Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Top DFS Offers 9/18/23 💸

Our editors found the top deals in sports-books so you don’t have to! Tapping below links will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

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OnDeck MLB DFS & Prop Bet Podcasts 🎙️

Like, Subscribe, and Comment @ LineStar YouTube channel! You never know when we’ll shout you out or give you something cool. New episodes drop Mon-Fri feat. hosts Shannon Sommerville & Tyler Wiemann! Every episode is quick, informative, & easy to watch.

Main Slate Rundown 🏟

Only 14 days remain in the MLB regular season, so enjoy the full baseball slates while ya can before playoffs arrive! Monday will feature a solid eight-game slate with a decent balance between pitching and hitting. Unfortunately, the actual DFS contests for this slate are a little lackluster since DraftKings and FanDuel pushing out huge featured GPPs for the two-game NFL slate. It is what it is, but rest assured that tomorrow should bring back the typical contest selection.

Heads up that this MLB newsletter will be pretty bare bones today. After writing up that two-game NFL slate, I’m getting a bit of a later-than-usual jump on the MLB action. So, expect this to be a very quick read. Who knows, maybe plenty of folks will appreciate the lack of blabbering from myself! Anyhow, best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

No notable weather conditions to highlight today. Just as a general note, temps around the country are beginning to drop as Fall approaches so those “warm & humid” conditions will be few and far between moving forward.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Freddy Peralta (RHP), MIL | DK: $11.3k, FD: $10.8k | @ STL

The most expensive pitcher on the slate but, outside of a poor outing against Pittsburgh a couple of weeks ago, Peralta has been well worth these price tags. He has put up at least 25.3 DKFP/43 FDFP in six of his last seven starts to go along with a nutty 40.3% kRate, 1.94 ERA, 2.37 xFIP, and 0.67 WHIP in that span. It’s not a perfect match-up against the Cardinals on the road (Peralta: -40.0% less FPPG away). However, the Cardinals have been a fairly average offense against RHPs, ranking 14th with a 104 wRC+ L2 Weeks.

Michael Wacha (RHP), SD | DK: $8.9k, FD: $9.3k | vs. COL

Wacha has been pretty shaky in his last couple of outings, but he has also gone up against a pair of tough offenses in the Dodgers and Phillies. In the five starts before those brutal match-ups, Wacha had posted a strong 2.70 ERA next to a 23.7% kRate and an 88.1% Left on Base%. Now, the match-up doesn’t get much better than getting the Rockies playing away from Coors Field at the pitcher-friendly Petco Park (#3 most pitcher-friendly ballpark this season). Against RHPs on the road over the last month, the Rockies own an MLB-worst 61 wRC+ and an MLB-high 28.3% kRate. Great bounce-back spot for Wacha here and the Padres are slate-leading -265 ML favorites tonight.

Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA | DK: $7.2k, FD: $9.7k | @ OAK

There is a major discrepancy in Woo’s price tags between DK and FD so he’s a much stronger play on the former site. Left-handed hitters have been giving Woo major issues in his rookie season and against that side of the plate, he owns a poor 6.89 ERA, 6.11 xFIP, 1.79 WHIP, .410 opp wOBA, and 18.0% kRate. Fortunately, the A’s do not have many quality lefty bats they can roll out against him so the majority of the lineup should be RHBs today, in which Woo owns a stellar 2.23 ERA, 2.85 xFIP, 0.70 WHIP, .197 opp wOBA, and 29.5% kRate against. The A’s also have an MLB-high 29.8% kRate against RHPs L2 Weeks so, overall, it’s a prime spot for Woo to succeed.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Justin Verlander (RHP), HOU | DK: $10.5k, FD: $10.5k | vs. BAL

Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS | DK: $7.6k, FD: $9k | @ WAS

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Top Stacks

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kyle Wright (RHP), ATL

Houston Astros vs. John Means (LHP), BAL

San Diego Padres vs. TBA, COL

Lower-Owned Leverage Stacks

Atlanta Braves vs. Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI

Texas Rangers vs. Kutter Crawford (RHP), BOS

Extreme Leverage Stack

Detroit Tigers vs. Lance Lynn (RHP), LAD

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $6.7k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Kutter Crawford (RHP), BOS

2B/OF Mookie Betts, LAD | DK: $6.6k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP), DET

OF Julio Rodriguez, SEA | DK: $6.5k, FD: $4.5k | vs. JP Sears (LHP), OAK

2B Jose Altuve, HOU | DK: $6.2k, FD: $4k | vs. John Means (LHP), BAL

1B Matt Olson, ATL | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI

1B Bryce Harper, PHI | DK: $5.9k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Kyle Wright (RHP), ATL

OF Juan Soto, SD | DK: $5.5k, FD: $3.9k | vs. TBA, COL

3B Rafael Devers, BOS | DK: $5.3k, FD: $4k | vs. Jordan Montgomery (LHP), TEX

3B/SS Gunnar Henderson, BAL | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Justin Verlander (RHP), HOU

C William Contreras, MIL | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

OF Kerry Carpenter, DET | DK: $4.5k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Lance Lynn (RHP), LAD

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

1B Jose Abreu, HOU | DK: $4k, FD: $2.9k | vs. John Means (LHP), BAL

OF/SS Ceddanne Rafaela, BOS | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Jordan Montgomery (LHP), TEX

OF Andrew Benintendi, CWS | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Joan Adon (RHP), WAS

OF Mark Canha, MIL | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

C Luis Campasano, SD | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.7k | vs. TBA, COL

OF Mauricio Dubon, HOU | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.5k | vs. John Means (LHP), BAL

OF Tyrone Taylor, MIL | DK: $3k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

OF Jason Heyward, LAD | DK: $3k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP), DET

2B Andy Ibanez, DET | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Lance Lynn (RHP), DET

2B/3B Matthew Batten, SD | DK: $2.7k, FD: $2.3k | vs. TBA, COL

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

No home run calls today but we still have a “Touchdown Calls” contest that you can participate in… for free!

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Ronald Acuña Jr. MORE than 0.5 Runs

Yoan Moncada MORE than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!