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Top MLB Plays 8/24 | Fourteen Game Friday Edition
Thanks to @ZeroInDenver for filling in this week! We will resume freeroll contests when @GP_Landry is back from his well deserved vacation.
Happy Friday everyone. @glandry will be back Monday, so I'm covering the main slates for today and the weekend. Hopefully a different perspective helped this week. As always, hit me up in chat if you have any questions.
Pitching: Spending Up
Initially, I was leaning Foltynewicz, but after building a few dummy lineups, I was much happier with the lineups I made using Clevinger. I even made a few lineups I liked using both Clevinger and Hill, which is why I included him as well.
Mike Clevinger, CLE (@KC) (DK:$10.6K, FD: $9.5K)
Rich Hill, LAD (vs SD) (DK:$9.8K, FD: $8.8K)
Pitching: Value
CC Sabathia, NYY (@ BAL) (DK: $9K, FD: $7.8K)
Sabathia has pitched really well over the past month and his Statcast numbers, while good, have also been trending down, which is another plus for me. He also gets a good matchup against a Baltimore team that has a 24% K rate, .282 wOBA and 0.050 ISO against lefties over the past 2 weeks.
Pitching: Punt
Wade Miley, MIL (vs PIT) (DK: $6.9K, FD: $6.4K)
I haven't had a lot of interest in stacking Pittsburgh lately, and even though they get a park upgrade this weekend, I still don't have a lot of interest in them. I think if you're going to punt your SP2 on DraftKings, Miley is a decent option.
#HomeRunWatchList 💥
If you’re new to the article, this is @glandry's section where he picks an outfielder, corner infielder, and middle infielder or catcher to hit a long ball today. Happy to play along on this. Make sure you are utilizing the LineStar Daily Matchup Tool when looking for hitters with a lot of home run potential. That will give you a good idea of batters with good history or splits. I take it a little further and look for players that meet all (or almost all) of the following criteria:
wOBA + ISO of .600 or higher
Hard Contact rate above 40%
Exit velocity over 94 MPH
Average distance of 250 ft or greater
Justin Turner, LAD: 3B (DK: $4.8K, FD: $4.3K)
Justin Turner is facing Clayton Richard who has given up 5 home runs in 28 innings pitched over the past 30 days.
Paul Goldschmidt, ARI: 1B (DK: $5.7K, FD: $4.2K)
David Peralta has gotten a lot of DFS love recently, but Goldy is mashing the ball as well. Humidor Schumidor. He hits one out tonight.
Kevin Pillar, TOR: OF (DK: $4K, FD: $3.2K)
100% gut call on this one. Just feeling it. 🔮
Value Bats
Similar to the home run watch list, in this section, I’ll provide an outfielder, corner infielder, and middle infielder or catcher who are priced in the value tier. If I can find someone under priced on both sites, I’ll highlight them. But in some cases, it could be site specific.
Keep an eye on the MLB Dashboard to make sure these guys are confirmed starters.
Adam Engel, CWS: OF (DK: $3.2K, FD: $2.2K)
"Wrap-around stacks" are sometimes mentioned in chat, and what that means is that you'll take one or more batters from the bottom of the order and a couple of batters from the top of the order. If you're looking at stacking White Sox, the top of the order, I'd consider adding Engel.
Matt Wieters, WAS: C (DK: $3.5K, FD: $2.4K)
Facing Jason Vargas and has great Statcast numbers over the past 2 weeks. Factor in his ground ball rate has gone down and his line drive has gone up, it's a near 🔒 for a home run.
Niko Goodrum, DET: 2B/OF (DK: $3.9K, FD: $3K)
He's got terrible BvP vs Lopez, but Lopez has also not thrown well lately and has given up 9 home runs in the last 25 innings pitched.
Stacks on Stacks
On larger slates like this, I don't usually build very many 5-batter stacks. You really need a team to score 20+ or hit buckets of home runs. I think you're usually better off on a slate like this with mini-stacks or 3 or 4 person stacks. Here are a few I like today (outside of Coors):
New York Mets (vs WAS)
It always feels weird to say "stack Mets," but Gio hasn't pitched well and neither has the Washington bullpen.
Houston Astros (vs LAA)
As a team, the Astros have a .429 wOBA and .389 ISO vs LHP over the past two weeks.
Minnesota Twins (vs OAK)
Wasn't interested at first, but they have a .237 ISO against LHP. Also, you can fit a 4-batter stack without eating too much of your lineup either.
Philadelphia Phillies (vs TOR) *Biscuit Stack*
I started writing this last night and had Philly as one of my favorite stacks. Then I took them off. But I'm putting them back in. Pure Psychic Friends Network feeling. Like I've said in chat many times before, if you have a feeling about a team or player, go with it, even if you toss a quarter at it.
The Bullpen Report
Bullpen numbers over the past 2 weeks are listed below. Green is good, red is not good. So for example, the Mets have a great matchup against a terrible Washington bullpen.
Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback on the daily newsletters and hit me up on Twitter (@ZeroInDenver).