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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A new week of MLB action will get underway with an eight-game Monday main slate. This slate features a really strong group of pitching options, Coors Field is back on the menu for the first time since August 2nd, and there are several non-Coors stacks that stand out as well. Let’s have some fun with this one! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• PIT @ NYM (7:10 ET): A bit of light rainfall is possible during this game but they should be able to play through it. Winds OUT to left at 10+ mph.

• NYY @ ATL (7:20 ET): Low chance of a summertime pop-up making its way over the ballpark.

• OAK @ STL (7:45 ET): Winds OUT to right at 10+ mph.

• ARI @ COL (8:40 ET): Winds IN from right, a bit right to left, at 10 mph.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Tyler Glasnow (RHP), TB | DK: $10.8k, FD: $10.7k | @ SF

Between Glasnow, Scherzer, Gilbert, and Fried, we’ve got some strong pitchers to choose from at the top end of DFS salaries today. Glasnow earns the spotlight today thanks to some outstanding consistency as of late combined with a juicy match-up. Glasnow has been fully locked in spanning his last seven starts dating back to June 25th. In that time (43.1 IP), he boasted an outstanding 2.08 ERA, 2.15 xFIP, 0.90 WHIP, .190 opp AVG, and 37.3% kRate. He has scored no less than 23.4 DKFP/38 FDFP in that stretch as well.

Glasnow will take the mound at the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park against a Giants team that averages just 3.87 runs/gm at home (3rd lowest in MLB). The Giants have been putrid against RHPs over the last month where they’re hitting an MLB-worst .201 to go along with a .622 OPS, 71 wRC+, and 25.1% kRate. Over the last two weeks against RHPs, the Giants’ batting average has dipped even further down to .186 to go along with a 53 wRC+. Nothing is guaranteed in baseball, but this should be a match-up that Glasnow should dominate. The Giants are being pinned with a slate-low 3.4 implied run total.

Brady Singer (RHP), KC | DK: $7.9k, FD: $9.1k | vs. SEA

Singer represents some solid leverage if you wish to pivot away from the more expensive and chalkier pitchers (and/or if you want to get away from the Miles Mikolas value pitcher chalk). Singer has been very solid over his previous five starts where he has procured a 2.94 ERA, 3.45 xFIP, 0.86 WHIP, .198 opp AVG, and 23.8% kRate while averaging 21.7 DKFP/38.2 FDFP per game. He’s also at home today where he averages +37.6% more FPPG.

Singer specializes in a primary two-pitch mix of sinkers (51.6%) and sliders (41.6%). Against those two pitch types (from RHPs), the Mariners rank 23rd with a .236 AVG and .303 wOBA to go along with the 5th highest kRate. They have hit RHPs well over the last month (115 wRC+, ranks 7th) but they also offer up some strong strikeout upside for opposing pitchers given their 27.0% kRate vs. RHPs over the last month. He’s a riskier option, but Singer carries plenty of GPP appeal today.

Grayson Rodriguez (RHP), BAL | DK: $6.4k, FD: $7.5k | @ SD

As touched on above, the value SP chalk is going to fall on Miles Mikolas (DK: $7k, FD: $8k) against the A’s, who has a pOwn% of 42% on DraftKings and 26% on FanDuel. Grayson Rodriguez has a <5% pOwn% on both sites and is priced down low enough to where he makes for an intriguing value play. Rodriguez was one of the highest-ranked pitching prospects in baseball, and he prepares to make his 16th career MLB start tonight. His rookie campaign has not been without its bumps in the road, but his 5.84 ERA is backed up by a much stronger 3.89 xFIP, indicating that he has had his fair share of some ‘bad luck’ this season and has pitched better than his ERA would indicate. Rodriguez has looked much better over his previous four starts, where he has strung together a very respectable 2.66 ERA, 3.89 xFIP, 0.93 WHIP, .175 opp AVG, and 22.0% kRate. He also posted those numbers against some fairly potent offenses (Rays, Astros, Blue Jays, and Yankees). He has also been better on the road (+88.9% more FPPG) and will take the mound at the pitcher-friendly Petco Park tonight.

There will be some added risk from Rodriguez’s match-up with the Padres. San Diego has posted an above-average 102 wRC+ and a low 20.3% kRate vs. RHPs over the last month. However, they have been less effective at home (4.27 runs/gm at home vs. 4.85 runs/gm away) and they are in a bit of a slump over the last week with an 88 wRC+ and 26.7% kRate vs. RHPs. All things considered, there’s some decent 20 DKFP/35 FDFP upside to be had from Rodriguez in this spot.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Max Scherzer (RHP), TEX | DK: $11k, FD: $10.5k | vs. LAA

Max Fried (LHP), ATL | DK: $9.4k, FD: $10.6k | vs. NYY

*Merrill Kelly (RHP), ARI | DK: $8.1k, FD: $9.3k | @ COL

Miles Mikolas (RHP), STL | DK: $7k, FD: $8k | vs. OAK

*Kelly exited his last start early due to a leg cramp but if he isn’t expected to face any limitations, he makes for an intriguing leverage play at Coors Field.

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chris Flexen (RHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. Merrill Kelly (RHP), ARI

Non-Coors Stacks

St. Louis Cardinals vs. JP Sears (LHP), OAK

+ Cardinals: 5.1 implied runs (ranks 2nd among non-Coors teams).

+ JP Sears is Oakland’s best starter, outside of perhaps Paul Blackburn, but he has been in some poor form over his last four starts: 5.49 ERA, 5.74 xFIP, 1.68 WHIP, .318 opp AVG, .404 opp wOBA, and 17.9% kRate.

+ Sears ranks in the bottom 10th percentile in average distance (200.7 feet) and barreled balls allowed (nine) over the last 30 days.

+ Cardinals have been a top-10 offense vs. LHPs L30Days: .286 AVG (4th), .823 OPS (8th), .353 wOBA (7th), 126 wRC+ (7th), and 38.2% HardContact% (5th).

+ Busch Stadium has ranked as the #3 hitter’s park this season, and the Cardinals are averaging 4.96 runs/gm at home.

+ The A’s bullpen ranks bottom five in most key metrics.

- Sears averages +21.8% more FPPG on the road and he has posted a respectable 3.82 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in away games this season.

Favorite STL Bats: Nolan Arenado, Tommy Edman, Nolan Gorman

Bargain Bat: Willson Contreras

Atlanta Braves (LHBs Preferred) vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP), NYY

+ Braves: 5.0 implied runs (ranks 3rd among non-Coors teams).

+ Schmidt is a pretty decent starter who has excelled on the road, but he has some noticeable traditional splits -- Schmidt vs. LHBs: .286 AVG, .378 wOBA, .214 ISO, 5.25 xFIP, and 1.58 WHIP -- you’re still not crossing out guys like Acuña or Riley, but the Braves LHBs should receive a bump.

+ Against RHPs L2Weeks, the Braves rank 1st in AVG, OPS, wOBA, wRC+, home runs, and runs scored.

+ Truist Park has ranked as the #4 hitter’s park this season and the Braves are averaging 6.00 runs/gm at home.

- The Yankees bullpen has been top-10 all season and particularly strong over the last month where their 3.80 xFIP ranks 3rd in MLB.

- Core Braves bats continue to be very expensive.

Favorite ATL Bats: Matt Olson, Ronald Acuña Jr., Michael Harris II

Bargain Bat: Nicky Lopez

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Oakland Athletics vs. Miles Mikolas (RHP), STL

+ 8-of-9 A’s hitters have a ≤ 5% pOwn%.

+ This is primarily a leverage stack versus a chalky Miles Mikolas (42% pOwn% DK, 26% pOwn% FD) but you don’t have to go crazy here -- even a two or three-man A’s stacks would be enough to set lineups apart in GPPs.

+ Mikolas has had plenty of dud performances since the beginning of June -- in that span (13 starts, 71.2 IP), he has produced an unremarkable 4.65 ERA, 4.99 xFIP, .282 opp AVG, and a meager 13.6% kRate.

+ Mikolas: nine barreled balls L30Days (bottom 10th percentile).

+ The A’s have been sneaky decent when facing RHPs on the road over the last month, putting up a .756 OPS (10th), .324 wOBA (12th), .223 ISO (2nd), 107 wRC+ (11th), and 36.6% HardContact% (6th).

+ Busch Stadium has ranked as the #3 hitter’s park this season -- a big upgrade over the A’s home ballpark (Oakland Coliseum #3 LEAST hitter-friendly ballpark).

- This is still a highly unreliable A’s offense that can often struggle to play one or two runs in any given game.

- The Cardinals have had a top-10 bullpen over the last month.

Favorite OAK Bats: Zack Gelof, Seth Brown, Esteury Ruiz

Bargain Bat: Brent Rooker

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DK: $6.6k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Max Scherzer (RHP), TEX

1B Matt Olson, ATL | DK: $6.5k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP), NYY

OF Aaron Judge, NYY | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4k | vs. Max Fried (LHP), ATL

SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $6.3k, FD: $4.2k | vs. Patrick Sandoval (LHP), LAA

3B Nolan Arenado, STL | DK: $5.6k, FD: $3.4k | vs. JP Sears (LHP), OAK

1B Christian Walker, ARI | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Chris Flexen (RHP), COL

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Quinn Priester (RHP), PIT

1B Yandy Diaz, TB | DK: $5k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Ryan Walker (RHP), SF

2B Ha-Seong Kim, SD | DK: $4.9k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Grayson Rodriguez (RHP), BAL

3B Ryan McMahon, COL | DK: $4.6k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Merrill Kelly (RHP), ARI

2B Zack Gelof, OAK | DK: $4.5k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Miles Mikolas (RHP), STL

C Cal Raleigh, SEA | DK: $4.5k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Brady Singer (RHP), KC

OF Bryan Reynolds, PIT | DK: $4.3k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Carlos Carrasco (RHP), NYM

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

SS Tommy Edman, STL | DK: $3.9k, FD: $2.9k | vs. JP Sears (LHP), OAK

OF Tommy Pham, ARI | DK: $3.8k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Chris Flexen (RHP), COL

OF Tyler O’Neill, STL | DK: $3.7k, FD: $2.5k | vs. JP Sears (LHP), OAK

C Willson Contreras, STL | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.7k | vs. JP Sears (LHP), OAK

2B/OF Jeff McNeil, NYM | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Quinn Priester (RHP), PIT

C Mitch Garver, TEX | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Patrick Sandoval (LHP), LAA

2B/SS Liover Peguero, PIT | DK: $2.8k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Carlos Carrasco (RHP), NYM

OF/SS Nicky Lopez, ATL | DK: $2.6k, FD: $2.1k | vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP), NYY

OF Rafael Ortega, NYM | DK: $2.1k, FD: $2.1k | vs. Quinn Priester (RHP), PIT

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Matt Olson MORE than 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

Tyler Glasnow MORE than 40.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

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Best of luck out there today, everyone!