Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

Happy Friday, folks! With the exception of the Cubs and Orioles, today’s main slate will feature every MLB team on a huge 14-game ticket. I won’t wax poetic in this intro as there is a LOT to delve into. Here’s to making a tricky slate look EZ! Best of luck! And to all the dads out there, enjoy your Father’s Day weekend!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

MIA @ WAS (7:05 ET): Some afternoon rain may hang around and bleed into the evening hours. Moderate delay possibility here.

STL @ NYM (7:10 ET): This appears to be the most problematic game with rain coverage expected during the scheduled game time. Tough to tell just how big of a threat those storms pose so we’ll just need to double-check the forecast closer to first pitch.

COL @ ATL (7:20 ET): Temps in the mid/upper 80s for much of this game. Winds around 10 mph mostly blowing right to left, but may shift toward blowing OUT to left at times. Solid hitting conditions.

DET @ MIN (8:10 ET): Light winds blowing IN from right.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Joe Ryan (RHP), MIN | DK: $10.6k, FD: $11.4k | vs. DET

As you might expect on a 14-game Friday slate, there is no shortage of viable pitching options. We’re sort of splitting hairs when it comes to the top four arms on the slate (Gausman, McClanahan, Ryan, & Gallen). A strong case can be built for each guy, but we’ll spotlight Joe Ryan up top. Ryan has not been in absolute top form as of late, accumulating a 4.57 ERA (5.29 xFIP) over his last four starts. Fortunately, Ryan is back at home where he averages +26.3% more FPPG and owns a 2.35 ERA, 3.45 xFIP, 0.88 WHIP, and 28.9% kRate this season.

The most compelling argument for Ryan to be considered in DFS lineups today will be his match-up with a bottom-tier Detroit Tigers offense. The Tigers are hitting just .214 with a .280 wOBA, and 77 wRC+ against RHPs in the last two weeks to go along with a 27.3% kRate (2nd highest in MLB). It’s also worth noting that Ryan has increased his usage of his split finger this season, and that has been his secondary pitch (28.1% usage) behind his fastball (58.1%). The right-handed split finger has been a pitch that has mystified the Detroit Tigers this season. Against that pitch, they have a .130 AVG, .142 wOBA, .029 ISO, and a massive 45.1% kRate. We should expect Ryan to post his best outing in several weeks this evening.

Yu Darvish (RHP), SD | DK: $8.1k, FD: $9.3k | vs. TB

The mid-range pitcher pricing on this slate is filled with a slew of guys who either have questionable upside or draw difficult match-ups. Darvish has his fair share of match-up concerns today, but he will be one of the more trustworthy targets in this general salary tier. One big bonus working in Darvish’s favor is the fact that he’s pitching at home in the #2 most pitcher-friendly ballpark. While he has shown some road struggles, in six home starts this season (37.0 IP), Darvish has really excelled, procuring a 2.68 ERA, 3.11 xFIP, 1.03 WHIP, and 31.0% kRate while averaging 22.5 DKFP/39.5 FDFP per game.

While playing just about any pitcher against this Rays offense would have been borderline unthinkable earlier this season, that may not be the case right now… at least when we’re discussing a rock-solid starter like Darvish. The Rays have been much more of a mid-pack offense versus RHPs in the last two weeks, putting up a .247 AVG (ranks 15th), .320 wOBA (16th), and 108 wRC+ (12th) while striking out 24.4% of the time (8th highest). The Rays also have a lofty 29.7% kRate against Darvish’s two most utilized pitches, the sweeper and slider. Darvish’s counterpart will be the current AL Cy Young award favorite, Shane McClanahan, so the pathway to earning a win will not be easy. Regardless, Darvish is still going to be a more reliable option than other pitchers priced around him.

Bryan Woo (RHP), SEA | DK: $5.4k, FD: $6.5k | vs. CWS

There’s probably no need to delve this deep on FanDuel unless you really want a ton of big bats in your lineup, but Bryan Woo is going to make for an intriguing SP2 punt play on DraftKings. He’s one of the Mariners' top pitching prospects poised to make his third career MLB start, and his MLB home debut, tonight. Woo showed off at the Triple-A level this year, putting up a 2.05 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 34.3% kRate across nine starts (44.0 IP). He was sort of thrown to the wolves in his MLB debut, on the road against a Texas Rangers team that has consistently had one of the top offenses throughout the season -- he gave up six runs on seven hits before being pulled after two innings. Woo did bounce back in his second start against the Angels, posting a respectable pitching line of 4.2 IP (81 PC), 4 H, 1 BB, 2 ER, and 7 K -- a performance that earned him 17.5 DKFP/29 FDFP.

He’ll now face off with a bottom-five White Sox offense that has done little to incite fear in opposing RHPs this season: .669 OPS (ranks 27th), .291 wOBA (27th), and 82 wRC+ (29th). On DraftKings, 23 hitters are more expensive than Woo’s $5,400 price tag. His strikeout upside will give him the potential to flirt with 20 DKFP, which we’ll be happy with 10 times out of 10 when a pitcher is this cheap. The Mariners are also slight -125 ML favorites so if Woo can work through at least five innings, he may find himself in line to earn his first career big league win.

Other Pitchers to Consider:

Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR | DK: $11.2k, FD: $11.2k | @ TEX

Shane McClanahan (LHP), TB | DK: $11k, FD: $11k | @ SD

JP France (RHP), HOU | DK: $7k, FD: $9k | vs. CIN

Rich Hill (LHP), PIT | DK: $6.7k, FD: $8k | @ MIL

Martin Perez (LHP), TEX | DK: $6.2k, FD: $8.4k | vs. TOR

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Atlanta Braves vs. Dinelson Lamet (RHP), COL

+ Braves: 5.9 implied runs (ranks 1st on the slate).

+ Lamet is making his fourth start of the season but also performed poorly out of the bullpen for much of the season -- overall, across 21.2 IP, he has posted an ugly 10.38 ERA, 5.20 xFIP, 2.31 WHIP, .441 opp wOBA, and a high 14.9% BB%.

+ Braves rank 1st vs. RHPs in the last two weeks with the following metrics: .308 AVG, .886 OPS, .379 wOBA, and 137 wRC+.

+ Braves have a .349 xwOBA (ranks 2nd) and .171 ISO (4th) versus Lamet’s primary pitches (sliders & sinkers).

+ Braves are averaging 6.7 runs/gm over their last 11 games.

+ Solid hitting weather at Truist Park today -- the #7 most hitter-friendly park this season.

+ Rockies have had a bottom-five bullpen this season (including in park-adjusted metrics).

- Much like yesterday, many of the Braves bats will carry some very high ownership.

Favorite ATL Bats: Ronald Acuña Jr., Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies

Bargain Bat: Michael Harris II

Los Angeles Angels vs. Brady Singer (RHP), KC

+ Angels: 5.1 implied runs (ranks T-2nd on the slate).

+ Singer has had a bit of bad luck based on his 4.49 xFIP stacked up against his 6.58 ERA, but he’s not doing himself any favors by allowing a slate-high 55.6% HardHit%.

+ Singer has allowed 10 barreled balls over the last 30 days (bottom 5th percentile).

+ Versus LHBs, Singer has allowed a .402 wOBA and .247 ISO.

+ Versus RHPs in the last two weeks, the Angels rank 5th in OPS, 5th in wOBA, 1st in ISO, 4th in wRC+, and 7th in HardContact%.

+ Kauffman Stadium has ranked as the #4 hitter’s ballpark this season.

-/+ Royals bullpen has ranked mid-pack this season.

- The Angels' offense is being heavily carried by one man, Shohei Ohtani, so many of the other LAA hitters have been highly inconsistent.

Favorite LAA Bats: Shohei Ohtani, Taylor Ward, Matt Thaiss

Bargain Bat: Mickey Moniak

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Triston McKenzie (RHP), CLE

+ All D-Backs hitters have a 7% pOwn% or lower.

+ McKenzie is a great starting pitcher, but he got a late jump on the season and is making just his third 2023 start tonight -- may still have a little rust to shake off.

+ McKenzie averages -26.3% less FPPG on the road & Chase Field is a more favorable hitter’s park (#11 hitter’s park this season).

+ McKenzie also relies on strikeouts and the D-Backs have been one of the lowest strikeout teams this season -- their 19.5% kRate vs. RHPs is the 3rd lowest in MLB.

- The Guardians bullpen has a 2.98 ERA this season (ranks 2nd).

- The D-Backs offense hasn’t been as effective at home: 4.79 runs/gm versus 5.58 runs/gm on the road.

Favorite ARI Bats: Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, Christian Walker

Bargain Bat: Geraldo Perdomo

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

OF Ronald Acuña Jr., ATL | DK: $6.6k, FD: $4.6k | vs. Dinelson Lamet (RHP), COL

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Brady Singer (RHP), KC

2B/OF Mookie Betts, LAD | DK: $6.3k, FD: $4.3k | vs. John Brebbia (RHP), SF

3B Nolan Arenado, STL | DK: $5.4k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Tylor Megill (RHP), NYM

OF Corbin Carroll, ARI | DK: $5.4k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Triston McKenzie (RHP), CLE

OF Adam Duvall, BOS | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Domingo German (RHP), NYY

SS Bo Bichette, TOR | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Martin Perez (LHP), TEX

OF Jorge Soler, MIA | DK: $4.9k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Trevor Williams (RHP), WAS

OF Andrew McCutchen, PIT | DK: $4.4k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Julio Teheran (RHP), MIL

SS Carlos Correa, MIN | DK: $4.3k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Will Vest (RHP), DET

1B/OF Nolan Jones, COL | DK: $4.1k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Jared Shuster (LHP), ATL

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

OF Taylor Ward, LAA | DK: $3.9k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Brady Singer (RHP), KC

SS Orlando Arcia, ATL | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Dinelson Lamet (RHP), COL

OF Michael Harris II, ATL | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Dinelson Lamet (RHP), COL

2B/SS Mauricio Dubon, HOU | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Andrew Abbott (LHP), CIN

OF Jack Suwinski, PIT | DK: $3.6k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Julio Teheran (RHP), MIL

2B/OF Brendan Donovan, STL | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Tylor Megill (RHP), NYM

OF Mickey Moniak, LAA | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Brady Singer (RHP), KC

C Matt Thaiss, LAA | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Brady Singer (RHP), KC

1B Ryan Noda, OAK | DK: $2.7k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Taijuan Walker (RHP), PHI

1B Donovan Solano, MIN | DK: $2.4k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Will Vest (RHP), DET

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Jared Shuster MORE than 15.5 Pitching Outs

Shohei Ohtani MORE than 9.0 Hitter Fantasy Score

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!