Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

Following one of the crazier slates of the season, where 12 teams scored 10+ runs in Tuesday’s MLB action, I’m sure many will be glad to see a (likely) less hectic eight-game main slate on the Wednesday ticket! I’m also seeing in chat that a lot of LineStar folks had some big nights yesterday so congrats to conquering the chaos! I’m a little behind the eight ball today after wrapping up the PGA newsletter for the Open Championship (check it out if you’re interested in trying some PGA DFS -- it’s a big week with some massive DFS contests posted!), so today’s MLB newsletter will be a bit abbreviated. We’ll still look to find all the right pieces to the puzzle. Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• NYY @ LAA (7:07 ET): A bit of an earlier start in Anaheim. Temps will be in the upper-80s with 10 mph winds blowing OUT to center.

• CWS @ NYM (7:10 ET): Some cloud coverage but any rain should stay south of the ballpark. Light winds blowing OUT.

• SF @ CIN (7:10 ET): Low chance for some light rain. Not a major worry.

• ARI @ ATL (7:20 ET): Some rain will be around in the afternoon but should be clear by first pitch. No issues are expected.

• DET @ KC (8:10 ET): Moderate chance that they’ll have to deal with some light rain in the later innings, but it’s doubtful that any stoppage will be needed. Winds around 15 mph will be blowing IN from left/center before tapering off later in the evening.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP), DET | DK: $9.5k, FD: $10.6k | @ KC

E-Rod is having himself a career year, and he heads into Wednesday’s match-up leading all SPs on the slate with a 2.70 ERA, 3.48 xFIP, and 1.00 WHIP. His 26.8% kRate is also just a hair behind Luis Castillo (26.9% kRate) for the slate lead. Rodriguez’s teammate and fellow lefty pitcher Tarik Skubal got rocked by this Royals offense last night for seven runs on eight hits across 4.0 IP but, for pure upside sake, we should probably take a shot here on Rodriguez given Kansas City’s massive 28.8% kRate vs. LHPs over the last month. While he did give up eight hits and a couple of runs when he faced this KC team in late May, Rodriguez did rack up nine strikeouts across five innings of work. If he doesn’t get BABIP’d to death (KC rocking an unsustainably high .370 BABIP vs. LHPs L30Days), Rodriguez should be poised for a strong outing tonight.

Justin Verlander (RHP), NYM | DK: $8.8k, FD: $9.5k | vs. CWS

Verlander clearly appears to be past his prime despite winning an AL Cy Young award just a season ago. Perhaps the wear and tear of being a heavily utilized ace is finally beginning to take its toll. But with that being said, Verlander’s DFS prices have been in a palatable range for weeks now, and he has been a much more reliable starter at home in the pitcher-friendly confines of Citi Field. In seven home games (42.0 IP), this season, Verlander has procured a 2.57 ERA, 4.16 xFIP, 1.07 WHIP, .203 opp AVG, and 23.2% kRate while averaging 18.4 DKFP/gm and 31.5 FDFP/gm. His home splits versus right-handed batters, in particular, are even a bit better (3.40 xFIP, 1.03 WHIP, 24.2% kRate), and the White Sox will be rolling out seven RHBs in their (confirmed) lineup today. Against RHPs this season, the White Sox have been a firmly bottom-five offense, ranking 27th in OPS (.678), wOBA (.294), and wRC+ (85) while striking out 23.4% of the time (12th highest). The Mets (-216 ML odds) are the second-heaviest favorites on the slate, and while he hasn’t flashed much of his vintage upside this season, we should see a quality performance from Verlander today.

Ryan Yarbrough (LHP), KC | DK: $5.5k, FD: $5.6k | vs. DET

There is not much to love among the value-tier starting pitchers today but Ryan Yarbrough’s slate-low DFS salaries are going to make him an “intriguing enough” punt play. Yarbrough had a lengthy stint on the 60-day IL with a head injury that occurred in early May, but he returned to action 10 days ago against the Guardians and had his best outing of the season -- 6.0 IP (78 PC), 6 H, 1 BB, 1 ER, 5 K with a win and quality start bonus, good for 21.3 DKFP/40 FDFP. I can’t hype up Yarbrough too much because he hasn’t been very good this season (5.29 ERA, 5.44 xFIP, 13.9% kRate) but he has been excellent at limiting hard-hit balls with a slate-best 28.8% HardHit% and 84.5 mph average exit velo. He’ll also face a Tigers team that averages just 3.94 runs/gm on the road and has been a bottom-10 offense versus LHPs this season, by most key metrics. He’ll probably best be suited as a DraftKings SP2 punt play but, if you’re really gunning for a lineup full of big bats, Yarbrough is worth a dart throw over on FanDuel as well. There’s moderate potential for another 20 DKFP/35 FDFP kinda day, but I think we’d be happy with anything around 15 DKFP/30 FDF given his bottom-of-the-barrel salaries.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Luis Castillo (RHP), SEA | DK: $9.3k, FD: $10.5k | vs. MIN

Kenta Maeda (RHP), MIN | DK: $7.8k, FD: $7.2k | @ SEA

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Braves Stack

Atlanta Braves vs. Ryne Nelson (RHP), ARI

It’s getting a bit redundant always suggesting the Braves stack at this point so we won’t expand on this not-so-spicy stack suggestion today.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Ross Stripling (RHP), SF

+ Reds: 5.5 implied runs (ranks T-2nd on the slate).

+ Stripling is in the midst of a very poor season, coming in with a slate-worst 6.11 ERA, .363 opp wOBA, 26.7% HR/FB Rate, and 8.6% Barrel%.

+ Stripling is allowing a higher wOBA to LHBs (.389) but a higher HR/9 to LHBs (2.67) so the full Reds lineup should have a chance for success against him.

+ Reds offensive rankings vs. RHPs over the last month: 8th in OPS, 9th in wOBA, 4th in ISO, 11th in wRC+, 2nd in HRs.

+ GABP is a notoriously great hitter’s park, ranking 5th in adjusted park factor this season and 3rd in home run factor.

+ Reds are set up as a fairly low-owned stack today with every hitter holding an 11% pOwn% or lower.

- Stripling has had some fairly poor BABIP luck this season and an unusually high home run rate -- his 3.60 xFIP is rather solid and more indicative of where his ERA probably “should” be.

- Giants have had a top-10 bullpen this season as well as over the last month.

Favorite CIN Bats: Jake Fraley, Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz

Bargain Bat: Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Washington Nationals vs. Kyle Hendricks (RHP), CHC

+ 8-of-9 hitters in the projected WAS lineup have an 11% pOwn% or lower.

+ Hendricks has some poor short-term form coming into this game -- over his last two starts (@ NYY, vs. BOS), he has allowed 18 H (6 HR!) and 9 ER across 10.1 IP.

+ Hendricks: 8 barreled balls L30Days (bottom 10th percentile).

+ Bit of a small sample size, but Washington has scored at least seven runs in four of their last six games and, in that stretch, they’re posting an .831 OPS (5th), .354 wOBA (6th), and 121 wRC+ (8th).

+ Plenty of cheap bats to choose from in this Nationals lineup.

-/+ The Cubs’ bullpen has been strong over the last month, with a 3.30 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .198 opp AVG, however, their 4.51 xFIP (9th worst) in that span indicates regression is due.

- There’s not a ton of ‘pop’ in this Nationals order and their 55 HRs vs. RHPs is the 2nd fewest in MLB.

- Nationals: 4.3 implied runs (6th lowest on the slate).

Favorite WAS Bats: CJ Abrams, Lane Thomas, Jeimer Candelario

Bargain Bat: Keibert Ruiz

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DK: $6.6k, FD: $4.6k | vs. Carlos Rodon (LHP), NYY

OF Ronald Acuña Jr., ATL | DK: $6.5k, FD: $4.8k | vs. Ryne Nelson (RHP), ARI

OF Luis Robert Jr., CWS | DK: $6k, FD: $4k | vs. Justin Verlander (RHP), NYM

OF Juan Soto, SD | DK: $5.5k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Jose Berrios (RHP), TOR

1B Christian Walker, ARI | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Charlie Morton (RHP), ATL

OF Jake Fraley, CIN | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Ross Stripling (RHP), SF

OF Lane Thomas, WAS | DK: $5k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Kyle Hendricks (RHP), CHC

2B Gleyber Torres, NYY | DK: $4.9k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Chase Silseth (RHP), LAA

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Touki Toussaint (RHP), CWS

OF Cody Bellinger, CHC | DK: $4.4k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Trevor Williams (RHP), WAS

2B/OF Whit Merrifield, TOR | DK: $4.2k, FD: $3k | vs. Yu Darvish (RHP), SD

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

3B Jeimer Candelario, WAS | DK: $3.8k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Kyle Hendricks (RHP), CHC

1B Spencer Torkelson, DET | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Ryan Yarbrough (LHP), KC

C Francisco Alvarez, NYM | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Touki Toussaint (RHP), CWS

OF Michael Conforto, SF | DK: $3.3k, FD: $3k | vs. Graham Ashcraft (RHP), CIN

SS CJ Abrams, WAS | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Kytle Hendricks (RHP), CHC

1B/3B Wilmer Flores, SF | DK: $3.1k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Graham Ashcraft (RHP), CIN

OF Jake McCarthy, ARI | DK: $2.8k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Charlie Morton (RHP), ATL

3B Christian Encarnacion-Strand, CIN | DK: $2.5k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Ross Stripling (RHP), SF

OF Trent Grisham, SD | DK: $2.3k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Jose Berrios (RHP), TOR

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Eduardo Rodriguez MORE than 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (“Discount Dog” Promo)

Trent Grisham MORE than 0.5 Total Bases

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

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Best of luck out there today, everyone!