Penned By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter and LineStar Chat.

• Rate LineStarApp on the App store and get a shoutout on Twitter from @LineStarApp official account!

• Have questions? Check out the LineStar Tutorial Wiki.

• LineStar’s 2024 MLB DFS Primer & Strategy Guide ⚾

Top DFS Offers 5/28/24 💸

Our editors found the top deals in sports-books so you don’t have to! Tapping below links will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

• Sleeper DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Underdog DFS - 50% Deposit Match up to $250 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

• Chalkboard DFS - Deposit Match up to $100 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Must be 18+ (some states may require 21+) and be present in an eligible state; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

OnDeck MLB DFS & Prop Bet Podcasts 🎙️

Like, Subscribe, and Comment @ LineStar YouTube channel! You never know when we’ll shout you out or give you something cool. New episodes drop Mon-Fri feat. hosts Shannon Sommerville & Tyler Wiemann! Every episode is quick, informative, & easy to watch.

Main Slate Rundown 🏟

I hope everyone enjoyed the long Memorial Day weekend! We’re back at it with a 10-game Tuesday main slate. At first glance, this sizable slate is skewed slightly in favor of the pitching, overall, since there are a significant amount of quality starters toeing the rubber today. But we also have Coors Field in play once again along with several other offenses that have a strong chance to do some damage against the opposing SP. There also won’t be too much in the way of weather concerns today so, all-in-all, this sets up as another juicy MLB Tuesday! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied run totals and moneyline odds:

🆕💣New “Dinger Report” Feature💣🆕

While many overpriced DFS services are content to sit on their hands and rarely roll out new features, that’s not how things work at LineStar! Premium LineStar subscribers now have access to the new “Dinger Report” feature on the desktop website (coming to the mobile app soon). Here you’ll find all the juicy info needed when home run hunting! This tool will be very useful for both DFS lineup building and when making home run prop bets/parlays!

Today’s Top Dinger Odds (sorted by LineStar projected odds)

Main Slate Weather Outlook 💨🌦️☁️

Check LineStar's MLB Daily Dashboard to see an overview of the most up-to-date game forecasts.

• WAS @ ATL (7:20 ET): Warm with 10+ mph winds blowing OUT to left.

• TOR @ CWS (7:40 ET): This will be one game to keep an eye on. Rain is expected to be around during the scheduled first pitch and last an hour or two. Things do clear up later in the evening so I believe the most likely outcome is a fairly lengthy late start and play. Once they get underway, there should be no further issues. But do keep track of this game to monitor the team’s intentions to play.

• KC @ MIN (7:40 ET): A similar, but much less extreme forecast as Chicago. Some light-to-moderate isolated rainstorms may be present at first pitch. So, there will be a possibility of a late start, but it seems more likely that they’ll play without any issues. And, if they do have to start in a delay, it wouldn’t be nearly as long as the potential delay in Chicago.

• CLE @ COL (8:40 ET): A bit of very light rain in the late afternoon/early evening. Nothing that would impact play much, if at all. Winds around 10 mph blowing OUT to right/center.

• NYY @ LAA (9:38 ET): Winds near 10 mph OUT to left.

Pitchers to Consider ⚾

Freddy Peralta (RHP), MIL | DK: $10.5k, FD: $10k | vs. CHC

Pitching is fairly deep on this slate so I’m not sure I would over-prioritize spending up today but, if that is a route you’re looking to take, Peralta lands in a quality spot this evening. He checks in with a slate-leading 30.9% kRate heading into his 11th start of the season. Historically, Peralta is also a guy who has excelled at home. Only three of his starts have come at home this season, but if we go back to the beginning of 2023, Peralta has procured a spectacular 35.1% kRate, 0.93 WHIP, and 2.93 xFIP across 106.0 IP at home -- compare that to a 27.2% kRate, 1.26 WHIP, and 3.80 xFIP across 116.1 IP on the road in that same span. Those road splits are still quite strong, but much less impressive than the home splits.

The Cubs have been slumping at the plate recently, and against RHPs over the L2Weeks, they’ve managed to hit for a meager .211 AVG to go along with a sub-.300 wOBA, 94 wRC+, and 26.9% kRate. They do still have some guys who can blast one out of the ballpark, but Peralta has allowed an average exit velocity of 82.8 mph over the last 30 days, placing him in the top 95th percentile of pitchers during that span. I don’t generally like to rely too heavily on BvP data, but Peralta does have some strong, and extensive, success against the Cubs. In 117 PA versus the current Cubs roster, Peralta has held them to a minuscule .163 AVG to go along with a .280 wOBA and 30.8% kRate. While he hasn’t been immune to some lackluster outings lately, this could end up being Peralta's best all-around game since his 11 K performance against the Orioles back on April 12th.

Ben Brown (RHP), CHC | DK: $7.3k, FD: $6.9k | @ MIL

This play comes with quite a bit of inherent risk, but Ben Brown is intriguing from a GPP perspective and could be a guy who checks in around 5% ownership. Part of the risk comes from the Cubs not knowing how they want to utilize Brown -- he’s been used as a multi-inning reliever, a starter, and bounced between Triple-A and the big league club. But, across his 39.1 IP this season, he has shown some impressive stuff, specifically from a strikeout standpoint. All-in-all, he owns a respectable 3.20 ERA, 3.56 xFIP, 1.19 WHIP, and 28.0% kRate. Brown’s 13.5% SwStr% is also among the best marks on the slate, trailing only Jesus Luzardo (15.0% SwStr%), Cole Ragans (14.3%), and Zack Wheeler (13.8%) today. He started in his last outing against the Braves and, while he only threw 66 pitches, he looked sharp across his 4.0 IP where he allowed no runs on one hit and two walks while striking out six. Brown comes in on a traditional starter’s five days rest and has thrown as many as 89 pitches in a single outing this season, so he’s a decent bet to exceed 80 pitches this evening, barring a blow-up inning.

Brown will not have an easy task ahead of him as he takes on a Brewers team that ranks top-five in AVG, OPS, wOBA, ISO, and wRC+ versus RHPs this season. However, there are some Ks to be had in this lineup and Milwaukee’s 22.9% kRate ranks mid-pack. But things get a bit more interesting for Brown when we break down his pitch mix. He really only throws two pitches -- the four-seamer (61.8% of pitches), which averages 96.8 mph, and the knuckle curve (36.9% of pitches). His knuckle curve has been the real deal -- opposing batters are hitting just .138 against it and Brown has generated a superb 50.4% Whiff% on that pitch. Of course, it’s not an overly common pitch type but against RHP knuckle curves this season (MIL has seen 73 of these pitches), the Brewers rank 20th in xwOBA to go along with a lofty 37.5% kRate. So, while it is a play that could backfire pretty easily, Ben Brown brings plenty of appeal as a contrarian GPP play this evening.

Matt Waldron (RHP), SD | DK: $6.2k, FD: $8.4k | vs. MIA

We’ll spotlight another affordable option in knuckleballer Matt Waldron. Knuckleballers are a rare breed in this day and age but it has been Waldron’s go-to weapon that he has thrown on 35.7% of his pitches. Compared to a season ago, he’s added some extra velocity on that pitch in 2024 and it has led to a .218 xBA and .273 xwOBA. Overall, Waldron brings a rock-solid 23.5% kRate into his 11th start this season, and his kRate has jumped to 26.9% over his previous five starts.

Waldron will go up against a Marlins offense that ranks firmly in the bottom 10 of offenses against RHPs L2Weeks. In that span, they own a lowly .278 wOBA, .105 ISO, 80 wRC+, and 23.3% kRate. Knuckleball pitchers have a way of either mystifying opposing batters or getting completely lit up, so Waldron isn’t without his fair share of volatility. That said, the Marlins have the second-lowest implied team total on the slate (3.1 runs) and Waldron is going to be an appealing option if you’re looking to spend up on some big bats today. His $6,200 DraftKings price tag makes him a particularly intriguing SP2 play.

Other Pitchers to Consider

Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI | DK: $11k, FD: $10.8k | @ SF

Cole Ragans (LHP), KC | DK: $10.2k, FD: $10.6k | @ MIN

Max Fried (LHP), ATL | DK: $8.8k, FD: $9.8k | vs. WAS

Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR | DK: $8.5k, FD: $10.2k | @ CWS (Monitor weather)

Jesus Luzardo (LHP), MIA | DK: $8k, FD: $9.6k | @ SD

Hunter Brown (RHP), HOU | DK: $6.5k, FD: $7.4k | @ SEA

Team Stacks to Target 🎯

Disclaimer: Stacking in MLB DFS is not a requirement but it is a very common strategy used to take down GPPs. This strategy is covered in more detail in the MLB DFS strategy guide linked in the header at the top of this newsletter. Check out the MLB StackFinder on LineStar.

Obligatory Coors Field Stacks

Cleveland Guardians vs. Ryan Feltner (RHP), COL

Colorado Rockies vs. Triston McKenzie (RHP), CLE

Non-Coors Stacks

New York Yankees vs. Griffin Canning (RHP), LAA

+ Yankees: 4.7 implied runs (ranks 3rd among non-Coors teams).

+ Yankees have dominated RHPs L2Weeks: .283 AVG (5th), .855 OPS (1st), .366 wOBA (1st), .244 ISO (1st), and 141 wRC+ (1st).

+ Canning owns an ERA, xERA, and xFIP all over 5.00.

+ Canning’s statcast figures over the last month are ugly: 28.0% LineDrive%, 91.7 mph average exit velo (bottom 10th percentile), 8 barreled balls (bottom 10th percentile), and 195.8 feet average batted-ball distance (bottom 15th percentile).

+ Canning’s primary two pitches are the four-seamer & slider -- against that pitch mix (from RHPs), the Yankees own a .342 wOBA (4th), .360 xwOBA (2nd), .201 ISO (3rd), 91.8 mph average exit velo (1st), and 46.1% HardHit% (2nd).

+ In terms of Park Factor, Angel Stadium has ranked as the #1 hitter’s park this season.

- The Angels bullpen has posted a solid 3.20 ERA and .215 opp AVG L2Weeks.

- The two core NYY bats you’d want in your Yankees stacks (Judge & Soto) are very expensive.

Favorite NYY Bats: Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, Anthony Volpe

Bargain Bat: Gleyber Torres

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS

Note: There are some weather concerns here but, at the moment, it seems as if the most likely outcome is a lengthy late start and play. No issues are expected after they get going.

+ Blue Jays: 4.3 implied runs (ranks 6th among non-Coors teams).

+ The Blue Jays have been a middling offense, at best, for much of this season but they’ve found some mojo recently, specifically against righty pitching -- TOR vs. RHPs L2Weeks: .266 AVG (8th), .827 OPS (4th), .360 wOBA (3rd), .216 ISO (2nd), 136 wRC+ (3rd), and 16.2% kRate (2nd lowest).

+ Clevinger only has four MLB starts under his belt this season, but he has not found great results: 6.75 ERA, 7.13 xERA, 5.15 xFIP, 1.94 WHIP, and 202.8 feet average batted-ball distance (bottom 10th percentile).

+ Clevinger’s splits against RHBs have been awful: .407 AVG, .547 wOBA, .370 ISO, 11.57 ERA, 7.11 xFIP, and 3.86 WHIP. This bodes poorly (for Clevinger) against a righty-heavy Blue Jays lineup.

-/+ The White Sox have had a middling, at best, bullpen.

- On the season, the Blue Jays own a 90 wRC+ against RHPs when playing on the road (ranks 22nd).

Favorite TOR Bats: Vlad Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Danny Jansen

Bargain Bat: Isiah Kiner-Falefa

UPDATE: Clevinger has been scratched, and it is now Jake Woodford starting

Low-Owned Stack That Just Might Work Out 🤔

San Francisco Giants vs. Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI

+ Every hitter in the projected Giants lineup has a < 5% pOwn%.

+ Any Giants stack could provide decent leverage against Wheeler; he may not be overly chalky but should still end up being around 15-20% owned tonight.

+ Wheeler is clearly one of the top SPs in MLB, but he has shown some less-than-stellar splits on the road this season: 4.09 ERA, 3.93 xFIP, 1.23 WHIP, and 22.6% kRate (compared to his home splits: 1.77 ERA, 2.94 xFIP, 0.85 WHIP, and 30.7% kRate).

+ Wheeler has allowed seven barreled balls L30Days (bottom 20th percentile).

+ By most key metrics, the Giants have been a top-10 offense vs. RHPs L2Weeks: .287 AVG (4th), .778 OPS (6th), .344 wOBA (6th), 128 wRC+ (6th), and 15.6% kRate (lowest in MLB).

+ Giants hitters range from “affordable” to “dirt cheap”.

- Giants: 3.0 implied runs (lowest on the slate).

- Oracle Park has ranked as the #6 least hitter-friendly ballpark this season, based on Park Factor.

- It’s still Zack Wheeler, and he can routinely pitch 7+ lights-out innings against any team, any time.

- The Phillies have owned a strong bullpen L2Weeks: 2.56 ERA, 3.23 xFIP, and 1.22 WHIP.

Favorite SF Bats: Patrick Bailey, Mike Yastrzemski, Matt Chapman

Bargain Bat: Brett Wisely

One-Off Bats ☝️

A maximum of one hitter per team will be listed below. Feel free to use these players as one-off options, one-half of a two-man mini-stack, or a core piece to a full team stack.

OF Kyle Tucker, HOU | DK: $6.5k, FD: $4.5k | vs. Luis Castillo (RHP), SEA

3B Jose Ramirez, CLE | DK: $6.4k, FD: $4.7k | vs. Ryan Feltner (RHP), COL

SS Bobby Witt Jr., KC | DK: $6.2k, FD: $4.3k | vs. Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP), MIN

OF Aaron Judge, NYY | DK: $6.1k, FD: $4.6k | vs. Griffin Canning (RHP), LAA

OF Kyle Schwarber, PHI | DK: $5.5k, FD: $3.6k | vs. Erik Miller (LHP) + Giants Bullpen

OF Christian Yelich, MIL | DK: $5.5k, FD: $3.9k | vs. Ben Brown (RHP), CHC

SS Corey Seager, TEX | DK: $5.3k, FD: $4k | vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI

1B Matt Olson, ATL | DK: $5.3k, FD: $3.4k | vs. Jake Irvin (RHP), WAS

1B Vlad Guerrero Jr., TOR | DK: $5k, FD: $3.7k | vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS

OF Julio Rodriguez, SEA | DK: $5k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Hunter Brown (RHP), HOU

3B Ryan McMahon, COL | DK: $4.8k, FD: $3.8k | vs. Triston McKenzie (RHP), CLE

OF Jazz Chisholm Jr., MIA | DK: $4.7k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Matt Waldron (RHP), SD

2B/3B Luis Rengifo, LAA | DK: $4.6k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Nestor Cortes (LHP), NYY

OF Corbin Carroll, ARI | DK: $4.4k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Starter TBD, TEX

OF Tommy Pham, CWS | DK: $4.2k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Kevin Gausman (RHP), TOR

SS Carlos Correa, MIN | DK: $4.1k, FD: $3.3k | vs. Cole Ragans (LHP), KC

Bargain Batters 💸

Note: Additional hitting value may open up once all official starting lineups are released. For now, here are some cheap hitters who are already confirmed or currently expected to be on the field tonight and find themselves in a good spot to pay off their modest DFS salaries.

Default cut-off to qualify as a “Bargain Batter” is <$4,100 on DraftKings

OF Kevin Pillar, LAA | DK: $4k, FD: $3.1k | vs. Nestor Cortes (LHP), NYY

3B/SS Dylan Moore, SEA | DK: $4k, FD: $3.2k | vs. Hunter Brown (RHP), HOU

2B Gleyber Torres, NYY | DK: $3.8k, FD: $3k | vs. Griffin Canning (RHP), LAA

22 Edmundo Sosa, PHI | DK: $3.8k, FD: $2.9k | vs. Erik Miller (LHP) + Giants Bullpen

C Sean Murphy, ATL | DK: $3.5k, FD: $3k | vs. Jake Irvin (RHP), WAS

OF Leody Taveras, TEX | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Brandon Pfaadt (RHP), ARI

SS JP Crawford, SEA | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Hunter Brown (RHP), HOU

OF Jake Meyers, HOU | DK: $3.3k, FD: $2.7k | vs. Luis Castillo (RHP), SEA

2B/3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa, TOR | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.6k | vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP), CWS

C Patrick Bailey, SF | DK: $3.2k, FD: $2.8k | vs. Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI

OF Jarred Kelenic, ATL | DK: $3k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Jake Irvin (RHP), WAS

2B Otto Lopez, MIA | DK: $3k, FD: $2.5k | vs. Matt Waldron (RHP), SD

SS Brett Wisely, SF | DK: $2.5k, FD: $2.3k | vs. Zack Wheeler (RHP), PHI

Home Run Calls of the Day 💣

Make sure you’re following @LineStarApp on Twitter. Retweet the Home Run Calls of the Day tweet below for your chance to win prizes!

Ryan’s PrizePicks Power Play of the Day⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's MLB action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these picks so I don't just lightly throw them out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Jose Ramirez MORE than 9.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

Aaron Judge MORE than 1.5 Total Bases

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for MLB! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing-up for UnderDog Fantasy for 2-months of LineStar Premium (Promo code: LINESTAR). Plus $100 deposit match for new customers. What many people may not realize is that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em and it’s insanely easy.

Best of luck out there today, everyone!