 67 wRC+, and a massive 31.4% kRate. The numbers only get uglier if we look at their splits versus lefties away from Coors Field: .183 AVG, .534 OPS, 54 wRC+, and 37.3% kRate. The Royals (-245 ML) are extremely heavy favorites versus the four-win Rockies so, even though he may be priced uncomfortably high, it’s tough to cross out Bubic from DFS consideration today.
Cristopher Sanchez (LHP), PHI | DK: $8.7k, FD: $9.9k | at NYM
Sanchez has been sharp across his first four starts, pitching to a 2.96 ERA, 2.54 xFIP, 1.15 WHIP, 30.7% kRate, and a slate-best 15.5% SwStr%. His 116 Stuff+ rating leads all pitchers on this slate, which indicates that he has displayed the nastiest movement, velocity, and overall effectiveness on his pitches. The Mets and Phillies are, of course, division rivals so there is plenty of matchup data to point to here. In 111 plate appearances versus the current Mets roster, Sanchez has held them to a .220 AVG and .292 wOBA while racking up a stout 28.8% kRate.
On the season versus LHPs (144 PA), the Mets are hitting .220 with a subpar 91 wRC+ and higher-than-average 24.3% kRate. The top three guys in the Mets’ order (Lindor, Soto, Alonso) can be difficult to punch out but there are plenty of Ks to be found following those top-end hitters. Citi Field has also rated out as the #6 most pitcher-friendly ballpark this season. Sanchez did display some very poor road splits last season but, as long as he shakes that trend, he should be in line for a quality outing tonight.
Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN | DK: $6.9k, FD: $8.9k | vs. CWS
It’s probably no surprise that I’m spotlighting Ober as the cheap pitcher today. He’s especially in play on DraftKings where the $6,900 salary just seems like a blatant misprice. Ober has not posted the best numbers this season -- 6.16 ERA, 4.47 xFIP, 1.42 WHIP, .371 opp wOBA, 20.0% kRate -- but most of the damage he has allowed came in his first game of the season where he gave up eight runs across 2.2 IP of work against the Cardinals. If we just look at his last three starts, the results have been notably better -- 2.76 ERA, 4.01 xFIP, 0.98 WHIP, .284 opp wOBA, 21.2% kRate.
Of course, Ober’s primary appeal will stem from his matchup with the 5-17 White Sox, who are the only team in baseball hitting under .200 against RHPs this season, and they’re bottom-five in most other key offensive metrics. They aren’t a super strikeout-prone offense (23.5% kRate vs. RHPs, 8th highest), but there are still quite a few Ks to be found throughout this lineup. The Twins (-258 ML) are also the heaviest favorites on the day. Deploying a pitcher against the White Sox isn’t going to work out every time, but it will work out most times. Ober is sure to be very chalky as an SP2 on DraftKings, but he’s far and away the most sensible option out of all the value-tier arms.

Other Pitchers to Consider
Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR | DK: $9k, FD: $10.6k | at HOU
Jose Soriano (RHP), LAA | DK: $8.3k, FD: $9.4k | vs. PIT
Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI | DK: $8.2k, FD: $9.2k | vs. TB
Jose Quintana (LHP), MIL | DK: $8k, FD: $8.6k | at SF
Team Stacks to Target 🎯
Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Zack Littell (RHP), TB
If you’re in search of an offense with some high home run potential tonight, the D-Backs set up as a team to target. Against RHPs this season, they rank 3rd with 27 HRs, 2nd in HardContact% (36.0%), and 3rd in HR/FB Rate (16.8%). Zack Littell has already given up six bombs in 23.0 IP (2.35 HR/9 Rate) this season, and his 11 barreled balls allowed place him in the bottom 5th percentile of pitchers. He doesn’t generate a ton of swing-and-miss (9.8% SwStr%,) and his 85 Stuff+ rating is the second-lowest among today’s starters. The Rays’ bullpen does have the second-best xFIP in baseball, but they also check in with the highest HR/9 Rate (1.67) and HR/FB Rate (20.2%) in MLB. The roof at Chase Field will also be open tonight, which adds a bit more HR upside to this game.
Favorite ARI Bats: Corbin Carroll, Josh Naylor, Pavin Smith
Bargain Bat: Tim Tawa/Alek Thomas

Minnesota Twins vs. Davis Martin (RHP), CWS
It’s been a somewhat sluggish start offensively for Minnesota this season, but they are back at home where they’ve posted better numbers overall (and averaging 4.11 runs/gm vs. 2.92 runs/gm away). They are average or below average across the board against RHPs, but there is reason to believe they’ll find success today. Davis Martin brings a slate-worst 6.48 xERA into his fifth start, and he ranks bottom 10th percentile in barreled balls allowed (8) and bottom 5th percentile in average exit velocity (92.8 mph). Backing Martin will be a subpar White Sox bullpen that has posted the 7th worst xFIP (4.46) over the L2Weeks. Outside of Byron Buxton, every hitter in this lineup is affordable, and the Twins are currently being pinned with the second-highest implied run total on the slate (5.1 runs).
Favorite MIN Bats: Byron Buxton, Luke Keaschall, Carlos Correa
Bargain Bat: Harrison Bader
Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔
Atlanta Braves vs. Andre Pallante (RHP), STL
Reminder: Keep an eye on the weather for this game as a late start is a decent possibility and a PPD also isn’t out of the picture.
8-of-9 hitters in the confirmed Braves lineup currently own a < 5% pOwn%. The Braves continue to play their best baseball at home, where they’ve averaged 5.22 runs/gm. Against RHPs at home, they’re hitting for a .295 AVG (2nd), .845 OPS (3rd), .373 wOBA (3rd), and 136 wRC+ (6th). Andre Pallante is a decent enough arm, but he doesn’t strike out many batters (16.9% KRate) and, instead, relies on groundball outs (67.2% Groundball%). However, the Braves have posted the 5th lowest Groundball% vs. RHPs this season, so this isn’t exactly a matchup that plays into Pallante’s strength. Pallante also features a heavy four-seamer (52.8% usage) and slider (26.3% usage) pitch mix. Against those two pitches, the Braves have posted a hefty 53.4% HardHit% this season (2nd highest in MLB). The Cardinals’ bullpen is also nothing special and ranks bottom 10 in most major pitching categories (ERA, xFIP, WHIP, opp AVG, and kRate).
Favorite ATL Bats: Marcell Ozuna, Austin Riley, Matt Olson
Bargain Bat: Alex Verdugo
One-Off Bats ☝️
A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.
1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAD | DK: $6.3k, FD: $4.2k | vs. Shota Imanaga (LHP), CHC
OF Kyle Tucker, CHC | DK: $6.2k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Dustin May (RHP), LAD
OF Corbin Carroll, ARI | DK: $6.1k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Zack Littell (RHP), TB
OF Mike Trout, LAA | DK: $6k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Bailey Falter (LHP), PIT
SS Bobby Witt Jr., KC | DK: $5.8k, FD: $4k | vs. Ryan Feltner (RHP), COL
1B Bryce Harper, PHI | DK: $5.6k, FD: $4.1k | vs. Griffin Canning (RHP), NYM
SS Oneil Cruz, PIT | DK: $5.4k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Jose Soriano (RHP), LAA
OF Brent Rooker, ATH | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Patrick Corbin (LHP), TEX
OF Yordan Alvarez, HOU | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR
SS Francisco Lindor, NYM | DK: $4.9k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Cristopher Sanchez (LHP), PHI
OF Christian Yelich, MIL | DK: $4.8k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Jordan Hicks (RHP), SF
1B Jonathan Aranda, TB | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI
OF Byron Buxton, MIN | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Davis Martin (RHP), CWS
3B Matt Chapman, SF | DK: $4.6k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Jose Quintana (LHP), MIL
OF Marcell Ozuna, ATL | DK: $4.5k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Andre Pallante (RHP), STL
SS Bo Bichette, TOR | DK: $4.4k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Ronel Blanco (RHP), HOU
SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $4.3k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Osvaldo Bido (RHP), ATH
3B Nolan Arenado, STL | DK: $4.3k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Braves Bullpen

Bargain Batters 💸
Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.
Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is < $4,100 on DraftKings
OF Adolis Garcia, TEX | DK: $4k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Osvaldo Bido (RHP), ATH
2B/3B Maikel Garcia, KC | DK: $4k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Ryan Feltner (RHP), COL
OF Sal Frelick, MIL | DK: $4k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Jordan Hicks (RHP), SF
OF Alek Thomas, ARI | DK: $3.7k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Zack Littell (RHP), TB
SS Carlos Correa, MIN | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Davis Martin (RHP), CWS
OF Alex Verdugo, ATL | DK: $3.4k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Andre Pallante (RHP), STL
OF Harrison Bader, MIN | DK: $3.4k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Davis Martin (RHP), CWS
SS Jacob Wilson, ATH | DK: $3.3k, FD: $3k | vs. Patrick Corbin (LHP), TEX
2B Tyler Fitzgerald, SF | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Jose Quintana (LHP), MIN
1B/3B Josh Smith, TEX | DK: $3k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Osvaldo Bido (RHP), ATH
OF Chandler Simpson, TB | DK: $3k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI
2B Luke Keaschall, MIN | DK: $3k, FD: $2k | vs. Davis Martin (RHP), CWS
2B Tim Tawa, ARI | DK: $2.7k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Zack Littell (RHP), TB

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣
Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter/X. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet for your chance to win prizes!
🔥 Home Run Calls Contest! 🔥
🚀 Retweet for a chance to win 1 FREE month of LineStar Premium!
@Ryan_Humphries – Corbin Carroll
@flattyler83 – Teoscar Hernandez
@ShannonOnSports – Yordan Alvarez
We’ll randomly match 3 participants with our picks.💥 If your player hits a HR,
— 𝗟𝗜𝗡𝗘𝗦𝗧𝗔𝗥 𝗗𝗙𝗦 & 𝗣𝗥𝗢𝗣𝗦 (@LineStarApp)
7:45 PM • Apr 22, 2025
Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day
Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash!
No picks from me today but, as usual, Tyler & Shannon have some excellent recommendations in the MLB props video posted at the top of this newsletter!
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In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!
Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for a month of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus deposit match for new customers.
Best of luck out there today, everyone!

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