Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

Tuesdays are for baseball, and every MLB team is in action today with 22 teams landing on the 11-game main slate! This one is going to be a doozy with plenty of aces taking the mound on some big offenses waiting on deck. Let’s get it! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

STL @ WAS (7:05 ET): Winds IN from right at 10 mph.

SEA @ NYY (7:05 ET): Winds IN from right at 10 mph.

COL @ CIN (7:10 ET): Some spotty showers may be in the area so a delay of some sort is possible. No significant threat of being PPD. Winds IN from left around 10 mph.

OAK @ CLE (7:10 ET): Chance of a bit of rain early so there will be a lower-end chance of a late start. Winds mostly blowing IN from right, a bit right to left, around 10 mph.

BOS @ MIN (7:40 ET): Light 5-10 mph winds IN from center/right.

TEX @ CWS (8:10 ET): 10 mph winds blowing OUT to right.

SD @ SF (9:45 ET): 15 mph winds blowing OUT to center -- reminder that Oracle Park mitigates wind impacts, but when they’re this strong, it’s still a slight boost to bats.

LOS @ LAA (10:05 ET): Winds OUT to center at 10 mph.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Gerrit Cole (RHP), NYY | DK: $10.9k, FD: $10.6k | vs. SEA

Cole sets up as a popular target today and has the highest projected ownership on both sites. If you’re alright eating some chalk, he should be a guy who finds his way into lineups on this slate. Cole has faced a fairly brutal schedule over the last couple of months and hasn’t been the perennial stud that we’re used to seeing. However, he gets a solid match-up today and Cole has also been a bit more effective at home where he owns a 28.3% kRate and 1.05 WHIP (vs. 23.7% kRate & 1.17 WHIP on the road). Yankee Stadium has been a favorable pitcher’s park this season and there will also be some noticeable 10 mph winds blowing in from right field.

The Mariners have some decent power within their lineup but they strike out at a high clip and don’t bat for average very well. Against RHPs over the last month, Seattle owns a paltry .210 AVG (ranks 28th) and a 26.6% kRate (3rd highest). Cole has been giving up some barrels (eight barreled balls L30Days -- bottom 15th percentile) but, again, those winds blowing in should help keep flyballs in the ballpark. I’d expect six strong innings out of Cole today with a puncher’s chance at double-digit strikeouts.

George Kirby (RHP), SEA | DK: $8.7k, FD: $10k | @ NYY

We’ll turn the spotlight toward Gerrit Cole’s counterpart, RHP George Kirby. Vegas certainly sees this game setting up as a pitcher’s duel given its slate-low 7-run over/under. Kirby enters off one of his more impressive starts of the season, where he put up 10 strikeouts and surrendered just three hits, no walks, and no earned runs across six innings to a fairly hot Marlins offense last Tuesday. Kirby has shown extreme command of the plate this season and leads all qualified MLB starters with a 1.9% BB% on the year! He also pitched a gem of a game against this Yankees team three starts ago on May 31st when he posted a pitching line of 8.0 IP, 3 H, 0 BB, 0 ER, and 7 K -- good for 30.2 DKFP/49 FDFP.

The Yankees are sorely missing the production of Aaron Judge, who has not played since June 3rd due to a toe injury. Since that time, here are the Yankees’ offensive numbers in 386 plate appearances versus RHPs: .192 AVG (ranks last), .595 OPS (last), .261 wOBA (last), and 63 wRC+ (last). They haven’t been a huge strikeout team, with around a league average 22.3% kRate (vs. RHPs) in that span. But the main point is that they’re simply having a very difficult time getting on base and plating runs. The only concerns to be had with Kirby today are his tendency to underperform on the road (-26.7% less FPPG away) and the 12 barreled balls given up over the last 30 days (bottom 5th percentile). As long as Kirby keeps the ball inside the park, which those aforementioned winds blowing in at Yankee Stadium should help with, then he should end the evening with a great DFS output.

Justin Verlander (RHP), NYM | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8.2k | @ HOU

Has the downfall of Justin Verlander been exaggerated? Perhaps a bit. One thing is certain -- seeing these sorts of DFS price tags next to Justin Verlander’s name is a bit jarring. While the 40-year-old JV may be past his prime (even though he is the reigning AL Cy Young award winner), we still have reason to believe that he still has some gas in the tank. In eight starts this season, he’s had three truly poor outings. Those three bad starts have come against the Rays, who most still have #1 in their MLB power rankings, a Coors Field game, and a poor road outing against a red-hot Braves offense. It’s fairly safe to say that plenty of great starting pitchers would fail in those spots. In his other recent four starts, JV has put up DKFP/FDFP totals of 21.7/37, 22.7/43, 28.2/46, and 29.4/49.

Verlander returns to familiar territory where he’ll be facing his former team, the Houston Astros. In 373.2 career innings pitched in Minute Maid Park, Verlander has posted a 2.41 ERA, 2.92 xFIP, 0.88 WHIP, and 34.0% kRate. The Astros have been a very average team versus RHPs (101 wRC+ L30Days, ranks 13th) and not having Yordan Alvarez (oblique/IL) in their lineup takes an ultra-talented power bat out of the equation. Verlander’s inconsistency in 2023 makes him a difficult pitcher to blindly trust, but he is simply too cheap to completely ignore on this slate.

Other Pitchers to Consider:

Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX | DK: $11.1k, FD: $11k | @ CWS

Framber Valdez (LHP), HOU | DK: $10.2k, FD: $10.9k | vs. NYM

Marcus Stroman (RHP), CHC| DK: $8.9k, FD: $10.3k | @ PIT

Aaron Civale (RHP), CLE | DK: $7.9k, FD: $8.4k | vs. OAK

Ben Lively (RHP), CIN | DK: $7.1k, FD: $8k | vs. COL

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colin Rea (RHP), MIL

+ Rea has been a decent starter but his numbers from 11 starts this season are far from spectacular: 4.71 ERA, 4.34 xFIP, 1.41 HR/9, 15.8% HR/FB Rate, 45.1% HardHit%.

+ The D-Backs have been excellent vs. RHPs in the last two weeks (366 PA): .298 AVG, .886 OPS, .377 wOBA, .223 ISO, 136 wRC+, and 17.2% kRate.

+ D-Backs match up well versus Rea’s three primary pitch types (sinker, cutter, and 4-seamer -- 72.3% of his pitches), ranking 4th with a .285 AVG and 3rd with a .366 wOBA.

+ American Family Field has ranked as the #6 home run park this season & the D-Backs are averaging 5.69 runs/gm on the road (ranks 3rd in MLB).

+ Based on their 4.53 xFIP, the Brewers have had the 6th worst bullpen this season.

- D-Backs: 4.2 implied runs (ranks T-12th on the slate).

Favorite ARI Bats: Corbin Carroll, Christian Walker, Ketel Marte

Bargain Bat: Jake McCarthy

Cincinnati Reds vs. Noah Davis (RHP), COL

+ Reds: 5.5 implied runs (ranks 1st on the slate).

+ Rockies are rolling out RHP Noah Davis who has just 12.2 career IP in the MLB which has resulted in a 7.11 ERA, 4.07 xFIP, 1.97 WHIP, and .345 opp AVG.

+ In seven Triple-A starts, Davis put up a poor 6.31 ERA, 6.32 xFIP, 1.68 WHIP, and 1.75 HR/9 Rate.

+ Since the Reds began their nine-game win streak on June 10th, they’ve ranked 10th in wOBA, 5th in ISO, 10th in OPS, and have the 4th lowest kRate.

+ Rockies bullpen L2Wks: 4.99 ERA, 5.25 xFIP, and 1.65 WHIP -- they also burned some of their better relievers in yesterday’s tightly contested game.

+ Joey Votto still bangs.

+/- Great American Ballpark hasn’t been the launch pad that it has been in years past, but still ranks 9th in adjusted park factor -- however, there will be 10 mph winds blowing in from left field which decreases HR upside a bit.

- Even after not performing overly well yesterday, the Reds look to be another popular stack with five hitters checking in with a 13+% pOwn%.

- Thanks to their recent success, the Reds’ DFS salaries are beginning to creep up.

Favorite CIN Bats: Elly De La Cruz, Jake Fraley, TJ Friedl

Bargain Bat: Will Benson

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

San Diego Padres vs. Anthony DeSclafani (RHP), SF

+ Besides Fernando Tatis Jr. (12% pOwn%), all other projected Padres hitters have a 5% pOwn% or lower.

+ DeSclafani has been in poor form -- over his last five starts (24.0 IP): 7.13 ERA, 4.91 xFIP, 1.63 WHIP, .385 opp wOBA, and 1.5 HR/9 Rate.

+ Padres are averaging over a run per game more on the road -- 4.77 runs/gm away, 3.70 runs/gm home.

+ Padres have been a top-10 offense on the road versus RHPs over the last month, ranking 8th in wOBA, ISO, and wRC+, and 9th in OPS.

+ In 106 PA vs. DeSclafani, the Padres are hitting .280 with a .401 wOBA, .301 ISO, and 13.2% kRate.

-/+ Oracle Park is not a hitter’s ballpark but, while the park design does mitigate wind factor, some 15+ mph winds blowing out will boost HR upside a bit.

- The Giants have had a great bullpen this season, ranking 3rd in xFIP, and over the last two weeks, they own a 2.38 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 0.38 HR/9 Rate.

- The back of the Padres lineup can be very unproductive -- vs. RHPs, their 5/6/7/8/9 hitters have produced an MLB-worst .202 AVG and a 27th-ranked 77 wRC+.

Favorite SD Bats: Fernando Tatis Jr., Juan Soto, Xander Bogaerts

Bargain Bat: Ha-Seong Kim

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

OF Fernando Tatis Jr., SD | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Anthony DeSclafani (RHP), SF

1B Freddie Freeman, LAD | DK: $6.1k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Reid Detmers (LHP), LAA

SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $6k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Dylan Cease (RHP), CWS

1B Paul Goldschmidt, STL | DK: $5.8k, FD: $3.7k | vs. MacKenzie Gore (LHP), WAS

OF Corbin Carroll, ARI | DK: $5.7k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Colin Rea (RHP), MIL

3B/SS Elly De La Cruz, CIN | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Noah Davis (RHP), COL

OF Christian Yelich, MIL | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Ryne Nelson (RHP), ARI

3B Jose Ramirez, CLE | DK: $5.2k, FD: $4k | vs. Ken Waldichuk (LHP) & Luis Medina (RHP), OAK

2B Nico Hoerner, CHC | DK: $4.9k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Johan Oviedo (RHP), PIT

OF Alex Verdugo, BOS | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN

3B Ryan McMahon, COL | DK: $4.3k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Ben Lively (RHP), CIN

OF Lane Thomas, WAS | DK: $4.2k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Jordan Montgomery (LHP), STL

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

OF Nolan Jones, COL | DK: $4k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Ben Lively (RHP), CIN

OF Steven Kwan, CLE | DK: $3.8k, FD: $3k | vs. Ken Waldichuk (LHP) & Luis Medina (RHP), OAK

2B/SS Geroldo Perdomo, ARI | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Colin Rea (RHP), MIL

2B Andres Gimenez, CLE | DK: $3.7k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Ken Waldichuk (LHP) & Luis Medina (RHP), OAK

1B/C Yainer Diaz, HOU | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Justin Verlander (RHP), NYM

2B Edouard Julien, MIN | DK: $3.1k, FD: $3k | vs. Kutter Crawford (RHP), BOS

OF Jordan Walker, STL | DK: $3k, FD: $2.9k | vs. MacKenzie Gore (LHP), WAS

OF Jake McCarthy, ARI | DK: $2.8k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Colin Rea (RHP), MIL

OF Mike Tauchman, CHC | DK: $2.4k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Johan Oviedo (RHP), PIT

OF Will Benson, CIN | DK: $2.4k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Noah Davis (RHP), COL

C Henry Davis, PIT | DK: $2k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Marcus Stroman (RHP), CHC

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Jake Fraley MORE than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Luis Matos LESS than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!