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- Top MLB Plays 8/22 | Yes, this covers the early slate too!
Top MLB Plays 8/22 | Yes, this covers the early slate too!
Thanks to @ZeroInDenver for filling in this week! We will resume freeroll contests when @GP_Landry is back from his well deserved vacation.
That's right. We get two decent slates today with a 4-game early slate and a 10-game main slate. So let's dive in.
Pitching: Spending Up
EARLY: Charlie Morton, HOU (@SEA) (DK: $10K, FD: $9.5K)
For early slate, this is easy. Charlie Morton is the only pitcher in that top pricing tier. Like I've been saying all week, I don't think you need to spend up, so let's just put it this way, if you build your lineup and have the bats or stacks you like and you have room, go ahead and play him. If you don't, don't stretch to make him fit.
MAIN: Noah Syndergaard, NYM (vs SF) (DK: $10.2K, FD: $9.8K)
So long as the Giants continue to be terrible, I'm going to pick the pitcher facing them. It's as simple as that.
Pitching: Value
EARLY: Carlos Rodon, CWS (vs MIN) (DK: $9.3K, FD: $8.8K)
Rodon has been the most consistent on the slate and has picked up the win in 4 out of his past 5 starts, so I'm going to lean heavy on him in my early lineups.
MAIN: Lance Lynn, NYY (vs LAA) (DK: $8K, FD: $7.5K)
A buddy of mine played Lance Lynn earlier this year, which ended up being a costly mistake on the night. So the fact that he's my favorite in this tier is probably karma swinging back around to bite me. But the fact is, Miami hasn't been good against RHP with a .263 wOBA and .094 ISO.
Pitching: Punt
Early: Robert Stephenson, CIN (@MIL) (DK: $4.4K, FD: $5.5K)
I got nothing. If you want to punt and take the cheapest pitcher on the slate for a GPP, I won't talk you out of it, but he's not in a good spot.
Main: Trevor Williams, PIT (vs ATL) (DK: $6.8K, FD: $6.7K)
It's not a great matchup, but you can't expect a great matchup at his price point. What drew me to Trevor is he hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs over the past month while going deep into games.
#HomeRunWatchList 💥
If you’re new to the article, this is (@glandry's) section where he picks an outfielder, corner infielder, and middle infielder or catcher to hit a long ball today. Happy to play along on this. Make sure you are utilizing the LineStar Daily Matchup Tool when looking for hitters with a lot of home run potential. That will give you a good idea of batters with good history or splits. I take it a little further and look for players that meet all (or almost all of the following criteria:
wOBA + ISO of .600 or higher
Hard Contact rate above 40%
Exit velocity over 94 MPH
Average distance of 250 ft or greater
Early Slate:
Mitch Haniger, SEA: OF (DK: $5.4K, FD: $3.7K)
Jed Lowrie, OAK: 2B (DK: $5.2K, FD: $3.9K)
Miguel Sano, MIN: 1B/3B (DK: $4.7K, FD: $3.7K)
Main Slate:
Bryce Harper, WAS: OF (DK: $4.7K, FD: $3.7K)
Bryce had a pretty miserable first half, but over the past month he has a .454 wOBA and .287 ISO with a hard contact rate of 50%, exit velocity of 95.2 MPH, and an average distance of 256 feet.
Freddie Freeman, ATL: 1B (DK: $4.7K, FD: $3.7K)
Like Harper, Freeman has solid wOBA and ISO numbers over the past month (.407 and .189 respectively), a hard contact rate hovering close to 40% (39.3), and average distance close to my 250 feet target (246.4 feet)
Miguel Andujar NYY: 3B (DK: $4.7K, FD: $3.7K)
Same as above. wOBA of .405. ISO of .284. Hard Contact rate of 52.2%, exit velocity close to 94 MPH (93.7), and average distance of 228 ft.
Value Bats
Similar to the home run watch list, in this section, I’ll provide an outfielder, corner infielder, and middle infielder or catcher who are priced in the value tier. If I can find someone under priced on both sites, I’ll highlight them. But in some cases, it could be site specific.
Early Slate:
Stephen Piscotty, OAK: OF (DK: $3.6K, FD: $2.4K)
Matt Davidson, CWS: 1B (DK: $3.6K, FD: $2.9K)
Erik Kratz, MIL: C (DK: $3.1K, FD: $2.1K)
Main Slate:
Keep an eye on the MLB Dashboard to make sure these guys are confirmed starters
Kolten Wong, STL: 2B (DK: $3.5K, FD: $2.4K)
I don't know how much I want to attack Buehler at this point because he's been pitching well, but the Dodger bullpen has been shaky. Pretty much just a gut call on this one.
Austin Jackson, NYM: OF ($3.4K, FD: $2.8K)
I feel he's a little bit underpriced considering matchup and Statcast numbers - especially on FanDuel.
Ryan O'Hearn, KC: 1B (DK: $3.6K, FD: $2.5K)
Love his Statcast numbers and it's a bullpen day for Tampa, so let's hope Ryan hits the starting lineup.
Stacks on Stacks
If you're playing GPPs, you're going to want to stack. If a team you stacked has a good night, you stand a good chance of your lineups placing high. There are a lot of teams that make for good stacks tonight and I expect Coors, Cubs, and probably Yankees will be popular, so there's no need for me to mention them here. Instead, here are a few stacks that I'll have decent shares of tonight.
EARLY:
Popular stacks: Brewers, A's, Astros
Biscuit stacks: Rangers, Mariners
Game stack: Reds/Brewers
MAIN:
Pittsburgh Pirates (@ DET )
This one's risky because Teheran can be really good at times, and he's pitched much better recently. Again, really trying to swing away from some of the more popular stacks and give a few that wouldn't surprise me if they go off.
Washington Nationals (vs. PHI)
Again, just going off the Daily Matchup page, Washington has the best matchup tonight. However, Nationals have been the sadness in DFS lately, as I've been touting them almost every day. We know they can score a ton of runs, it's just a matter of catching them when they do.
Detroit Tigers (vs. CHC ) *Biscuit Stack*
I don't like Lester. He's given up 4 or more ER in 3 of his last 5 starts. Detroit doesn't have a very high ceiling, but I think if you get a Detroit stack that manages to get a couple home runs, that low ownership could really boost you in the standings. But like I said, this is a biscuit stack. So if you're a little dense, it should fail.
The Bullpen Report
Bullpen numbers over the past 2 weeks are listed below. Green is good, red is not good. So for example, Toronto is facing a no bueno bullpen from Baltimore tonight.
Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback on the daily newsletters and hit me up on Twitter (@ZeroInDenver).
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