Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

With the official conclusion of the 2022-23 NBA season, MLB is going to be the main attraction for a while until football season comes around. That may or may not mean we have a few new folks looking to give MLB DFS a try. If so, feel free to check out the “2023 MLB DFS Strategy Guide” linked in the header.

Now, it’s Tuesday so baseball fans are aware of what that means! A behemoth of a slate is on tap! With the exception of the Braves and Tigers, every MLB team is in action on this evening’s 14-game main slate. In general, the only area this slate lacks is in the value starting pitcher department. Otherwise, we have a lot of intriguing arms to choose from out of the mid-range on up, plenty of viable offensive stacks are on the board, and nine teams carry at least a 4.8-run implied total. We should have a quality selection of bargain bats to choose from that will help us fit in those more expensive pitchers and power bats. Let’s square up and tackle this slate! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

TOR @ BAL (7:05 ET): 5-10 mph winds OUT to left.

COL @ BOS (7:10 ET): Rain will be around Boston throughout the evening. As long as it’s lighter stuff that falls, there shouldn’t be any major issues. But if a heavier batch of rain rolls over the ballpark, a delay will come into play.

NYY @ NYM (7:10 ET): Winds OUT to right around 10-15 mph.

SF @ STL (7:45 ET): Winds OUT to right around 10 mph.

PIT @ CHC (8:05 ET): This game will carry the most PPD risk of the night. Rain is currently falling in Chicago this afternoon and things do not look to clear up until later tonight around 11 pm ET. It’s not overly heavy stuff but it’s simply a steady amount of rain that will carry well into the scheduled game time and may affect field conditions. With 13 other games on the slate, I’ll avoid mentioning any players from this game due to the postponement risk.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Max Scherzer (RHP), NYM | DK: $9.8k, FD: $9.4k | vs. NYY

The Subway Series kicks off in New York tonight, and Max Scherzer will be on the bump for the hosting New York Mets. Scherzer has missed some time this season, so we don’t have huge sample sizes to go off of, but he’s been lights out in his three home starts (18.0 IP) where he has posted a 0.50 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, .176 opp wOBA, and a 30.8% kRate. He averages +30.7% more FPPG when competing at the pitcher-friendly Citi Field (#5 most pitcher-friendly ballpark this season). And, while it hasn’t been the steadiest of seasons thus far, Scherzer is still showing excellent strikeout prowess with eight, nine, and ten Ks in his last three outings.

The Yankees continue to play without their AL MVP candidate, Aaron Judge (toe/IL), along with outfielder Harrison Bader (hamstring/IL), who has been one of their more productive bats when healthy this season. As a result, they’ve been a very underwhelming offense as of late. Since Judge last played on June 3rd, the Yankees have had 228 PA vs. RHPs; in that time, they’ve put up a meager .186 AVG, .588 OPS, .259 wOBA, and 62 wRC+ -- ranking 28th or worse in each category. This is simply not a match-up to be scared of at the moment. Scherzer and the Mets will be solid -160 ML favorites tonight and getting him at a sub-$10k price tag (on both sites) makes him an attractive DFS target.

Pablo Lopez (RHP), MIN | DK: $8.8k, FD: $9.8k | vs. MIL

Lopez will be another quality pitcher who sets up nicely on today’s slate and carries reasonable DFS salaries. Oddly enough, he hasn’t been all too great at home this season where he has posted a 6.11 ERA across 35.1 IP, but his 3.87 xFIP (at home) tells us he has run into a significant amount of bad luck. On the season as a whole, Lopez has put up a respectable 3.63 xFIP and 1.14 WHIP to go along with a high 28.6% kRate and a slate-best 14.4% SwStr%. As far as strikeouts go, Lopez projects better than nearly every other pitcher on today’s huge slate.

Lopez’s opponent today will be a significant factor in what should make him a strong DFS option. The Brewers have simply not been a scary offense to face this season. Over the last month versus RHPs (712 PA), they’re hitting just .207 with a .631 OPS, .279 wOBA, 72 wRC+, and a 27.1% kRate (2nd highest in that span). Also, while it’s only a 38 PA sample size, Lopez has mowed down the current Brewers roster to the tune of a .147 opp AVG, .207 opp wOBA, and 39.5% kRate! There are never any sure things in MLB DFS but Lopez is in a terrific spot today and has a great shot at racking up 8-to-10 strikeouts this evening. He won’t have the easiest pathway to earning a win, with Corbin Burnes toeing the rubber for the Brewers, but it should still be a solid night overall for Lopez.

Yonny Chirinos (RHP), TB | DK: $6.1k, FD: $6.6k | @ OAK

There are a ton of great pitchers to choose from on today’s slate so this play is only designated for the most contrarian of GPP entries. The Rays will be rolling out LHP Jalen Beeks as their starting pitcher tonight, however, he will only serve as the opener and look to cover the first two, maybe three, innings. While not confirmed, Yonny Chirinos is listed as the “probable long reliever” and should piggyback off of Beeks for the majority of the game (roughly five or six innings). In eight appearances across 34.2 IP, Chirinos has put up a strong 2.60 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. His strikeouts are way down so far this season, with a very lackluster 11.1% kRate in 2023 (19.7% kRate for his career). However, he is coming off his best outing of the year last Thursday (vs. MIN) where he covered 5.2 innings, allowing one run on five hits and striking out four while picking up the win -- a performance that earned Chirinos 19.8 DKFP/32 FDFP.

We’re all aware of how poorly the Oakland A’s have performed this season, but, lo and behold, they currently own an MLB-best six-win streak and beat the Rays in their series opener last night. Even so, Vegas is still pinning Tampa Bay with heavy -210 ML odds to win. While they haven’t been playing like it lately, the A’s still rank firmly in the bottom 10 in every major offensive category this season, and their 25.4% kRate vs. RHPs is the second-highest in the MLB. It’s far from a guarantee, but Chirinos could pick up an easy win tonight and, if all goes well, put up DFS scores in the vicinity of 20 DKFP/35 FDFP while checking in at <5% ownership. Don’t go rolling Chirinos out in any cash lineups but he’s definitely on the GPP radar, specifically as an SP2 option on DraftKings.

Other Pitchers to Consider:

Hunter Brown (RHP), HOU | DK: $10.5k, FD: $10k | vs. WAS

Corbin Burnes (RHP), MIL | DK: $9.9k, FD: $10.2k | @ MIN

Edward Cabrera (RHP), MIA | DK: $9.6k, FD: $8.8k | @ SEA

Tony Gonsolin (RHP), LAD | DK: $8.2k, FD: $8.1k | vs. CWS

Joe Musgrove (RHP), SD | DK: $7.8k, FD: $8.5k | vs. CLE

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Jordan Lyles (RHP), KC

+ Reds: 5.3 implied runs (ranks T-1st on the slate).

+ Jordan Lyles has been a disaster for much of the season and has put up a 6.84 ERA, 5.48 xFIP, 52.8% Fly Ball Rate, 8.8% Barrel%, .345 opp wOBA, and 2.20 HR/9 Rate.

+ Lyles is allowing a .259 ISO to RHBs and a .281 ISO to LHBs so both sides of the plate can hit for power against him.

+ The Reds boast an exciting young core of hitters and since calling up Elly De La Cruz a week ago, they’ve performed very well versus RHPs: 212 PA, .317 AVG, .874 OPS, .374 wOBA, .185 ISO, and 129 wRC+.

+ Reds make for an affordable DFS stack.

+ Kauffman Stadium has ranked as the #4 most hitter-friendly ballpark this season.

-/+ Royals bullpen ranks in the middle of the pack.

- On the season, the Reds rank 21st with a 92 wRC+.

Favorite CIN Bats: Elly De La Cruz, Jonathan India, Spencer Steer

Bargain Bat: TJ Friedl

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Lance Lynn (RHP), CWS

+ Dodgers: 5.0 implied runs (ranks T-5th on the slate).

+ Lynn has had some decent outings this season but those have largely come against poor offenses.

+ Lynn has also had plenty of poor outings which has led to some ugly numbers on the season: 6.72 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, .373 opp wOBA, 1.99 HR/9 Rate, 20.3% HR/FB Rate.

+ The Dodgers have excelled against RHPs at home: .357 wOBA, .223 ISO, .837 OPS, and 129 wRC+.

+ The Dodgers are averaging 5.76 runs/gm at home this season.

+ The White Sox bullpen ranks inside the bottom 10 in several key categories (ERA, xFIP, SIERA, WHIP, and HR/9 Rate).

+ The Dodgers have led the MLB with a .828 OPS over the last 14 days.

- Lynn has primarily been beaten up by LHBs and has solid results against RHBs: 3.70 xFIP, 1.19 WHIP, .296 opp wOBA, 0.87 HR/9 Rate.

Favorite LAD Bats: Freddie Freeman, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez

Bargain Bat: David Peralta

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cody Bradford (LHP), TEX

+ Angels: 8-of-9 hitters with a <10% pOwn%.

+ Angels: 4.7 implied runs (ranks 10th on the slate).

+ Rookie LHP Cody Bradford is set to make just his third career MLB start and has looked shaky in his first two outings: 10.0 IP, 7.20 ERA, 5.10 xFIP, .300 opp AVG, 1.50 WHIP, and gave up a pair of home runs.

+ Angels have been hot at the plate over the last two weeks: .809 OPS (ranks 6th), .349 wOBA (5th), .222 ISO (2nd), 122 wRC+ (4th).

+ Angels have been a top-10 offense vs. LHPs this season.

+ Globe Life Field has been the #5 most hitter-friendly ballpark this season & #1 home run ballpark.

-/+ Bradford put up an impressive 1.82 ERA in 10 Triple-A starts this season (59.1 IP), but that low ERA was backed up by a very poor 5.79 xFIP, indicating that he was the beneficiary of a lot of “good luck.”

- Rangers bullpen has been excellent lately, posting a 3.59 xFIP, 1.00 WHIP, .207 opp AVG, and 29.2% kRate over the last two weeks.

Favorite LAA Bats: Mike Trout, Taylor Ward, Shohei Ohtani

Bargain Bat: Zach Neto

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B Freddie Freeman, LAD | DK: $6.3k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Lance Lynn (RHP), CWS

OF Mike Trout, LAA | DK: $6.1k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Cody Bradford (LHP), TEX

OF Randy Arozarena, TB | DK: $5.7k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Hogan Harris (LHP), OAK

SS Bobby Witt Jr., KC | DK: $5.6k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Brandon Williamson (LHP), CIN

OF Corbin Carroll, ARI | DK: $5.5k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI

SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $5.3k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Jaime Barria (RHP), LAA

OF Kyle Schwarber, PHI | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Zach Davies (RHP), ARI

3B/SS Elly De La Cruz, CIN | DK: $4.7k, FD: $4k | vs. Jordan Lyles (RHP), KC

3B Ryan McMahon, COL | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Kutter Crawford (RHP), BOS

2B Jose Altuve, HOU | DK: $4.6k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Patrick Corbin (LHP), WAS

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

OF TJ Friedl, CIN | DK: $3.9k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Jordan Lyles (RHP), KC

C Francisco Alvarez, NYM | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Luis Severino (RHP), NYY

1B/OF Nolan Jones, COL | DK: $3.8k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Kutter Crawford (RHP), BOS

C Gary Sanchez, SD | DK: $3.7k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Tanner Bibee (RHP), CLE

3B/SS Gunnar Henderson, BAL | DK: $3.6k, FD: $3k | vs. Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR

OF Taylor Ward, LAA | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Cody Bradford (LHP), TEX

OF Daulton Varsho, TOR | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

2B/OF Mauricio Dubon, HOU | DK: $3.5k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Patrick Corbin (LHP), WAS

1B Justin Turner, BOS | DK: $3.4k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Chase Anderson (RHP), COL

OF/SS Ezequiel Duran, TEX | DK: $2.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Jaime Barria (RHP), LAA

1B/OF Ryan O’Hearn, BAL | DK: $2.7k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit, but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Chris Bassitt MORE than 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts*

Freddie Freeman MORE than 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

*Discounted Bassitt “Taco Tuesday” prop is available until 6:30 ET.

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!