Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

• Rate LineStarApp on the App store and get a shoutout on Twitter from @LineStarApp official account!

• Have questions? Check out the LineStar Tutorial Wiki.

Top DFS Offers 9/14/23 💸

Our editors found the top deals in sports-books so you don’t have to! Tapping below links will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

• Sleeper DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Underdog DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Thrive DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Chalkboard DFS - Deposit Match up to $300 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Must be 18+ (some states may require 21+) and be present in an eligible state; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

OnDeck MLB DFS & Prop Bet Podcasts 🎙️

Like, Subscribe, and Comment @ LineStar YouTube channel! You never know when we’ll shout you out or give you something cool. New episodes drop Mon-Fri feat. hosts Shannon Sommerville & Tyler Wiemann! Every episode is quick, informative, & easy to watch.

» No MLB Shows Today «

Main Slate Rundown 🏟

It’s a rather quiet MLB Thursday, and depending on your preferred DFS site, there will be just five (DraftKings) or four (FanDuel) games lined up on the evening main slate. DraftKings will include game two of the NYY @ BOS doubleheader while FanDuel will not. There is also a strong possibility that this small slate shrinks even further with some very real postponement risk in the Giants at Rockies Coors Field game. More on that in the weather section below, but with that being the last game of the evening, unless an early PPD is announced, you’ll be completely burned if you roster any players there in the event of a PPD with no other games available to late swap onto. So, approach this modest slate with caution. We’ll knock out a quick newsletter today and if you decide you’re not feeling MLB today, there’s always Thursday Night Football to dive into! Best of luck with wherever you choose to take your bankroll today!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• TB @ BAL (7:15 ET): Winds near 10 mph blowing IN from left.

• SF @ COL (8:40 ET): As mentioned in the intro, the forecast is looking bleak here. Wet weather is expected throughout the evening along with cool temps in the 50s and impactful winds blowing IN from left/center at 10-15 mph. Just all-around unpleasant weather. Coors Field is always a popular DFS target for obvious reasons but, even if they manage to play somehow, it’s far from ideal conditions today. Hopefully, they’ll put us out of our misery by announcing a PPD early. If not, then approach this game with extreme caution because there will be no other games after this to late swap onto.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR | DK: $11k, FD: $10.3k | vs. TEX

Gausman represents the only true ace on today’s small slate and, even in a less-than-ideal match-up, he’ll command DFS consideration. Gausman has been a bit more reliable at home this season where he owns a stellar 2.75 xFIP (vs. 3.49 xFIP away) and sees a significant jump in his strikeout rate, up to a 34.1% kRate (vs. 28.8% kRate away).

He takes on a Rangers team that is back to its high-octane offensive ways, accounting for a .365 wOBA (ranks 2nd) and 132 wRC+ (2nd) vs. RHPs in the last two weeks. Gausman did pitch six innings of one-run baseball when he faced this Rangers team back in June, though he put up just four strikeouts. Given his propensity to rack up more Ks at home, he should have more success in that department this go-round. Keeping the hits and runs to a minimum will be another challenge, but Gausman is one of the best starters in the MLB and the Blue Jays will need a strong performance out of him if they wish to keep their wild card playoff hopes alive.

Kyle Bradish (RHP), BAL | DK: $9.4k, FD: $10.6k | vs. TB

Bradish is going to set up as a solid DFS option today and a strong pivot away from Gausman. Spanning his last five starts, Bradish has procured an excellent 2.40 ERA, 2.41 xFIP, 0.90 WHIP, .191 opp AVG, and a 32.5% kRate while averaging 25.2 DKFP/44.8 FDFP. Some winds blowing in at Camden Yards today will also help to keep fly balls inside the park.

The Rays are an all-around solid offense, and they head into this game having scored at least five runs in five of their last six. However, their 105 wRC+ vs. RHPs in the last two weeks places them mid-pack and their 25.7% kRate during that span checks in as the 8th highest in MLB. Bradish has looked solid against this Rays lineup in two previous meetings this season, allowing just four runs across 11.0 IP (3.27 ERA) to go along with 13 total strikeouts (10.6 K/9, 27.7% kRate). On a small slate without incredible pitching overall, Bradish looks like a strong choice for lineups.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Logan Webb (RHP), SF | DK: $8.8k, FD: $9.5k | @ COL (Note: Strong PPD risk)

Kenta Maeda (RHP), MIN | DK: $7.8k, FD: $7.6k | @ CWS

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

Note: Again, beware of the strong possibility that this game gets PPD.

San Francisco Giants vs. Chase Anderson (RHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. Logan Webb (RHP), SF

Non-Coors Stacks

Minnesota Twins vs. Jose Urena (RHP), CWS

+ Twins: 5.0 implied runs (ranks 1st among non-Coors teams).

+ Urena is easily the lowest-quality starter on the slate -- in 22.1 IP this season, Urena has come away with an awful 8.46 ERA, 6.63 xFIP, 2.10 WHIP, .326 opp AVG, 10.7% kRate, and a massive 3.63 HR/9 Rate.

+ The Twins strike out at a high rate, but that’s less of a concern against Urena, and over the last month, Minnesota has been a top-10 offense vs. RHPs: .804 OPS (8th), .348 wOBA (7th), .204 ISO (6th), 123 wRC+ (6th), and 35.5% HardContact% (8th).

+ The White Sox have had a bottom-10 bullpen over the last month, including the third-worst ERA (5.82).

+ Overall, the Twins bats are very affordable.

- Expect very high ownership on nearly all Twins bats, especially if Coors Field gets knocked off the slate.

Favorite MIN Bats: Royce Lewis, Jorge Polanco, Carlos Correa

Bargain Bat: Max Kepler

DraftKings Main Slate Only Stack

New York Yankees vs. Brandon Walter (LHP), BOS

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX

+ All Blue Jays bats have a < 10% pOwn%.

+ Eovaldi is making just his third start since coming off the IL with a forearm injury -- he got rocked in his first start back (@ HOU: 1.1 IP, 35 PC, 5 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 4 ER) and only pitched 2.1 innings on 47 pitches in his last start vs. OAK. It’s safe to assume that Eovaldi will still have some sort of pitch count limitations today.

+ Assuming a short outing from Eovaldi, the Blue Jays will see extra at-bats against a Rangers bullpen that has been pretty dreadful over the last month: 6.14 ERA, 4.89 xFIP, 1.51 WHIP, and 2.34 HR/9 Rate.

+ Despite some struggles in their last few games, the Blue Jays have been a top-10 offense vs. RHPs over the L2 Weeks: .813 OPS (7th), .351 wOBA (7th), .202 ISO (10th), 125 wRC+ (7th), and 18.1% kRate (6th lowest).

+ Motivation should not be an issue -- a win today would go a long way in Toronto’s wild card hopes.

- Even if he only throws around 60 pitches, when he’s in form, Eovaldi can be a tough starter to produce any significant damage against.

- The Blue Jays have been the 9th worst home offense, averaging just 4.23 runs/gm (vs. 4.89 runs/gm away).

- Blue Jays: 4.1 implied runs (4th lowest on the slate).

Favorite TOR Bats: Davis Schneider, Vlad Guerrero Jr., George Springer

Bargain Bat: Cavan Biggio

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $6.6k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR

OF Aaron Judge, NYY | DK: $6.3k, FD: N/A | vs. Brandon Walter (LHP), BOS

OF Luis Robert Jr., CWS | DK: $5.7k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Kenta Maeda (RHP), MIN

3B Rafael Devers, BOS | DK: $5.6k, FD: N/A | vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP), NYY

3B/SS Gunnar Henderson, BAL | DK: $5.5k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Aaron Civale (RHP), TB

2B Davis Schneider, TOR | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX

1B Yandy Diaz, TB | DK: $5k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Kyle Bradish (RHP), BAL

*OF Nolan Jones, COL | DK: $4.9k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Logan Webb (RHP), SF

2B Jorge Polanco, MIN | DK: $4.4k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), CWS

*OF Mike Yastrzemski, SF | DK: $4.4k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Chase Anderson (RHP), COL

*Coors Field weather concerns.

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

OF Max Kepler, MIN | DK: $4k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), CWS

1B/OF Ryan O’Hearn, BAL | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Aaron Ciavel (RHP), TB

*1B Elehuris Montero, COL | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Logan Webb (RHP), SF

2B/SS Pablo Reyes, BOS | DK: $3.4k, FD: N/A | vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP), NYY

OF Willi Castro, MIN | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), CWS

3B/OF Cavan Biggio, TOR | DK: $3.1k, FD: $2.3k | vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX

OF Kevin Kiermaier, TOR | DK: $3k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX

C Connor Wong, BOS | DK: $3k, FD: N/A | vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP), NYY

OF Estevan Florial, NYY | DK: $2.1k, FD: N/A | vs. Brandon Walter (LHP), BOS

*Coors Field weather concerns.

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

No Home Run contest today, but be sure to participate in today’s Touchdown Calls contest for Thursday Night Football: Vikings at Eagles!

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

No MLB PrizePicks plays today!

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!