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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A loaded Tuesday slate is on tap, and the main slate looks quite different depending on which site you’re playing. DraftKings rolls out a massive 12-game slate starting at 6:40 ET, while FanDuel trims things down to seven games by excluding five games in the early window. For the purposes of this newsletter, we’ll primarily focus on the seven games shared across both slates, with a few notes on site-specific spots where applicable. It’s a busy night of baseball, so let’s dive in. Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

💣4/7 Dinger Report💣

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected HR odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts. Note: I’m not a meteorologist so don’t treat these forecast previews as gospel! It’s always best to run a pre-game weather check for any at-risk games.

Weather Key: 🟡 Chance for delay | 🟠 Elevated delay / PPD risk | 🔴 High PPD risk
🔵 Favorable for pitchers (cold/wind in) | 🟢 Favorable for hitters (warm/wind out)

• SD at PIT (6:40 ET, 6.0 O/U): DK slate only. Temps around 40 degrees with light 5–10 mph winds OUT to right.

• MIL at BOS (6:45 ET, 7.0 O/U): DK slate only. Temps just under 40 degrees, but stronger winds (up to ~15 mph) OUT to right. Conditions could give a slight bump to power.

• STL at WAS (6:45 ET, 7.5 O/U): DK slate only. Around 50 degrees with 5–10 mph winds IN from left. This leans pitcher-friendly.

• ATH at NYY (7:05 ET, 8.0 O/U): Temps around 40 degrees with 15 mph winds OUT to right. Wind helps, but cold air limits carry a bit.

• DET at MIN (7:40 ET, 6.5 O/U): Around 45 degrees with 10–15 mph winds IN from right. Clear pitcher-friendly lean.

• HOU at COL (8:40 ET, 11.0 O/U): Around 70 degrees with light winds OUT to right/center. It’s Coors – bats get the usual boost.

• ATL at LAA (9:38 ET, 8.5 O/U): Low-70s with light winds OUT to left. Solid hitting environment by today’s standards.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Tarik Skubal (LHP), DET | DK: $10.5k, FD: $11.2k | at MIN

There are plenty of strong pitching options on this slate, especially on DraftKings with the five additional games, but it’s hard not to start with Tarik Skubal. Through two starts, he’s allowed just one run across 13.0 innings (0.69 ERA) without issuing a walk. That said, the underlying numbers haven’t quite matched the surface stats (4.02 xERA, 9.9% SwStr%, 19.1% kRate). There’s no real cause for concern, though, as he showed his usual dominant form in the spring with a 14.8% SwStr% and 30.4% kRate across 13.2 innings. Conditions in Minneapolis will also favor pitchers tonight, with mid-40s temps and 10–15 mph winds blowing in from right field.

The matchup only adds to the appeal. Against left-handed pitching this season, the Twins are hitting just .173 with a 66 wRC+ and a 27.0% kRate. Their confirmed lineup includes five hitters (Buxton, Bell, Wallner, Lewis, Lee) who have posted at least a 30.8% kRate against LHPs early on. Detroit is one of the heaviest favorites on the slate (-175 ML), and Minnesota carries a low 2.9 implied run total. Skubal has also handled this group well historically, holding the current roster to a .169 AVG and .239 wOBA with a 30.7% kRate across 88 plate appearances. After facing tougher, lower-strikeout lineups in his first two starts (SD, ARI), this sets up as a spot where his strikeout upside should reemerge.

Cam Schlittler (RHP), NYY | DK: $8.5k, FD: $9.9k | vs. ATH

Schlittler has delivered ace-caliber production through two starts but doesn’t carry the same price tags as the top arms on this slate. He’s been nearly flawless across 11.2 innings, posting a 0.00 ERA, 1.55 xFIP, 0.26 WHIP, zero walks, and a massive 39.5% kRate. Only three hitters have reached base against him so far. The Yankees (-252 ML) also enter as the clear heaviest favorites on the slate.

This is a favorable matchup as well. While the A’s showed some offensive life during their recent three-game homestand at Sutter Health Park (No. 2 most hitter-friendly ballpark) against Houston, they struggled badly on the road to open the season. Against RHPs on the road (123 PAs), they’ve posted a .155 AVG, .212 wOBA, .462 OPS, and a 33 wRC+ with a massive 38.2% kRate. There is still legitimate power in this lineup, anchored by Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers, Brent Rooker, and “the other” Max Muncy, but the strikeout upside here is the main draw. Even if Schlittler allows some traffic, he has a clear path to offset it with 8–10 strikeouts. Winds will be blowing out at Yankee Stadium (~15 mph), but temps around 40 degrees should help suppress overall carry.

Taj Bradley (RHP), MIN | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8k | vs. DET

Taj Bradley will have the tall task of going toe-to-toe with back-to-back Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, but he’s off to a strong start himself. Across 10.1 innings, Bradley has posted a 0.87 ERA, 3.49 xFIP, 1.16 WHIP, and a 27.9% kRate. He also reached 100 pitches in his last outing, suggesting his arm is already fully stretched out. The underlying metrics are a bit concerning, as Bradley has allowed a 95.9 mph average exit velocity (bottom 5th percentile) and a 51.9% HardHit%, so some regression could be on the way. That said, as mentioned in the Skubal spotlight above, the weather conditions in Minneapolis should favor pitchers this evening, and Bradley still makes sense at these price points.

This matchup isn’t a slam dunk. The Tigers have been an above-average offense against RHPs (107 wRC+, ranks 12th) and rank sixth in HardContact% (39.1%). They have shown some swing-and-miss, however, with a 25.4% kRate against righties (10th-highest). Bradley could give up a couple of runs here, but the strikeout upside provides a path to a solid return if things break his way.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Cristopher Sanchez (LHP), PHI | DK: $9.7k, FD: $10.8k | at SF

Robbie Ray (LHP), SF | DK: $8k, FD: $8.2k | vs. PHI

Reynaldo Lopez (RHP), ATL | DK: $7.5k, FD: $8.6k | at LAA

DraftKings Main Slate Only

Garrett Crochet (LHP), BOS | DK: $10k, FD: N/A | vs. MIL

Paul Skenes (RHP), PIT | DK: $9k, FD: N/A | vs. SD

Jacob Misiorowski (RHP), MIL | DK: $8.7k, FD: N/A | at BOS

Sandy Alcantara (RHP), MIA | DK: $8.3k, FD: N/A | vs. CIN

Nick Pivetta (RHP), SD | DK: $7.7k, FD: N/A | at PIT

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

Houston Astros vs. Kyle Freeland (LHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. Mike Burrows (RHP), HOU

Non-Coors Stacks

New York Yankees vs. Aaron Civale (RHP), ATH

The Yankees have gotten off to a solid start offensively, ranking 7th with a 119 wRC+ against RHPs. They’ve done that despite fairly modest power numbers early on, so there’s room for even more upside if the bats heat up. Strikeouts have been an issue (26.2% kRate vs. RHPs, 8th-highest), but that could be less of a concern in this matchup. Civale generated just a 6.9% SwStr% and 15.0% kRate in his first start, and he’ll be backed by an A’s bullpen that has struggled badly to open the season – 5.45 xFIP (2nd-worst), 1.82 WHIP (worst in MLB), 16.0% kRate (3rd-lowest), and a 14.4% BB% (2nd-highest).

Favorite NYY Bats: Aaron Judge, Ben Rice, Cody Bellinger

Bargain Bat: Trent Grisham

Atlanta Braves vs. Yusei Kikuchi (LHP), LAA

The Braves were shut down by José Soriano in last night’s series opener but land in a strong bounce-back spot tonight. Despite a low .271 BABIP against lefties (ranks 19th), they’ve still produced top-10 marks in AVG, wOBA, OPS, and wRC+, along with a low 15.0% kRate (4th-lowest).

Kikuchi has been hit hard through his first couple of starts, entering with a 6.52 ERA, 1.97 WHIP, and a 16.7% kRate while allowing a 93.2 mph average exit velocity (bottom 10th percentile). The Angels’ bullpen has a solid 2.83 ERA, but control has been an issue (14.3% BB%), and a 4.51 xFIP points toward regression. With so many chilly game environments across this slate, this does set up as one of the better outdoor environments for hitters on the slate – Angel Stadium ranked 11th in Park Factor in 2025. Overall, this stands out as a favorable spot for Atlanta to get back on track offensively.

Favorite ATL Bats: Drake Baldwin, Ronald Acuña Jr., Ozzie Albies

Bargain Bat: Mauricio Dubon

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Seattle Mariners vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX

Eight of nine hitters in the projected Mariners lineup come in at ≤ 5% pOwn%. Seattle has had its share of offensive issues, posting a .182 AVG, 91 wRC+, and a 29.0% kRate against RHPs so far. That said, a .228 BABIP (3rd-lowest) points toward some poor luck, and they’ve still made plenty of quality contact – their 39.2% HardContact% and 9.2% Barrel% both rank 5th in MLB against righties.

They could find some success against Nathan Eovaldi, a good pitcher who is off to a rough start. Through two outings (8.2 IP), he owns an 11.42 ERA and 2.19 WHIP. While a 3.52 xFIP suggests he hasn’t been nearly that bad, the contact profile is concerning. Eovaldi has allowed a 93.5 mph average exit velocity (bottom 5th percentile) along with a 56.7% HardHit% and 13.3% Barrel%. He also struggled in the spring (46.7% HardHit%, 10.0% Barrel%), so this may not be a short-term issue. As is often the case with this section, there’s no need to force full five-man stacks, but a few Mariners bats could provide useful leverage if Eovaldi continues to throw some meatballs across the plate.

Favorite SEA Bats: Brendan Donovan, Cal Raleigh, Randy Arozarena

Bargain Bats: Luke Raley, Dominic Canzone

Note: I’ll reintroduce the “one-off hitters” and “bargain bats” sections starting next Monday.

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

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🔥📊 Props AI 📊🔥