Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

If you thought we were done with the mammoth slates, think again! A 13-game midweek main slate lands on the board today. Pitching isn’t quite as deep today, but with 26 teams in action, some guys should go out there and shove, or at least pay off their DFS tags. Overall, the odds may swing more toward the offensive side of things by the time the dust settles on this slate. Should be a fun one! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

SD @ PIT (7:05 ET): Back to worrying about air quality due to the wildfires up north. There’s no expectation that it will inhibit play. Light winds OUT to right.

MIA @ BOS (7:10 ET): Chance for a delay/late start with some storms clearing around first pitch. No PPD concerns. Light winds blowing OUT to left.

HOU @ STL (7:45 ET): 10-15 mph winds mostly coming IN from right, a bit right to left.

PHI @ CHC (8:05 ET): A bit cooler for this time of year with temps in the 60s. Light 5-10 mph winds blowing IN from right at times.

CLE @ KC (8:10 ET): Hot and humid with temps in the mid-90s. Some lighter winds may shift toward the outfield at times as well. Quality conditions for hitters.

LOS @ COL (8:40 ET): Winds IN from center around 10 mph. Doesn’t matter too much at Coors Field.

CWS @ LAA (9:38 ET): Winds OUT to left at 10 mph.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Blake Snell (LHP), SD | DK: $10.3k, FD: $11.1k | @ PIT

Snellzilla looks like he’s back! He’s been one of the most dominant pitchers in the MLB in recent weeks, so Snell will draw quite a bit of ownership in a plus match-up today. Spanning his last five starts (31.0 IP), Snell has procured a microscopic 0.29 ERA, 1.82 xFIP, 0.71 WHIP, .177 opp wOBA, and a massive 44.2% kRate. And while the walks have still been an issue at times, Snell’s 8.0% BB% in that recent five-start stretch is a noticeable improvement on his 11.8% BB% on the season. He also put up those numbers in some tough match-ups -- a game at Coors Field, an outing versus the Rays, and, most recently, a start against a red-hot Giants team.

After Yu Darvish was scratched from yesterday’s game due to an illness, the Pirates busted out of their slump against the Padres’ bullpen, plating nine runs (eight earned) on 16 hits. A big game in an opponent’s unexpected bullpen game is not enough to erase the overall drought that the Pirates' offense had been in over the last couple of weeks. Since June 13th, the Pirates are now 2-12 in the win/loss column, and, in that stretch, they’re hitting .197 with a .582 OPS, .259 wOBA, 59 wRC+, and 25.0% kRate. They’re built to have a bit more success against lefty pitching but with the way Snell is shoving it right now, this is far from a match-up to shy away from. Pittsburgh owns a lowly 3.6 implied run total and the Padres are fairly heavy -162 ML favorites.

Kodai Senga (RHP), NYM | DK: $10.1k, FD: $10.3k | vs. MIL

The pitching in the mid-range isn’t overly enticing today, so we’ll spotlight another SP in the five-figure tier. Overall, Kodai Senga has pitched well in his first MLB season and he’s been one of the few bright spots on an underperforming Mets team. He’s also looked much more comfortable in the pitcher-friendly confines of his home ballpark at Citi Field. Here are Senga’s noticeably contrasting home/road splits this season:

Home: 39.1 IP, 2.52 ERA, 3.78 xFIP, 1.09 WHIP, .259 opp wOBA, 0.92 HR/9, 30.4% kRate

Away: 37.1 IP, 4.58 ERA, 4.32 xFIP, 1.61 WHIP, .330 opp wOBA, 1.21 HR/9, 25.7% kRate

The match-up sets up extremely well for Senga today. The Brewers have been the worst offense against RHPs over the last month. They’ve put up a meager .204 AVG, .622 OPS, .278 wOBA, and 71 wRC+ (ranking last in each category). Their 27.4% kRate is also the second-highest in the MLB across the last month of action. It’s a great spot for Senga to post one of his ceiling games this evening.

JP Sears (LHP), OAK | DK: $7.1k, FD: $8.2k | vs. NYY

It’s not often an Oakland A’s pitcher lands on the DFS radar unless we’re talking about stacking against them, but JP Sears has been a rock-solid starter on the season and he’s been trending up nicely in recent weeks. Across his last five outings (29.2 IP), Sears has posted a very respectable 3.03 ERA, 4.75 xFIP, 0.91 WHIP, .192 opp AVG, and 24.8% kRate. Now, that 4.75 xFIP isn’t pretty, and it’s likely due to Sears benefiting from some extensive BABIP luck (.200 BABIP L5Starts). He’s also no stranger to giving up the long ball (1.94 HR/9 Rate this season, 1.80 HR/9 Rate L5Starts). Sears will be toeing the rubber at home at the pitcher-friendly Oakland Coliseum. If he can limit the barreled balls and keep the ball inside the park, he should be in line for another quality outing.

The Yankees offense has really become dormant without Aaron Judge in the lineup and their 67 runs scored in the month of June is the lowest run total in the MLB. Against LHPs in this June stretch, they’re only hitting .213 with a .285 wOBA, 84 wRC+, and 27.7% kRate. It’s not a perfect match-up and I could see Sears giving up a couple of homers to this Yankees lineup that still has some solid power. But, as long as they’re solo shots, I believe Sears can get out of this game with a solid performance with decent potential of notching seven or eight Ks.

Other Pitchers to Consider:

Aaron Nola (RHP), PHI | DK: $10.4k, FD: $9.6k | @ CHC

Braxton Garrett (LHP), MIA | DK: $8.7k, FD: $9.9k | @ BOS

Logan Allen (LHP), CLE | DK: $8k, FD: $8.4k | @ KC

Dane Dunning (RHP), TEX | DK: $6.1k, FD: $7.5k | vs. DET

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Kyle Freeland (LHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. TBA (possibly RHP Michael Grove as bulk reliever), LAD

Non-Coors Stacks

Texas Rangers vs. Joey Wentz (LHP), DET

+ Rangers: 5.3 implied runs (ranks 1st among non-Coors teams).

+ Wentz is one of the lower-quality starters on the slate, owning a 6.72 ERA, 4.82 xFIP, 1.58 WHIP, 15.9% HR/FB%, and 44.6% HardHit% this season.

+ In 27.2 IP on the road this season, Wentz has come away with a 7.48 ERA, .372 opp wOBA, and 2.28 HR/9.

+ Rangers are often a reliable stack when facing an LHP at home -- their home splits vs. LHPs over the last month: .323 AVG, .917 OPS, .395 wOBA, .211 ISO, and 157 wRC+.

+ Rangers are averaging an MLB-leading 6.33 runs/gm at home.

+ Globe Life Field: #4 hitter’s park & #1 home run park this season.

- Tigers bullpen has been sharp over the last two weeks: 2.89 ERA, 3.23 xFIP, 1.16 WHIP, 29.2% kRate.

Favorite TEX Bats: Adolis Garcia, Corey Seager, Josh Jung

Bargain Bat: Ezequiel Duran

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Zach Davies (RHP), ARI

+ Rays: 5.1 implied runs (ranks T-3rd on the slate).

+ In eight starts this season, Davies has recorded just one quality start and ranks last on the slate in the following categories: 7.82 ERA, 4.96 xFIP, and 1.82 WHIP.

+ Even if the Rays are not constantly obliterating opposing pitchers like they were to start the season, they’re still a consistently top-10 offense -- over the last two weeks they rank 3rd in AVG, 8th in OPS, 8th in wOBA, and 6th in wRC+.

+ Chase Field ranks as the #10 hitter’s park this season.

- Davies has limited the home run damage (0.76 HR/9) and has a low 4.1% Barrel%.

- D-Backs bullpen has been above average this season, particularly in the last two weeks: 2.88 ERA, 3.43 xFIP, 1.06 WHIP, and 26.2% kRate.

Favorite TB Bats: Randy Arozarena, Yandy Diaz, Luke Raley (+ Josh Lowe if he’s in the lineup)

Bargain Bat: Jose Siri

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Cincinnati Reds vs. Kyle Gibson (RHP), BAL

+ Seems like the general public has cooled off on the Reds bats -- 8-of-9 hitters have a 4% pOwn% or lower today.

+ Gibson is a solid starter but he’s far from unhittable and has fairly average results from this season: 4.30 ERA, 4.48 xFIP, 1.34 WHIP, 43.4% HardHit%, .344 opp xwOBA.

+ Gibson L30Days: 91.1 mph average exit velo (bottom 20th percentile) & eight barreled balls (bottom 15th percentile).

+ Reds vs. RHPs L2Weeks: .870 OPS (3rd), .375 wOBA (3rd), .247 ISO (3rd), and 129 wRC+ (4th).

-/+ Orioles have had a top-10 bullpen this season and some of their best relievers are fresh, however, over the last two weeks, the O’s bullpen has posted some bottom-10 figures: 5.88 ERA, 4.64 xFIP, and 1.55 WHIP.

- Reds: 4.3 implied runs (8th lowest on the slate).

Favorite CIN Bats: Elly De La Cruz, TJ Friedl, Jake Fraley

Bargain Bat: Will Benson

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DK: $6.5k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Lucas Giolito (RHP), CWS

OF Randy Arozarena, TB | DK: $5.9k, FD: $4k | vs. Zach Davies (RHP), ARI

C Will Smith, LAD | DK: $5.6k, FD: $4.1k | vs. Kyle Freeland (LHP), COL

OF Adolis Garcia, TEX | DK: $5.4k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Joey Wentz (LHP), DET

2B Ketel Marte, ARI | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Zach Eflin (RHP), TB

OF Kyle Schwarber, PHI | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Drew Smyly (LHP), CHC

3B Jose Ramirez, CLE | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Austin Cox (LHP), KC

OF Jazz Chisholm Jr., MIA | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Kalab Ort (RHP), BOS

OF Jake Fraley, CIN | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Kyle Gibson (RHP), BAL

OF Cedric Mullins, BAL | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Luke Weaver (RHP), CIN

SS Francisco Lindor, NYM | DK: $4.4k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Wade Miley (LHP), MIL

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

2B Andres Gimenez, CLE | DK: $4k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Austin Cox (LHP), KC

OF Bryan De La Cruz, MIA | DK: $3.9k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Kaleb Ort (RHP), BOS

SS Ezequiel Tovar, COL | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. TBA, LAD

SS Amed Rosario, CLE | DK: $3.7k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Austin Cox (LHP), KC

OF Jose Siri, TB | DK: $3.6k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Zach Davies (RHP), ARI

C Yainer Diaz, HOU | DK: $3.4k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Miles Mikolas (RHP), STL

OF Ezequiel Duran, TEX | DK: $3.4k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Joey Wentz (LHP), DET

3B Maikel Garcia, KC | DK: $3.1k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Logan Allen (LHP), CLE

2B Jordan Westburg, BAL | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Luke Weaver (RHP), CIN

OF Aaron Hicks, BAL | DK: $2.6k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Luke Weaver (RHP), CIN

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Ezequiel Duran MORE than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Shohei Ohtani MORE than 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!