Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A modest six-game set lands on today’s Wednesday main slate and it sets up as a pretty tricky one at first glance. For a smaller slate, the pitching looks decent overall but most guys will find themselves in some tough match-ups. The same applies to the stack candidates with plenty of solid offenses on the slate but most are facing quality pitchers. We’ll see if we can find the right pieces to the puzzle. Best of luck!

Note: The FanDuel slate will include the TB vs. COL game which begins at 6:40 ET but will exclude the second leg of the LAA vs. CIN doubleheader. For newsletter purposes, we’ll primarily focus on the five mutually shared games.

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• WAS @ NYY (7:05 ET): 10 mph winds blowing right to left.

• LAD @ CLE (7:10 ET): This will be the one spot to monitor today. Rain is moving through the area this afternoon but should clear ahead of the game. However, there is a band of storms that could pose a threat during the game. There is a decent chance they’ll avoid trouble but we’ll need to run a pre-game radar check to be sure.

• CIN @ LAA (9:38 ET): Winds OUT to center at 10 mph.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Clayton Kershaw (LHP), LAD | DK: $9.9k, FD: $10.8k | @ CLE

Note: Remember to keep an eye on the forecast for this game to make sure a mid-game delay is less of a probability.

A limited pitch count will be the primary concern for Kershaw seeing as he is just two starts removed from a month-and-a-half-long absence due to a shoulder injury. He threw 67 pitches across 5.0 IP in his first start back and 71 pitches across 5.0 IP in his most recent start last Wednesday. Despite the shorter leash, he has looked solid in his return and can perhaps push for a mid-80s pitch count this evening following a full week of rest. Kershaw brings a slate-best 2.48 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 13.7% SwStr% to the table to go along with a quality 26.7% kRate. Progressive Field has also been the #1 most pitcher-friendly ballpark this season and the Dodgers (-220 ML) are the heaviest favorites on the slate.

The major reason for taking the risk on Kershaw’s (likely) limited workload by rostering him in DFS lineups today will stem from the match-up. The Guardians have been atrocious against LHPs over the last month (321 PA), mustering just a .191 AVG, .510 OPS, .227 wOBA, .074 ISO, and 38 wRC+ -- by far the worst offensive numbers against lefties in that span. There are enough pathways to success for Kershaw today even if he is operating at around 80%, pitch count-wise.

MacKenzie Gore (LHP), WAS | DK: $7.4k, FD: $8.9k | @ NYY

It’s not a perfect spot for the always-risky MacKenzie Gore, but the Yankees are in a full-on spiral at the moment having lost nine consecutive games. The only guy who saved them from getting no-hit yesterday was their nine-hole hitter Ben Rortvedt, who accounted for both of the Yankees’ hits in the first game of this series. Gore may be inconsistent himself but he offers up some solid strikeout upside with a 27.0% kRate on the season and he has pitched well in four of his last six starts.

The Yankees have hit lefties surprisingly well over the last month, accounting for a huge .401 wOBA and 161 wRC+ against southpaws in that span. They’ll be rolling out nine right-handed bats today, but that may end up playing into Gore’s favor. Gore has shown positive reverse splits this season and has allowed a 1.22 WHIP, .237 AVG, and .316 wOBA to RHBs versus a 1.97 WHIP, .311 AVG, and .378 wOBA to LHBs. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Yankees snap their losing streak today but they’re also rolling out Luis Severino themselves, who has been one of the worst starters in the MLB this season, so it’s FAR from a guarantee. Gore and the Nats will only be slight +125 road underdogs today.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR | DK: $10.6k, FD: $11k | @ BAL

Charlie Morton (RHP), ATL | DK: $9k, FD: $10k | vs. NYM

Aaron Civale (RHP), TB | DK: N/A, FD: $9.7k | vs. COL (FD Main Slate Only)

Reid Detmers (LHP), LAA | DK: $7.6k, FD: N/A | vs. CIN (DK Main Slate Only)

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Los Angeles Dodgers (RHBs Preferred) vs. Xzavion Curry (RHP), CLE

+ Dodgers: 4.8 implied runs (ranks 3rd on the slate).

+ Curry has shown some poor reverse splits this season -- vs. RHBs, he owns a 5.82 xFIP, .340 opp wOBA, .232 opp ISO, 13.6% kRate, and 1.55 HR/9 Rate.

+ Against RHPs on the road, the Dodgers rank top-three in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ this season.

+ The Dodgers have been the #1 road offense, averaging 5.83 runs/gm.

- Progressive Field has been the #1 least hitter-friendly ballpark this season.

- The Guardians have had a top-10 bullpen over the last month.

Favorite LAD Bats: Mookie Betts, Will Smith, Freddie Freeman

Bargain Bat: Chris Taylor

Other Stacks to Consider

Atlanta Braves vs. Jose Quintana (LHP), NYM

Washington Nationals vs. Luis Severino (RHP), NYY

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Houston Astros vs. Chris Sale (LHP), BOS

+ Every Astros hitter has a < 7% pOwn%.

+ Sale has not been overly sharp in road games this season -- he is averaging -47.6% less FPPG on the road to go along with a lackluster 5.20 ERA and 4.25 xFIP.

+ The Astros have been crushing lefty pitching over the last month (360 PA) to the tune of a .313 AVG, .958 OPS, .405 wOBA, .260 ISO, 163 wRC+, and 21 HRs.

+ The Red Sox have had a bottom-10 bullpen over the last month: 5.10 ERA, 4.36 xFIP, 1.46 WHIP, and 1.59 HR/9 Rate.

- The Astros have not been as potent at home where they average 4.64 runs/gm (vs. 5.19 runs/gm away).

Favorite HOU Bats: Kyle Tucker, Chas McCormick, Jose Altuve

Bargain Bat: Yainer Diaz

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

*1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DK: TBA, FD: N/A | vs. TBA, CIN

2B/OF Mookie Betts, LAD | DK: $6.6k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Xzavion Curry (RHP), CLE

OF Aaron Judge, NYY | DK: $6.2k, FD: $4.2k | vs. MacKenzie Gore (LHP), WAS

3B Rafael Devers, BOS | DK: $5.6k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Jose Urquidy (RHP), HOU

SS Bo Bichette, TOR | DK: $5.4k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

3B/SS Gunnar Henderson, BAL | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Charlie Morton (RHP), ATL

SS CJ Abrams, WAS | DK: $5k, FD: $3k | vs. Luis Severino (RHP), NYY

OF Chas McCormick, HOU | DK: $4.5k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Chris Sale (LHP), BOS

OF Marcell Ozuna, ATL | DK: $4.5k, FD: $3k | vs. Jose Quintana (LHP), NYM

*Ohtani will be a late addition to the DK player pool following the conclusion of the first game of the doubleheader.

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

C Keibert Ruiz, WAS | DK: $3.9k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Luis Severino (RHP), NYY

1B/C Yainer Diaz, HOU | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Chris Sale (LHP), BOS

2B/OF Jeff McNeil, NYM | DK: $3.7k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Charlie Morton (RHP), ATL

1B Brandon Belt, TOR | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

OF Daulton Varsho, TOR | DK: $3.1k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

SS Anthony Volpe, NYY | DK: $3.1k, FD: $2.7k | vs. MacKenzie Gore (LHP), WAS

OF Kevin Kiermaier, TOR | DK: $2.8k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

1B Dominic Smith, WAS | DK: $2.7k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Luis Severino (RHP), NYY

OF Kevin Pillar, ATL | DK: $2.6k, FD: $2.1k | vs. Jose Quintana (LHP), NYM

OF Wilyer Abreu, BOS | DK: $2k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Jose Urquidy (RHP), HOU

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

No PrizePicks plays today!

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

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Best of luck out there today, everyone!