Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

• Rate LineStarApp on the App store and get a shoutout on Twitter from @LineStarApp official account!

• Have questions? Check out the LineStar Tutorial Wiki.

• LineStar’s 2024 MLB DFS Primer & Strategy Guide ⚾

Top DFS Offers 6/7/24 💸

Our editors found the top deals in sports-books so you don’t have to! Tapping below links will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

• Sleeper DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Underdog DFS - 50% Deposit Match up to $250 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Chalkboard DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Must be 18+ (some states may require 21+) and be present in an eligible state; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

OnDeck MLB DFS & Prop Bet Podcasts 🎙️

Like, Subscribe, and Comment @ LineStar YouTube channel! You never know when we’ll shout you out or give you something cool. New episodes drop Mon-Fri feat. hosts Shannon Sommerville & Tyler Wiemann! Every episode is quick, informative, & easy to watch.

Main Slate Rundown 🏟

A healthy 10-game Friday slate arrives to send us into the weekend! I wouldn’t label this as an amazing pitching slate, but there are certainly plenty of viable arms at each salary tier. As outdoor temps get warmer by the week, we’re seeing some league-wide offensive numbers slowly creep up as well, so the routine high-scoring summertime slates are right around the corner. Several intriguing series match-ups begin today but arguably none are more compelling than the Dodgers vs. Yankees series, which currently features two of the top 2024 World Series favorites. It should be a great weekend of baseball, so let’s head into it on a high note! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

🆕💣New “Dinger Report” Feature💣🆕

While many overpriced DFS services are content to sit on their hands and rarely roll out new features, that’s not how things work at LineStar! Premium LineStar subscribers now have access to the new “Dinger Report” feature on the desktop website (coming to the mobile app soon). Here you’ll find all the juicy info needed when home run hunting! This tool will be very useful for both DFS lineup building and when making home run prop bets/parlays!

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• LAD @ NYY (7:05 ET, 9.0 O/U): 10-15 mph winds OUT to center. Low-end chance of a light mid-game shower.

• CHC @ CIN (7:10 ET, 8.5 O/U): Light 5-10 mph winds OUT to left/center.

• BOS @ CWS (8:10 ET, 8.0 O/U): Winds OUT to left around 10 mph.

• SEA @ KC (8:10 ET, 9.0 O/U): This will be the lone trouble spot to keep an eye on. Some ugly storms are in the forecast but, as of now, they’re tracking to arrive after the game. As long as that storm line holds off, there shouldn’t be any major issues here. It will be worth giving this forecast a final look closer to first pitch before locking any players into your DFS pool.

• HOU @ LAA (9:38 ET, 8.5 O/U): Winds OUT to left around 10 mph.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Garrett Crochet (LHP), CWS | DK: $8.9k, FD: $10.9k | vs. BOS

In a season where there have been plenty of surprises among starting pitchers, Crochet may be the biggest revelation of the bunch. After exclusively serving as a reliever prior to this season, Crochet has emerged as one of the premiere strikeout artists in his first season as a full-time starter. His 3.49 ERA may not scream “ace caliber” but Crochet’s 33.7% kRate currently leads all MLB starters, his 2.19 xERA ranks 2nd, and his 2.50 xFIP ranks 3rd. He has also posted some unreal home splits -- in seven games (39.2 IP) at home this season, Crochet is rocking a 2.50 ERA, 1.71 xFIP, 0.86 WHIP, .176 opp AVG, and an absurd 39.9% kRate.

The Red Sox have a very capable offense and they just poured in 14 runs on 24 hits in last night’s series opener. But they’re a team we’ve been attacking whenever they’re up against a lefty starter who is proficient at striking batters out. Crochet certainly fits that profile. Some may recall Braves LHP Max Fried, not normally known as a high strikeout pitcher, racked up a career-high 13 Ks against the Red Sox earlier this week. On the season, Boston’s 28.3% kRate vs. LHPs is the highest in MLB by a wide margin. Their 100 wRC+ vs. LHPs indicates they’re precisely a league-average offense against southpaws, so they could do some damage versus Crochet. But the obvious draw here is Corchet’s strikeout upside which could easily offset whatever run damage Boston puts up. Crochet has scored no fewer than 23.7 DKFP/39 FDFP in six consecutive starts and it’s be a surprise if he doesn’t extend that high floor streak tonight.

Chris Bassitt (RHP), TOR | DK: $8.3k, FD: $8.7k | @ OAK

Bassitt is not going to blow you away on the stat sheet (4.13 ERA, 4.06 xFIP, 1.45 WHIP, 21.9% kRate) but he has generally found ways to put up solid DFS scores in the majority of starts. He has also been trending nicely over his last handful of starts. In Bassitt’s previous five games (29.0 IP), he has come away with a 4-1 record, 2.48 ERA, 3.69 xFIP, 1.17 WHIP, and 23.4% kRate. He’ll be returning to his old stomping grounds in Oakland where he played for six seasons between 2015-2021. Bassitt owns a sharp 2.39 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 48 career games at the Oakland Coliseum.

The A’s were a relatively hot offense for a few weeks but they’ve since come crashing back to earth. Against RHPs L2Weeks, they’re hitting for just a .193 AVG, .539 OPS, .244 wOBA, .086 ISO, 61 wRC+, and 26.7% kRate; each of those figures ranks bottom three in the MLB during that span. Now let’s do a quick dive into the pitch mix match-up. Bassitt has an extensive repertoire that features eight different pitch types. However, his main pitch mix consists of the sinker (40.2% of pitches), cutter (19.1%), and curveball (14.2%). That bodes well as the A’s currently own an MLB-worst .219 AVG and rank 27th with a .304 wOBA against that three-pitch mix (from RHPs). Toronto steps in as moderately strong -162 ML road favorites so Bassitt will be a good bet to snag the win bonus as well. Overall, he’ll be a quality option out of the mid-range.

Logan Allen (LHP), CLE | DK: $6.9k, FD: $6.5k | @ MIA

Allen was originally scheduled to serve as a “bulk reliever” behind opener Nick Sandlin in Wednesday’s game against the Royals, but that game was ultimately postponed. Allen is now back in line as a traditional starter and he’ll have some appeal as a bargain bin play under $7k on both DK and FD. Allen hasn’t been great by any stretch this season and he brings a lackluster 5.83 ERA, 4.26 xFIP, 1.55 WHIP, and 19.7% kRate into his 13th start of the year. The fact that his xFIP is over a run-and-a-half lower than his ERA does show that he’s been getting fairly unlucky, and he has pitched better than the ERA would indicate. Also, prior to falling victim to Coors Field in his last start, Allen was on a nice little run with a three-game stretch between May 12th and May 24th where he procured a 1.53 ERA, 3.18 xFIP, 1.25 WHIP, and 23.9% kRate.

Aside from his low salaries, much of Allen’s appeal will come from his match-up. The Marlins have had quite a few issues against lefty pitching and, against LHPs over the last month, they have posted a .234 AVG (ranks 20th), .613 OPS (25th), .272 wOBA (25th), .093 ISO (25th), 74 wRC+ (25th), and 22.5% kRate (11th highest). Miami also ranks dead last in MLB with a .258 wOBA versus Logan Allen’s pitch mix of four-seamer, cutter, changeup, and sweeper. Despite the promising match-up, Allen’s upside is questionable, at best, but he could push for a 20 DKFP/35 FDFP type of score in what is expected to be a low-scoring affair (7.5 O/U, T-2nd lowest on the slate).

Other Pitchers to Consider

Nick Lodolo (LHP), CIN | DK: $9.6k, FD: $10.3k | vs. CHC

Framber Valdez (LHP), HOU | DK: $8.2k, FD: $7.9k | @ LAA

Michael King (RHP), SD | DK: $8k, FD: $9.5k | vs. ARI

Logan Webb (RHP), SF | DK: $7.7k, FD: $8.9k | @ TEX

Cooper Criswell (RHP), BOS | DK: $7k, FD: $6.1k | @ CWS

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Justin Steele (LHP), CHC

+ Reds: 4.6 implied runs (ranks 4th on the slate).

+ The Reds have been outstanding vs. LHPs L2Weeks: .330 AVG, .978 OPS, .425 wOBA, .209 ISO, 175 wRC+, and 15.4% kRate.

+ Steele has not looked anywhere near as good as the last couple of seasons. Over his last five starts, Steele has come away with a 5.14 ERA, 4.19 xFIP, .344 opp wOBA, and 1.90 HR/9 Rate.

+ In 69 PA vs. Steele, the current Reds roster owns a .339 AVG and .388 wOBA.

+ The Cubs have had a bottom-five bullpen L2Weeks: 5.73 ERA, 4.56 xFIP, 1.54 WHIP, and 1.43 HR/9 Rate.

+ Great American Ballpark is a great environment for hitters and there will be some light 5-10 mph winds blowing out this evening.

+ There is not much ownership expected on Reds bats with every hitter having a < 10% pOwn%.

- Steele is a better pitcher than his 2024 results would indicate and he could “figure it out” at any moment.

- Despite the hitter-friendly confines of GABP, the Reds are averaging a lackluster 4.13 runs/gm at home this season.

Favorite CIN Bats: Spencer Steer, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson

Bargain Bat: Stuart Fairchild

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cody Poteet (RHP), NYY

+ Dodgers: 4.8 implied runs (ranks T-1st on the slate).

+ After a brief slump, the Dodgers bats have begun to wake back up. Over their last seven games, they’ve posted a .286 AVG, .869 OPS, .375 wOBA, .216 ISO, and 147 wRC+.

+ Against Poteet’s primary three pitches (sinker, four-seamer, changeup), the Dodgers rank 4th with a .347 wOBA, 4th with a .175 ISO, and 6th with a 90.5 mph average exit velo.

+ Yankee Stadium has ranked as the #9 home run ballpark this season and there will be 10-15 mph winds blowing out to center tonight.

-/+ It’s a small sample size, but Poteet has looked good in his two MLB starts this season (2.45 ERA, 2.75 xFIP, 0.91 WHIP, 23.8% kRate), however, he had a 4+ ERA across seven starts at the Triple-A level this year and regression is going to hit sooner rather than later.

-/+ The Yankees have had a solid bullpen L2Weeks: 2.97 ERA, 3.89 xFIP, 1.10 WHIP. However, it’s worth noting that they did use five relievers in last night’s game and at least a couple of those guys (Clay Holmes & Tommy Kahnle, both threw 22+ pitches) probably won’t be available tonight.

- As usual, the core LAD bats are going to cost a pretty penny.

Favorite LAD Bats: Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Mookie Betts

Bargain Bat: Jason Heyward

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

Kansas City Royals vs. Bryce Miller (RHP), SEA

+ Outside of Bobby Witt Jr (13% pOwn%), every other Royals hitter in the projected lineup has a < 5% pOwn%.

+ The Royals have ranked as the #2 home offense this season, averaging 5.47 runs/gm (vs. 4.23 runs/gm away).

+ Against RHPs at home, the Royals have posted a .280 AVG (1st), .796 OPS (2nd), .346 wOBA (2nd), .174 ISO (5th), 118 wRC+ (5th), and 16.3% kRate (1st).

+ Bryce Miller is a great young pitcher but he has shown some notably worse splits on the road: 4.76 ERA, 4.51 xFIP, 17.4% kRate, 2.54 HR/9 Rate, -47.1% less FPPG.

+ Miller has some poor statcast results L30Days: 91.8 mph average exit velo (bottom 10th percentile), 203.0 feet average batted-ball distance (bottom 10%), and seven barreled balls (bottom 15%).

+ Based on Park Factor, Kauffman Stadium has ranked as the #1 hitter’s ballpark this season.

- The Mariners bullpen has been great L2Weeks: 2.50 ERA, 3.05 xFIP, 0.86 WHIP, 28.9% kRate.

Favorite KC Bats: Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, Salvador Perez

Bargain Bat: Hunter Renfroe

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

1B/OF Shohei Ohtani, LAD | DK: $6.5k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Cody Poteet (RHP), NYY

OF Aaron Judge, NYY | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4.9k | vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP), LAD

3B Jose Ramirez, CLE | DK: $6.3k, FD: $4.2k | vs. Ryan Weathers (LHP), MIA

SS Bobby Witt Jr., KC | DK: $6.2k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Bryce Miller (RHP), SEA

SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $5.5k, FD: $4k | vs. Logan Webb (RHP), SF

OF Fernando Tatis Jr., SD | DK: $5.5k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI

OF Yordan Alvarez, HOU | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Griffin Canning (RHP), LAA

OF Luis Robert Jr., CWS | DK: $5.2k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Cooper Criswell (RHP), BOS

1B Spencer Steer, CIN | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.5k | vs. Justin Steele (LHP), CHC

OF Julio Rodriguez, SEA | DK: $5.1k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Daniel Lynch IV (LHP), KC

OF Tyler O’Neill, BOS | DK: $5k, FD: $3k | vs. Garrett Crochet (LHP), CWS

3B Matt Chapman, SF | DK: $4.8k, FD: $3k | vs. Michael Lorenzen (RHP), TEX

1B/3B Vlad Guerrero Jr., TOR | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Hogan Harris (LHP), OAK

SS Ezequiel Tovar, COL | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3k | vs. Lance Lynn (RHP), STL

OF Seiya Suzuki, CHC | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Nick Lodolo (LHP), CIN

2B/3B Luis Rengifo, LAA | DK: $4.4k, FD: $3k | vs. Framber Valdez (LHP), HOU

OF Corbin Carroll, ARI | DK: $4.4k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Michael King (RHP), SD

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

2B Nolan Gorman, STL | DK: $3.8k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Austin Gomber (LHP), COL

C Tyler Stephenson, CIN | DK: $3.7k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Justin Steele (LHP), CHC

2B Jonathan India, CIN | DK: $3.6k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Justin Steele (LHP), CHC

1B/3B Jake Burger, MIA | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Logan Allen (LHP), CLE

OF Heliot Ramos, SF | DK: $3.3k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Michael Lorenzen (RHP), TEX

SS Masyn Winn, STL | DK; $3.2k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Austin Gomber (LHP), COL

OF Jake Meyers, HOU | DK: $3k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Griffin Canning (RHP), LAA

C Mitch Garver, SEA | DK: $3k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Daniel Lynch IV (LHP), KC

SS Zach Neto, LAA | DK: $3k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Framber Valdez (LHP), HOU

OF Stuart Fairchild, CIN | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Justin Steele (LHP), CHC

OF Jason Heyward, LAD | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Cody Poteet (RHP), NYY

OF Hunter Renfroe, KC | DK: $2.9k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Bryce Miller (RHP), SEA

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet below for your chance to win prizes!

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Garrett Crochet MORE than 7.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

Justin Steele LESS than 30.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!