Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏟

It’s another busy baseball Tuesday with a pair of doubleheaders bringing the total up to SEVENTEEN games today! We’ll have 11 games land on the main slate so it’s about that time to strap in and see what big slate recipes we can cook up. Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

Overview: Fortunately, the forecast across the country looks great today so there will be no PPD threats.

LAA @ NYY (7:05 ET): Cooler temps in the 50s but 10-15 mph winds blowing OUT to center will balance things out.

MIN @ BOS (7:10 ET): Temps in the low 50s with 10 mph winds blowing OUT to center.

TEX @ KC (7:40 ET): 15 mph crosswinds blowing right to left, possibly shifting OUT to left at times.

ARI @ STL (7:45 ET): Chance for some light rain but nothing heavy enough to stop play.

PIT @ COL (8:40 ET): Temps in the low-70s at first pitch with 20+ mph winds blowing OUT to right. Coors Field gets a sizable wind boost today and despite two subpar offenses competing in this game, a huge 13-run over/under is being pinned on this match-up.

CHC @ OAK (9:40 ET): Winds blowing OUT to center/right around 10 mph.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Spencer Strider (RHP), ATL | DK: $10.4k, FD: $10.8k | @ SD

It hasn’t been the smoothest opening for Spencer Strider in the new season, but his strikeout numbers continue to impress. He has been consistent on that front, piling up nine strikeouts in each of his three starts, equating to an elite 40.9% kRate. One thing he is struggling with is allowing quite a bit of hard contact and the average distance of 214.2 feet on batted balls against Strider places him in the bottom 5th percentile. Fortunately, Petco Park (#2 most pitcher-friendly park) is a tough place to hit out home runs so, as long as those long fly balls mostly avoid the gaps, he should be alright. Since he is reliant on strikeouts, Strider can also struggle to pitch deep into games but he has managed to make it through 5+ innings in each start thus far. The Padres are currently on an 18-inning scoring drought (sorry Tyler) and their 25.0% kRate vs. RHPs represents the 7th-highest strikeout rate in the MLB. He very well may be the highest-owned pitcher on tonight’s slate but, thanks to his monstrous ceiling, he’s also fairly likely to end the evening as an optimal play.

Marcus Stroman (RHP), CHC | DK: $8.8k, FD: $11k | @ OAK

There is quite a large pricing discrepancy on Stroman between the two major DFS sites today. He’ll most definitely be a more appealing option on DraftKings where he is $2,200 cheaper than the $11,000 FanDuel tag, but he’s still a worthy option on both sites. Stroman has jumped out to one of the more impressive starts among MLB pitchers. He has pitched six full innings in all three 2023 starts, allowing a total of two runs (1.00 ERA) paired with a stout 1.00 WHIP, 28.2% kRate, and he’s forcing a staggering 69.0% ground ball rate. Stroman will be pitching in his first road game of the new season but it’ll be at the pitcher-friendly Oakland Coliseum against a bottom-10 offense. The A’s rank 21st with a 92 wRC+ RHPs and they’re putting up just 3.67 runs/gm at home. Oakland will carry a slate-low 3.3 implied runs into tonight’s slate and the Cubbies (-185 ML) are hoisted up as heavy favorites. We should expect another strong six-plus inning performance out of Stroman this evening.

Brad Keller (RHP), KC | DK: $6.6k, FD: $8.8k | vs. TEX

Once again, there isn’t much to love among the pitching value tier but I always try to throw out a cheap arm that could feasibly work out -- mostly as an SP2 for DraftKings GPPs. Keller will be in another one of those scenarios where he’s facing the same offense in back-to-back starts. He pitched a great game against the Rangers last Wednesday, covering 6.2 innings on 105 pitches, allowing just three hits, and a single run, and he struck out seven (28.0 DKFP/48.0 FDFP). Keller has posted a quality 23.2% kRate across his 17.0 IP and he piled up the strikeouts in spring training as well, racking up 25 Ks in 20.0 IP (11.3 K/9). The Rangers are playing without a couple of their top hitters, Corey Seager and Mitch Garver, and there are really only three or four hitters in the lineup that could give Keller some real trouble. There are also five Rangers’ hitters in the current projected lineup that have at least a 28.2% kRate vs. RHPs this season. After reaching that 105 pitch count last week, we know Keller will have a long leash tonight so, pending a blowup inning, he should manage to pitch deep into this game and the Royals are only slight +105 underdogs.

Other Pitchers to Consider:

Jordan Montgomery (LHP), STL | DK: $9.5k, FD: $9.5k | vs. ARI

Logan Gilbert (RHP), SEA | DK: $8.5k, FD: $9.7k | vs. MIL

Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), TEX | DK: $7.8k, FD: $9.1k | @ KC

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks:

Colorado Rockies vs. Vince Velasquez (RHP), PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Jose Urena (RHP), COL

Non-Coors Stacks:

Baltimore Orioles vs. Josiah Gray (RHP), WAS

+ Orioles: 4.8 implied runs (4th most on the slate).

+ Orioles have been a top 10 offense vs. RHPs: .346 OBP (6th), .341 wOBA (7th), 119 wRC+ (5th), 14 HRs (T-9th).

+ Josiah Gray has a career (236.0 IP) 2.33 HR/9 Rate, 5.11 ERA, 36.2% HardHit%, and 11.1% Barrel%.

+ Nationals bullpen is among the worst in the MLB: 4.93 xFIP (5th worst) and 17.6% kRate (2nd lowest).

+ Gray has shown some poor reverse splits, allowing a .402 wOBA, .268 ISO, and 15.2% kRate to RHBs this season (46 PA).

- Gray is limiting opposing hitters to a 30.8% HardHit% and a low 84.1 mph avg exit velocity (95th percentile) this season.

Favorite BAL Bats: Adley Rutschman, Cedric Mullins, Jorge Mateo | Bargain Bat: Austin Hays

Chicago Cubs vs. Ken Waldichuk (LHP), OAK

+ Cubs have been a top-five offense vs. LHPs: .328 AVG (1st), .379 OBP (4th), .382 wOBA (4th), 136 wRC+ (5th).

+ Cubs are averaging 6.00 runs/gm in away games and have an MLB-leading 141 wRC+ on the road.

+ Waldichuk has faced some stiff competition but in his three 2023 starts (15.0 IP), he has come away with a poor 10.20 ERA, 5.68 xFIP, 1.93 WHIP, .471 opp wOBA, and .375 opp ISO.

+ A’s bullpen has an MLB-worst 6.13 xFIP and 16.4% kRate.

- Oakland Coliseum: #6 least hitter-friendly ballpark.

- Cubs are benefiting from an unsustainably high .345 BABIP.

- Cubs: 4.2 implied runs (T-14th on the slate).

Favorite CHC Bats: Nico Hoerner, Seiya Suzuki, Patrick Wisdom | Bargain Bat: Yan Gomes

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Minnesota Twins (RHBs Preferred) vs. Chris Sale (LHP), BOS

+ Chris Sale vs. RHBs (57 PA): .327 AVG, .436 wOBA, .306 ISO, 2.06 WHIP.

+ It can be argued that Sale has been a victim of a lot of bad luck (11.25 ERA backed up by a strong 3.74 xFIP) but he is still allowing a very high 48.6% HardHit% and 13.5% Barrel%.

+ Fenway Park: #3 most hitter-friendly ballpark.

+/- Twins: 4.5 implied runs (T-8th on the slate).

+/- Red Sox bullpen has been decent: 4.48 xFIP, 1.23 WHIP, and they’re only allowing 0.37 HR/9.

- Twins vs. LHPs: .218 AVG, .299 wOBA, 92 wRC+, 28.1% kRate, however, they’ve had the second-fewest PA against lefties this season.

Favorite MIN Bats: Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton, Kyle Garlick | Bargain Bat: Donovan Solano

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

OF Aaron Judge, NYY | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Jose Suarez (LHP), LAA

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DK: $6.3k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP), NYY

OF Julio Rodriguez, SEA | DK: $6.2k, FD: $4k | vs. Colin Rea (RHP), MIL

3B Rafael Devers, BOS | DK: $6k, FD: $4.4k | vs. Sonny Gray (RHP), MIN

OF Kyle Tucker, HOU | DK: $5.8k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR

SS Bo Bichette, TOR | DK: $5.7k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Jose Urquidy (RHP), HOU

3B Austin Riley, ATL | DK: $5.5k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Blake Snell (LHP), SD

1B CJ Cron, COL | DK: $5.4k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Vince Velasquez (RHP), PIT

C Adley Rutschman, BAL | DK: $5.4k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Josiah Gray (RHP), WAS

OF Andrew McCutchen, PIT | DK: $5k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), COL

3B Max Muncy, LAD | DK: $4.9k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Tylor Megill (RHP), NYM

SS Carlos Correa, MIN | DK: $4.6k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Chris Sale (LHP), BOS

3B Patrick Wisdom, CHC | DK: $4.5k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Ken Waldichuk (LHP), OAK

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are projected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a 'Bargain Batter' is <$4,100 on DraftKings

2B/OF Ji Hwan Bae, PIT | DK: $4k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), COL

OF Austin Hays, BAL | DK: $3.9k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Josiah Gray (RHP), WAS

OF Lars Nootbaar, STL | DK: $3.9k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Drey Jameson (RHP), ARI

3B Ke’Bryan Hayes, PIT | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), COL

OF Jurickson Profar, COL | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.8k| vs. Vince Velasquez (RHP), PIT

OF Jared Kelenic, SEA | DK: $3.5k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Colin Rea (RHP), MIL

3B Jeimer Candelario, WAS | DK: $3.4k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

SS Anthony Volpe, NYY | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Jose Suarez (LHP), LAA

2B/SS Rodolfo Castro, PIT | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), COL

OF Cody Bellinger, CHC | DK: $3.2k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Ken Waldichuk (LHP), OAK

OF Jack Suwinski, PIT | DK: $2.7k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Jose Urena (RHP), COL

2B Luis Garcia, WAS | DK: $2.2k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Dean Kremer (RHP), BAL

1B Donovan Solano, MIN | DK: $2.1k, FD: $2.2k | vs. Chris Sale (LHP), BOS

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Brad Keller MORE than 16.5 Pitching Outs

Marcus Stroman MORE than 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

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Best of luck out there today, everyone!