Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

• Rate LineStarApp on the App store and get a shoutout on Twitter from @LineStarApp official account!

• Have questions? Check out the LineStar Tutorial Wiki.

• LineStar’s 2024 MLB DFS Primer & Strategy Guide ⚾

Top DFS Offers 9/13/24 💸

Our editors found the top deals in sports-books so you don’t have to! Tapping below links will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

• Sleeper DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Underdog DFS - 50% Deposit Match up to $250 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Chalkboard DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Must be 18+ (some states may require 21+) and be present in an eligible state; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

OnDeck MLB DFS & Prop Bet Podcasts 🎙️

Like, Subscribe, and Comment @ LineStar YouTube channel! You never know when we’ll shout you out or give you something cool. New episodes drop Mon-Fri feat. hosts Shannon Sommerville & Tyler Wiemann! Every episode is quick, informative, & easy to watch.

Main Slate Rundown 🏟

Keep the superstitions away on this 11-game Friday the 13th slate! With temps cooling down across the country, offense is a bit more difficult to come by and that’s only emphasized more on this slate which features plenty of quality pitchers. Coors Field is back in play today but that will be the only game that possesses an over/under above 8.5 runs. So, figuring out the productive non-Coors hitters/stacks will be the main hurdle today. A pristine week of baseball weather will also come to an end today, but we’ll really just have one game to keep an eye on (Braves vs. Dodgers).

As a heads up, I’ll be writing up the CFB newsletter and NFL main slate (w/ SNF cheatsheet included) today so with a load of research and content to get to, I’ll be keeping this MLB newsletter somewhat abbreviated. But we’ll still be searching for the best and most intriguing plays for this slate! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

🆕💣New “Dinger Report” Feature💣🆕

While many overpriced DFS services are content to sit on their hands and rarely roll out new features, that’s not how things work at LineStar! Premium LineStar subscribers now have access to the new Dinger Report. Here you’ll find all the juicy info needed when home run hunting! This tool will be very useful for both DFS lineup building and when making home run prop bets/parlays!

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• TB @ CLE (7:10 ET, 7.5 O/U): Winds around 10 mph IN from right.

• LAD @ ATL (7:20 ET, 8.5 O/U): As alluded to in the intro, we will need to monitor this game closely. Scattered showers and storms are a possibility throughout the evening. Weather in Atlanta is ‘iffy’ all weekend so I’m sure they’ll be as patient as they can be in order to get this game in since relying on a doubleheader at some point this weekend will have its own risks -- the season is also in the home stretch so rescheduling any game to a later date becomes tricky as well. Regardless, there is some real delay/PPD risk here but hitters seem to be safer than pitchers. If you’re including any Braves or Dodgers in your lineups, be sure to double-check this forecast closer to first pitch!

• CIN @ MIN (8:10 ET, 8.5 O/U): 10 mph winds IN from center/right.

• CHC @ COL (8:40 ET, 11.0 O/U): 10-15 mph winds IN from right at times. It’s still the best hitting environment on the slate.

• HOU @ LAA (9:38 ET, 8.5 O/U): 10 mph winds OUT to left.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Yusei Kikuchi (LHP), HOU | DK: $9.2k, FD: $10.5k | @ LAA

Kikuchi has been excellent since being traded over to the Astros. In his seven games with the ‘Stros, he has boasted a 3.07 ERA, 2.65 xFIP (!), .195 opp AVG, 0.98 WHIP, and a stellar 32.1% kRate. Home runs have been Kikuchi’s bugaboo across his career, and he has allowed 1.30 HR/9 with Houston. That said, we’ll love the match-up for Kikuchi today. The Angels have been awful against LHPs this season and, if we just section off their southpaw splits from the last month, we’ll find that they’ve struggled to a .196 AVG, .597 OPS, .263 wOBA, .125 ISO, 67 wRC+, and an MLB-high 31.1% kRate. He’ll be popular today but sets up as a safe, high-floor option with a chance at a ceiling performance.

Jacob deGrom (RHP), TEX | DK: $8.5k, FD: $9k | @ SEA

Kumar Rocker made a promising MLB debut yesterday (4.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K) for the Rangers and now they get Jacob deGrom back in the fold for his 2024 debut! Texas is well outside the playoff picture but it must be exciting to get these guys on the mound in the closing weeks of the season. For newer MLB followers, you may be unaware that, when healthy, deGrom is arguably the best starting pitcher in baseball. Of course, health has been deGrom’s main barrier that has derailed a potential HoF career as he hasn’t pitched more than 92 innings in a season since 2019. Following Tommy John surgery last June, deGrom will certainly face notable workload restrictions today, but his DFS price points are juuuuust at that point to where he’s worth some consideration. He’s going to need a load of Ks to return value today but he looked as sharp as ever across 10.2 IP in his minor league rehab outings, pitching to a 0.84 ERA, 0.47 WHIP, and a massive 41.7% kRate. The Rangers were willing to let deGrom go up to 60 pitches in his most recent rehab start, but his efficiency was on full display as he needed just 49 pitches to clear four innings before being pulled. The hope tonight is that deGrom can get to around 70-75 pitches and 5.0 IP, but it will help to have some official clarity on what his workload will be. The Rangers have every reason to exercise extreme caution with deGrom as he makes his first MLB appearance in 504 days. Facing the strikeout-happy Mariners (MLB-high 27.7% kRate vs. RHPs) in the most pitcher-friendly ballpark in MLB (T-Mobile Park) makes for about as intriguing of a first match-up that deGrom could ask for.

Brady Basso (LHP), OAK | DK: $4k, FD: $6k | @ CWS

Basso made three relief appearances earlier this season before being sent down (to Triple-A) and back up to make his first career start this past Saturday. It was a promising outing for Basso against the Tigers, as he went six shutout innings on 85 pitches, allowing three hits and a walk while striking out six -- good for 23.1 DKFP/40 FDFP. Basso has typically operated as a traditional starter in the minor league where he has displayed some solid strikeout stuff (30.5% kRate in 25.1 IP in AA, 26.4% kRate in 67.2 IP in AAA). He hasn’t had the sharpest ERA/xFIP in the MiLB but he’s also facing a White Sox offense tonight that is not much better than your average minor league team. On top of the match-up, we’re obviously liking these dirt-cheap DFS prices on him today. He’s a clear value play if you’re looking to go nuts on big bats.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Dylan Cease (RHP), SD | DK: $9.4k, FD: $9.2k | @ SF

Bailey Ober (RHP), MIN | DK: $8.6k, FD: $9.8k | vs. CIN

Tanner Bibee (RHP), CLE | DK: $8.3k, FD: $8.5k | vs. TB

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

Chicago Cubs vs. Austin Gomber (LHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. Javier Assad (RHP), CHC

Non-Coors Stacks

Houston Astros vs. Sam Aldegheri (LHP), LAA

We gave Aldegheri a pitching spotlight in his last start against the Rangers and, while he did work out that day, I’m not so sure he’ll find much success against a more talented and disciplined Astros lineup today. Walks have been a problem for Aldegheri at every stop in the minor leagues and a 9.8% BB% to begin his MLB career isn’t a promising sign. It’s only a two-start sample size, but he has also allowed a sky-high 61.8% FlyBall% next to a 38.2% HardHit%. Aldegheri went straight from Double-A to the big leagues and, after facing the Mariners and Rangers, this should easily be his most difficult MLB match-up to date.

Favorite HOU Bats: Yordan Alvarez, Jose Altuve, Yainer Diaz

Bargain Bat: Shay Whitcomb

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP), ARI

E-Rod hasn’t been sharp in his six MLB starts this season, coming away with a 5.83 ERA, 6.16 xERA, 1.53 WHIP, and 13.5% kRate. Rodriguez has also given up eight barreled balls L30Days, placing him in the bottom 10th percentile of pitchers. The Brewers have been a top-10 team against LHPs over the last month and their .214 ISO ranks second in MLB during that stretch, so they can definitely bring the lumber to this match-up. Arizona’s bullpen has also been struggling in its own right, posting a 5+ ERA L30Days.

Favorite MIL Bats: Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, Willy Adames

Bargain Bat: Garrett Mitchell

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

San Francisco Giants vs. Dylan Cease (RHP), SD

Every hitter in the projected Giants lineup has a < 8% pOwn%. On paper, this is a smash spot for Dylan Cease. However, since the beginning of August, Cease has posted a lackluster 4.86 ERA, 4.39 xFIP, 1.53 WHIP, and an 11.4% BB%. Cease could snap back into form at any moment but he did also just make his last start against this same Giants team six days ago, in which he also wasn’t sharp (6.0 IP, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 ER, 4 K). Generally speaking, when teams get to face the same starting pitcher twice in the span of a week, the advantage tends to fall in the direction of the offense. We’ll see if that comes into play here. Cease is also projected around 20-25% ownership on both sites so any combination of Giants bats represents some solid leverage on an 11-game slate.

Favorite SF Bats: Matt Chapman, Mike Yastrzemski, Michael Conforto

Bargain Bat: Jerar Encarnacion

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet below for your chance to win prizes!

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

No picks from me today but, as usual, Tyler & Shannon have ya covered with some great recommendations in the props video posted at the top of this newsletter!

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for a month of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus deposit match for new customers.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!