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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

Time to get in gear for another huge Tuesday slate! A dozen games are on the main slate docket and the possibilities are endless with solid pitching and plenty of great stacking options. There will also be zero weather concerns to fret over. Let’s waste no time and get right into it! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• TOR @ BAL (7:05 ET): Winds IN from center at 5-10 mph.

• WAS @ NYY (7:05 ET): Winds mostly left to right, a bit IN from left near 10 mph.

• LAD @ CLE (7:10 ET): Winds IN from right/center around 10 mph.

• NYM @ ATL (7:20 ET): Hot and humid with light winds blowing OUT. Bump to bats.

• CIN @ LAA (9:38 ET): Winds OUT to center at 10 mph.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Blake Snell (LHP), SD | DK: $10.7k, FD: $10.3k | vs. MIA

This is far from a sneaky pick with Snell projecting for 30-40% ownership on both sites today, but there are plenty of reasons that make eating some Snell chalk much more palatable. He paces the field with his 2.65 ERA, 31.0% kRate, and 14.7% SwStr% and owns the highest projected fantasy scores from both LineStar and the consensus projections. He’s also taking the mound at home (Petco Park: #3 most pitcher-friendly ballpark) where he tends to be a bit more reliable. Going back across his last 15 starts (86.0 IP), Snell has impressed even further with a 1.26 ERA, 3.02 xFIP, and 35.7% kRate.

Snell faces a Marlins team that ranks 21st against LHPs over the last month based on their 81 wRC+. They also have a higher-than-average 23.1% kRate along with a very low 4.1% Walk Rate. Since walks are often Snell’s biggest downfall (13.7% BB% this season), this match-up should help out that one major weakness. Snell last faced Miami back on May 31st and threw six shutout innings, allowing just one hit and three walks while striking out seven -- good for 23.9 DKFP/43 FDFP. A similar result should be on the horizon today, and, of course, his fantasy point ceiling is even higher than that. The Padres step in as hefty -184 ML favorites at home this evening.

Bobby Miller (RHP), LAD | DK: $8.6k, FD: $9k | @ CLE

Top to bottom, the majority of pitching match-ups are “just okay” at best. Bobby Miller (3.70 ERA, 4.03 xFIP, 1.17 WHIP, 22.4% kRate) does land in a strong spot, though the Dodgers seem committed to cutting his workload off at six innings pitched no matter the pitch count. Case in point, in his last start (vs. MIL) he breezed through six innings of work with a PC of just 74 pitches, but that’s where his day ended. But he’s not overly expensive, so another six strong innings today could end up producing satisfactory results. One interesting note is that Miller has posted a sharp 2.19 ERA in road games versus a 5.17 ERA at home. He’s on the road today pitching at Progressive Field, which has ranked as the #1 most pitcher-friendly ballpark this season and ranks dead last in adjusted home run factor, another plus for pitchers. Home runs will be even more difficult to hit out in this game with those 10 mph winds blowing in from right/center.

The Guardians’ offense has been stuck in neutral for a while now, and their 100 wRC+ versus RHPs L2Weeks ranks them 18th in the MLB. Cleveland is not an easy team to strike out, but I do believe Miller should be able to work through those six innings while posting a quality start and picking up a handful of Ks along the way. The Dodgers (-198 ML) step in as heavy road favorites, so it’s a strong possibility that Miller can put himself in line for a win bonus as well.

Grayson Rodriguez (RHP), BAL | DK: $6.1k, FD: $8.2k | vs. TOR

If you’re hunting for some SP2 value on DraftKings, Rodriguez will stand out as a solid option at $6,100. The highly touted rookie has been quite unlucky this season, posting a 5.44 ERA that is supported by a much stronger 3.86 xFIP. However, in his last five starts, things have been working out much well for Rodriguez. In that time, he has come away with an impressive 2.35 ERA, 3.84 xFIP, 0.85 WHIP, .165 opp AVG, and 22.6% kRate. Those results came against some fairly tough opponents as well.

The Blue Jays are hitting just .220 against RHPs over the last two weeks alongside a below-average 86 wRC+ (ranks 22nd) with a middling 22.4% kRate. Rodriguez pitched fairly well against this Toronto offense earlier this month where he posted a pitching line of 5.2 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 3 ER, and 6 K, falling just one out short of recording a quality start. That was his second solid outing versus Toronto this season. The overall upside is perhaps not the best and Rodriguez has not fared too well in home games, but there is still a good chance that he can push for around 20 DKFP today.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Justin Verlander (RHP), HOU | DK: $9.5k, FD: $9.6k | vs. BOS

Yusei Kikuchi (LHP), TOR | DK: $8.9k, FD: $9.8k | @ BAL

Jon Gray (RHP), TEX | DK: $6.7k, FD: $9.2k | @ ARI (DK SP2 Preferred)

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Noah Syndergaard (RHP), CLE

+ Dodgers: 4.7 implied runs (ranks T-6th on the slate).

+ It’s been a rough season for Thor but things have been particularly bad over his last seven MLB starts: 7.39 ERA, 6.12 xFIP, 1.58 WHIP, .318 opp AVG, .421 opp wOBA, and 3.10 HR/9 Rate.

+ Syndergaard: 9 barreled balls allowed L30Days (bottom 5th percentile).

+ Over half of Syndergaard’s pitches have been sinkers and changeups -- the Dodgers lead the MLB with a .391 xwOBA against those two pitch types (from RHPs).

+ Against RHPs on the road, the Dodgers rank 3rd or better in OPS, wOBA, ISO, and wRC+.

+ The Dodgers have been the #1 road offense this season, averaging 5.88 runs/gm.

- Based on their 3.88 xFIP, Cleveland has had a top-10 bullpen over the last month.

- Progressive Field is not kind to hitters -- it ranks as the least hitter-friendly ballpark in the MLB, the least home run-friendly ballpark, and there will be winds blowing in from right/center.

Favorite LAD Bats: Mookie Betts, Max Muncy, Freddie Freeman

Bargain Bat: David Peralta

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

+ Pirates: 5.3 implied runs (ranks 2nd on the slate).

+ This stack could easily flop, but attacking Wainwright has routinely paid off this season -- Waino has been one of the worst starters in the MLB this season with an 8.42 ERA, 5.72 xFIP, 2.01 WHIP, .431 opp wOBA, and 9.3% Barrel%.

+ The Pirates have been an above-average offense vs. RHPs over the last month -- their 108 wRC+ ranks 12th in MLB.

+ There are plenty of cheap bats within this Pirates lineup.

+ Over the last two weeks, the Cardinals bullpen owns a .301 opp AVG, 1.47 WHIP, and 5.40 ERA.

- This looks to be a fairly chalky stack with five Pirates hitters projected at 11+% ownership.

Favorite PIT Bats: Bryan Reynolds, Connor Joe, Endy Rodriguez

Bargain Bat: Ji Hwan Bae

Obligatory Braves Stack

Atlanta Braves vs. Tylor Megill (RHP), NYM

+ Braves: 6.0 implied runs (ranks 1st on the slate).

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Seattle Mariners vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS

+ Despite being one of the hottest offenses in baseball, every Mariners hitter is being pinned with < 10% pOwn%.

+ Mariners: 4.7 implied runs (ranks T-6th on the slate).

+ Over the last week, the Mariners lead the MLB with each of the following offensive metrics: .337 AVG, 1.023 OPS, .433 wOBA, and 187 wRC+.

+ Guaranteed Rate Field has ranked as the #10 home run park this season.

+ Over the last two weeks, the White Sox bullpen is responsible for a .284 opp AVG, 1.61 WHIP, 7.13 ERA, and 1.94 HR/9 Rate.

- White Sox starter Mike Clevinger has been in some strong form with a 1.30 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over his last five starts -- he also averages +24.0% more FPPG at home.

Favorite SEA Bats: Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, Teoscar Hernandez

Bargain Bat: JP Crawford

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DK: $6.5k, FD: $4.6k | vs. Graham Ashcraft (RHP), CIN

2B/OF Mookie Betts, LAD | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Noah Syndergaard (RHP), CLE

1B Matt Olson, ATL | DK: $6.3k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Tylor Megill (RHP), NYM

OF Kyle Tucker, HOU | DK: $5.8k, FD: $4k | vs. Tanner Houck (RHP), BOS

SS Bobby Witt Jr., KC | DK: $5.8k, FD: $4.3k | vs. TBA, OAK

OF Julio Rodriguez, SEA | DK: $5.5k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS

2B Zack Gelof, OAK | DK: $5.5k, FD: $4k | vs. Angel Zerpa (LHP), KC

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Bryce Elder (RHP), ATL

OF Lane Thomas, WAS | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Carlos Rodon (LHP), NYY

1B Christian Walker, ARI | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Jon Gray (RHP), TEX

OF Bryan Reynolds, PIT | DK: $4.8k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

2B/3B Ha-Seong Kim, SD | DK: $4.6k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Jesus Luzardo (LHP), MIA

1B Ryan Mountcastle, BAL | DK: $4.3k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Yusei Kikuchi (LHP), TOR

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

OF Eddie Rosario, ATL | DK: $4k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Tylor Megill (RHP), NYM

SS JP Crawford, SEA | DK: $3.9k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS

OF Teoscar Hernandez, SEA | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS

OF Stone Garrett, WAS | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Carlos Rodon (LHP), NYY

OF Tyler O’Neill, STL | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Johan Oviedo (RHP), PIT

1B/OF Connor Joe, PIT | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

C Endy Rodriguez, PIT | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL

OF David Peralta, LAD | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Noah Syndergaard (RHP), CLE

3B Noelvi Marte, CIN | DK: $2.5k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Lucas Giolito (RHP), LAA

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Spencer Torkelson MORE than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Mookie Betts MORE than 1.5 Total Bases

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

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Best of luck out there today, everyone!