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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A loaded MLB Tuesday is on tap with a 10-game main slate. Unlike yesterday, DraftKings and FanDuel will feature identical game selection. On paper, this slate offers a solid mix of viable pitching options and appealing stacks. Weather looks mostly cooperative as well, with only one or two spots carrying some delay risk. Let’s dive in. Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

💣4/14 Dinger Report💣

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected HR odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts. Note: I’m not a meteorologist so don’t treat these forecast previews as gospel! It’s always best to run a pre-game weather check for any at-risk games.

Weather Key: 🟡 Chance for delay | 🟠 Elevated delay / PPD risk | 🔴 High PPD risk
🔵 Favorable for pitchers (cold/wind in) | 🟢 Favorable for hitters (warm/wind out)

• LAA at NYY (7:05 ET, 9.0 O/U): Some rain could move through later in the game, but conditions look clear at first pitch. Around 80 degrees with 10 mph winds OUT to left. Bump to bats.

• MIA at ATL (7:15 ET, 8.5 O/U): Warm temps with light winds IN from right.

• TB at CWS (7:40 ET, 8.0 O/U): The main spot to monitor. Starts dry, but storm chances increase later in the evening. Likely plays through nine innings, but some late-game risk is in play. Winds IN from right at 10–15 mph, so a downgrade for bats.

• CLE at STL (7:45 ET, 9.0 O/U): Mid-80s at first pitch with 15 mph winds OUT to left. Clear boost to bats.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP), LAD | DK: $8.8k, FD: $10.3k | vs. NYM

Yamamoto has opened the season with three straight quality starts, going at least six innings while allowing two earned runs or fewer in each outing, and he’s done so against solid competition (ARI, CLE, TOR). The strikeouts haven’t fully shown up yet (20.9% kRate), but a 12.9% SwStr% points toward positive regression, with his rate likely to climb closer to his 28.6% career mark as the season progresses. He’s also done an excellent job limiting walks (3.0% BB%), which has helped keep his WHIP at a strong 0.89. With the Dodgers yet again setting up as the heaviest favorites on the slate (-207 ML), the win equity is firmly in play as well.

The Mets’ offense is in a clear slump while Juan Soto remains sidelined – Justin Wrobleski held them to two hits over eight innings last night and they’re now riding a six-game losing streak. During that six-game skid, they’ve hit just .191 with a .487 OPS, .223 wOBA, .072 ISO, and an MLB-worst 40 wRC+. The strikeouts haven’t been excessive (19.5%), but the overall production has been nonexistent. If that continues, Yamamoto is well positioned to deliver another efficient six-plus innings with solid DFS output.

MacKenzie Gore (LHP), TEX | DK: $8.6k, FD: $10.5k | at ATH

Gore has been outstanding to start the season, pitching to a 2.76 ERA, 2.03 xFIP, 0.86 WHIP, and a massive 39.7% kRate through three starts. A near-40% strikeout rate isn’t sustainable for nearly any starting pitcher, and his 12.3% SwStr% does point toward some regression in that department. Still, he has everything working right now, so it’ll be interesting to see if he can carry that momentum into start number four.

The A’s present a favorable matchup. While they’re unlikely to remain this ineffective against lefties, the early results have been rough. Across 158 PAs versus LHPs, they’ve posted just a .190 AVG, .555 OPS, .252 wOBA, .122 ISO, 53 wRC+, and a 28.5% kRate. This ballpark boosts offense, but Gore has limited flyballs at a solid clip (34.4% FB%), and if the A’s aren’t capable of hitting his stuff, then park factor doesn’t really matter much.

Joey Cantillo (LHP), CLE | DK: $7.3k, FD: $7.7k | at STL

There are several intriguing value SPs on this slate, but Cantillo will get the spotlight. He only lasted 3.2 innings in his first start but has since turned in back-to-back solid outings against the Cubs and Royals. He also closed last season in excellent form. Dating back across his previous eight MLB starts (43.2 IP), Cantillo owns a 1.85 ERA, 3.41 xFIP, 1.01 WHIP, and a 27.9% kRate.

The matchup isn’t ideal, especially with the hitter-friendly weather conditions in St. Louis tonight. Against LHPs, the Cardinals rank top-10 in OPS, wOBA, ISO, and wRC+ while carrying a 19.4% kRate (7th-lowest). They’ve also produced an MLB-best 56.1% HardHit% against Cantillo’s primary pitch mix (four-seamer, changeup, slider, curveball). So there are clear matchup concerns here, but his recent form and current price points are enough to keep him in play as a value option.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Jacob Misiorowski (RHP), MIL | DK: $9k, FD: $9.4k | vs. TOR

Shane McClanahan (LHP), TB | DK: $8.1k, FD: $9k | at CWS (Monitor weather)

Jeffrey Springs (LHP), ATH | DK: $8k, FD: $7.8k | vs. TEX

Reynaldo Lopez (RHP), ATL | DK: $7.5k, FD: $7.5k | vs. MIA

Ryan Weathers (LHP), NYY | DK: $7k, FD: $7.3k | vs. LAA

Colton Gordon (LHP), HOU | DK: $6k, FD: $6.6k | vs. COL

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Atlanta Braves vs. Max Meyer (RHP), MIA

The Braves stack fell a bit flat yesterday, but they once again bring plenty of upside while remaining affordable at several positions. Atlanta continues to rank top-three versus RHPs in AVG, OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ while posting a 20.2% kRate (7th-lowest). They’ve also had success against Meyer’s primary pitch mix of slider, sweeper, and four-seamer. Against those pitches, the Braves own an MLB-best .397 wOBA and .428 xwOBA to go along with a .238 ISO (2nd) and 51.3% HardHit% (2nd).

Meyer has turned in three serviceable starts and brings a 3.68 ERA into this one, but that’s backed by a much higher 5.62 xERA, and walks have also been an issue (11.9% BB%). Miami had to use five relievers behind Eury Perez yesterday, so this bullpen could be a bit thin tonight.

Favorite ATL Bats: Ronald Acuña Jr., Matt Olson, Drake Baldwin

Bargain Bats: Austin Riley, Dominic Smith, Michael Harris II

Cleveland Guardians vs. Michael McGreevy (RHP), STL

The Guardians’ offense has started to heat up, and across their last five games, they’re hitting .291 with an .846 OPS, .379 wOBA, and a 144 wRC+ while striking out at just a 16.1% clip. Jose Ramirez and Angel Martinez are beginning to swing the bat well after slow starts, and rookie Chase DeLauter continues to put together quality at-bats.

McGreevy owns a 2.16 ERA through three outings, but that’s backed by a rough 5.64 xERA. He hasn’t missed many bats (16.1% kRate, slate-worst 5.3% SwStr%) and brings a 76 Stuff+ rating, also the lowest mark among today’s starters. He’s already allowed a 12.0% Barrel%, so, combined with the limited swing-and-miss, Cleveland should be able to generate plenty of solid contact here. The Cardinals’ bullpen has also been a weak point (5.26 ERA, 5.01 xFIP, 1.52 WHIP, 16.9% kRate), and with warm temps and 15 mph winds blowing out to left, the conditions at Busch Stadium should favor hitters.

Favorite CLE Bats: Jose Ramirez, Angel Martinez, Chase DeLauter

Bargain Bats: Steven Kwan, Kyle Manzardo

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Boston Red Sox vs. Mick Abel (RHP), MIN

Eight of nine hitters in the projected Red Sox lineup come in at 11% pOwn% or lower, with most guys being ≤ 5% pOwn%. Boston got off to a slow start, but the offense has begun to turn things around, scoring at least five runs in six of their last eight games. The power hasn’t fully shown up yet, as they rank 27th in MLB with a .118 ISO, but they do sit 8th with a 41.6% HardHit%, which points toward more extra-base production coming.

Abel looked sharp in his last start but struggled in his first two outings. Overall, he owns a 6.08 ERA, 7.77 xERA, 2.10 WHIP, and a 14.9% BB%. He’s also allowed a 47.6% fly-ball rate and 28.6% line-drive rate, which is a dangerous combination. The Twins’ bullpen hasn’t been much better, ranking bottom-10 in ERA (5.19) and xFIP (4.99) while also allowing the second-highest WHIP (1.68) and highest opponent AVG (.281). This sets up as a solid buy-low spot for Boston bats.

Favorite BOS Bats: Willson Contreras, Wilyer Abreu, Jarren Duran

Bargain Bats: Caleb Durbin, Ceddanne Rafaela

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

OF Aaron Judge, NYY vs. Reid Detmers (LHP), LAA

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAD vs. Nolan McLean (RHP), NYM

OF Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. Michael Lorenzen (RHP), COL

C Shea Langeliers, ATH vs. MacKenzie Gore (LHP), TEX

3B Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. Michael McGreevy (RHP), STL

2B Brice Turang, MIL vs. Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR

OF Ronald Acuña Jr., ATL vs. Max Meyer (RHP), MIA

1B Vlad Guerrero Jr., TOR vs. Jacob Misiorowski (RHP), MIL

2B/OF Fernando Tatis Jr., SD vs. Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA

SS Zach Neto, LAA vs. Ryan Weathers (LHP), NYY

1B/3B Yandy Diaz, TB vs. Noah Schultz (LHP), CWS

1B/C Liam Hicks, MIA vs. Reynaldo Lopez (RHP), ATL

1B Willson Contreras, BOS vs. Mick Abel (RHP), MIN

3B/SS Colson Montgomery, CWS vs. Shane McClanahan (LHP), TB

1B Josh Bell, MIN vs. Sonny Gray (RHP), BOS

3B Brendan Donovan, SEA vs. Michael King (RHP), SD

OF Jordan Walker, STL vs. Joey Cantillo (LHP), CLE

OF Wyatt Langford, TEX vs. Jeffrey Springs (LHP), ATH

Bargain Bats 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

To qualify as a bargain bat, hitters must be ≤ $4,000 on DraftKings.

OF Jo Adell, LAA vs. Ryan Weathers (LHP), NYY

OF Steven Kwan, CLE vs. Michael McGreevy (RHP), STL

OF Jorge Soler, LAA vs. Ryan Weathers (LHP), NYY

3B Austin Riley, ATL vs. Max Meyer (RHP), MIA

OF Angel Martinez, CLE vs. Michael McGreevy (RHP), STL

1B Dominic Smith, ATL vs. Max Meyer (RHP), MIA

OF Michael Harris II, ATL vs. Max Meyer (RHP), MIA

2B/3B Amed Rosario, NYY vs. Reid Detmers (LHP), LAA

SS Jose Caballero, NYY vs. Reid Detmers (LHP), LAA

3B Caleb Durbin, BOS vs. Mick Abel (RHP), MIN

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