Top MLB DFS Plays & Prop Bets 7/13 | 9 Games on a Wednesday

July 13, 2022

The Yankees and Padres are taking all the ownership!

Pennd By: Tyler Wiemann

OnDeck Podcast 📣

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

While Ryan is crying from his Braves loss today, I am stepping in for the MLB main slate once again!

Now let's dive...

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook ☁️🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

There shouldn't be any postponed games today, but we aren't totally in the clear.

CHW @ CLE - A few showers, but it looks like light rain that they can play through.

CIN @ NYY: Mid 80's, nice hitting weather.

LAD @ STL: 90 degrees!

SDP @ COL - A few showers possible, high 80-degree temps. A late start or delay could happen, but not likely.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Shane McClanahan (LHP), TBR | DK: $10k, FD: 11.5K | vs. BOS

  • BOS's lineup has a 24% K rate vs lefties.

  • BOS's lineup has a .323 wOBA vs lefties.

  • BOS's lineup has a .162 ISO vs lefties.

  • Mclanahan is a K machine

  • 37% k rate over his last 5

  • 34% over the last 20

  • 30.9% combined K rate

  • Great statcast data

  • 4.5 star alert rating

 Cristian Javier (RHP), HOU | DK: $9.3k, FD: $9.7k | @ LAA

  • Trout left last night's game due to back spasms

  • Angels have been awful and now are likely without Trout tonight

  • LAA's lineup has a 26.5% K rate vs righties.

  • LAA hitting .160 vs Cristian Javier in 31 at-bats with 52% k rate!

  • Combined K rate is 35%

  • Love the low ownership and upside with him tonight.

Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI | DK: $9.7k, FD: $10.6k | @ TOR

  • He has a tough matchup today vs TOR, but he has been pretty much matchup-proof lately and his ownership is super low.

  • 2.5 FIP over his last 20 starts

  • 27.9% K rate

  • Over his last 10 starts he has only allowed 11 earned runs! 1.1 ER / G

  • I am always interested in a pitcher of this caliber when they are going this low owned, 4% on DK and 2% on FD.

Adam Wainwright (RHP), STL | DK: $7.2k, FD: $8.5k | vs. LAD

  • Waino is much better at home! Averaging 38.2% more FP while home.

  • He also averages 5.75 K's in his starts at home vs 3.89K's in starts on the road.

  • However he does face a good Dodgers team that is hitting .283 off of him in 83 PAs.

Other Pitchers to Consider:

Shohei Ohtani

Spencer Watkins

Jon Gray

Tony Gonsolin

Josh Winckowski

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

San Diego Padres vs. Chad Kuhl (RHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. Joe Musgrove (RHP), SD

Other Stacks to Consider

 

New York Yankees vs. Mike Minor (LHP), CIN

  • NYY's lineup has a .342 wOBA vs lefties.

  • NYY's lineup has a .224 ISO vs lefties.

  • Mike Minor: Bottom 10% barreled balls past 30 days: 9 barreled balls, and allowing 49% fly balls

  • Good hitting weather in NYY

  • BVP: 94 PAs, .210Ave, and .222 iso

  • 5.8 implied total, higher than SD but getting less ownership

Texas Rangers vs. Paul Blackburn (LHP), ARI

  • Tex has been hot lately

  • Blackburn: Bottom 5% barreled balls past 30 days: 10 barreled balls, 32% hard contact, 31% line drives

  • Blackburn: 5.25 FIP over his last 5 starts, and has given up 6 HRs in his last 4 starts.

  • TEX's lineup has a .162 ISO vs righties.

  • 4.2 Vegas implied total for TEX

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Chicago White Sox vs. Aaron Civale (RHP), CLE

  • Civale allowing 36% hard contact, and 1.4 HR/9

  • Allowing 1.4 HR/9

  • 92 PAs vs Civale: .346 with 6 HRs .284 ISO

  • Civale is allowing a .303 Opp BA to righties

  • CHW's best hitters are all righties: Anderson, Robert, Abreu, Jimenez

Home Run Call of the Day 💣💥

Corey Seager | DK: $5.1k, FD: $4k | vs. Paul Blackburn (RHP), OAK

You can listen to why I like Seager today on the podcast, or in the tweet below.

Reminder: Follow @LineStarApp on Twitter and retweet the daily Home Run Call (shown below)! Three retweeters are randomly selected and assigned a hitter from the HR calls between myself, @FlatTyler83, and @ShannonOnSports. If your player hits a home run, you'll win your choice of cash (via PayPal) or a two-month subscription to LineStar!

Best of luck out there today, everyone!