Ryan Humphries | @N1TRO on LineStar | @NitroDFS on Twitter

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Another Tuesday puts a massive 14 gamer onto the menu this evening with the Yankees at Detroit being the only game excluded from the main slate action. We have a slew of high scoring games being predicted by Vegas as six match-ups currently carry double-digit totals. Coors Field and Globe Life Park are both in play and, beyond teams playing in those stadiums, there really is no shortage of strong offenses to target and load up on. On these huge slates there really is no right or wrong way to approach things but the pitching does certainly seem to be lacking in the top tier. DraftKings has also gone out of their way to, once again, inflate pitcher salaries to the point where some guys are borderline unusable ($11,200 for Zac Gallen… he has been pitching well and all but c’mon now!). Either way, there’s plenty to pick through so let’s saddle up and get to it!

Match-ups with implied totals and moneylines:

Stay up to date on all weather conditions and confirmed lineups as soon as they are released over in LineStar chat & on the Daily Dashboard!

Weather

KC @ CWS and STL @ COL: Both of these games possess very slight delay chances due to the possibility of a passing shower/storm. Neither game is overly concerning and there’s hardly any risk of postponement but do run a final check on these forecasts later on if you’re looking to use pitchers in either game. Also, as usual, Coors Field is obviously going to be the best hitting environment of the day.

TB @ TEX: With much of the country cooling down, Texas is still going do Texas things. Game time temps will hover in the low-to-mid 90s with a decent amount of humidity in the air. Two strong pitchers are taking the mound in this game so the nine run total doesn’t insinuate an overt amount of offense but we know how susceptible the over is to hitting at GLP.

Pitchers to Consider

Trevor Bauer | DK: $9.1k, FD: $8.7k | RHP | @ SEA

With guys like Walker Buehler and Max Fried, you really have to start worrying about workload limitations as the Dodgers and Braves are prepping for deep playoff runs. The Reds currently sit 10.5 games back from a wild card bid so postseason expectations are essentially dashed for them, but Bauer still should not have any sort of leash on his pitch count. He’s been abysmal lately with a 10.80 ERA (5.13 xFIP) over his last five starts (23.1 IP) but Seattle represents a pretty decent bounce back opportunity. The Mariners have a 26% kRate versus RHPs in the last month along with an 83 wRC+ (ranks 21st) while batting just .217 (28th). Aside from Bauer’s poor recent form, I am concerned with the fact that Seattle may roll out five or six lefties to the plate. Bauer has a 5.23 xFIP versus LHBs this season. However, his high 27.5% kRate and depressed salaries provide me with enough interest to consider him as a GPP play with his 30 DKFP/55 FDFP upside.

Mitch Keller | DK: $8.8k, FD: $6.1k | RHP | @ SF

Keller has two wildly varying price points between our two sites but the $8,800 DK tag does actually seem moderately acceptable from a risk/reward standpoint -- and $6,100 on FD could just end up being a straight steal. Keller’s fantasy output has been anything but consistent through his eight starts this season. However, a lot of his poor outings can be attributed simply to bad luck. His .469 BABIP will surely come back down to earth and despite an 8.18 ERA, his 3.90 xFIP sits over four runs lower. Keller’s upside today stems from his 27.9% kRate, which trails only Buehler and Gallen on this slate. He’ll also take the mound in the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park and face a Giants team that has a terrible 69 wRC+ versus RHPs over the last month (ranks 29th) alongside a 24.6% kRate. This is not an easy play to stomach just by looking at past game logs but expect Keller to have perhaps his best outing as a professional this evening.

Chase Anderson | DK: $6k, FD: $6.3k | RHP | @ MIA

Taking the easy route with the final pitcher play and simply highlighting “the guy facing the Marlins.” Anderson has terrible reverse splits this season (.301 AVG, .396 wOBA, .272 ISO vs. RHBs) so that worries me quite a bit versus a very right-handed heavy Miami team. But, for the prices, if he can simply muster up 15 DKFP/30 FDFP then I’m not going to be too upset with those results. I wouldn’t be afraid to roll out a couple Miami bats as one off plays here but at the end of the day, we should expect Anderson to do decently well in this spot and likely earn a win. Aside from Walker Buehler and the Dodgers (-330), the Brewers are the heaviest favorites of the day (-175).

Team Stacks to Target

Keep in mind, there’s no rule saying you *have* to roll out four and five man stacks. Sometimes mixing and matching two and three man stacks with some one-off hitters is the better route to take in order to give yourself more exposure to different offenses.

Coors Field & Globe Life Park Disclaimer: All four teams playing in these hitter-friendly parks can be considered ‘stackable’ by default and won’t be highlighted in this section.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Ty Blach (LHP), BAL

If Blach makes it through five innings against this Dodgers lineup it may be considered a slight miracle. He has a 10.95 ERA (6.69 xFIP) this season with a 2.19 HR/9 rate while allowing 49.4% Hard Contact and a .349 batting average. He’s not an MLB caliber pitcher at this point. Plenty of Dodger bats fall into play here but the preferred options would have to be Cody Bellinger, Justin Turner, and AJ Pollock.

Cleveland Indians vs. Jose Suarez (LHP), LAA

Jose Suarez has allowed an absurd 60.3% Hard Contact Rate in the last month and is getting ready to face an extremely righty-heavy Indians lineup. Versus RHBs this season, Suarez is permitting a .335 AVG, .431 wOBA, .277 ISO and 3.02 HR/9 with a 1.89 WHIP and only a 16.1% kRate. This could be a quick outing for the Angels rookie this evening. Carlos Santana, Francisco Lindor, and Franmil Reyes are some of the more favorable bats to target.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Zack Wheeler (RHP), NYM

Unless you’re rolling out a ton of lineups, a 14 game slate doesn’t require you to get too contrarian. But if you are looking to go that route, using some D-backs against what appears to be a broken Wheeler may work out. In his last five starts (27 IP), Wheeler has a 5.00 ERA (5.94 xFIP), 1.78 WHIP, 10.9% kRate, and .327 opponent average. He seems to have lost a ton of control over the plate considering his 9.4% Walk Rate nearly eclipses his strikeout rate. This is a huge game with NL playoff implications, as Arizona is currently 2.5 GB and the Mets sit 4 GB from a wild card berth. Ketel Marte, Wilmer Flores, and Eduardo Escobar are a few guys to consider while Josh Rojas makes for an interesting punt, especially if he continues to bat second.

One-Off Hitters

Here I’ll highlight players at [roughly] different price points (high, mid, low) that could be used as a ‘one-off’ piece in lineups -- or perhaps part of a two man mini-stack.

3B Eugenio Suarez (RHB) | DK: $4.6k, FD: $4.1k | vs. Justus Sheffield (LHP), SEA

This is simply a case of grabbing some shares of a hitter while he’s hot. Suarez has nine hits over his last four games with a combined four home runs. He has hit 11 bombs in the last month and he boasts a .735 wOBA+ISO against LHPs on the year. Sheffield doesn’t have many professional innings to his name but his 6.05 xFIP and 1.96 HR/9 Rate in Triple-A this year (12 starts, 55 IP) leads me to believe Suarez will have a strong shot at launching another one out of the park.

OF Harrison Bader (RHB) | DK: $3.9k, FD: $3k | vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez (RHP), COL

Just looking to get a relatively cheap Coors Field bat here because Chi Chi Gonzales has been downright terrible. Bader isn’t exactly a candidate to knock multiple home runs out or anything but he is a reverse splits hitter, so the righty on righty match-up isn’t much concern here. Also, his best splits this year have easily come from when he faces a righty on the road in which he has a .286 AVG, .348 wOBA, and 116 wRC+ with ten XBH in 105 at bats. He’s going to be stuffed in the back of the order but considering the Cardinals have a slate high 7.1 run implied team total, everyone is capable of getting a piece of the action tonight.

1B/OF Ryan McBroom (RHB) | DK: $2k, FD: $2.4k | vs. Ivan Nova (RHP), CWS

September brings a load of minor league call-ups so there is really no shortage of minimum/near-minimum salaried bats to choose from. McBroom only has 21 MLB plate appearances to his name but he is hitting .320 with just a 9.5% kRate. Across 117 games in Triple-A this year, McBroom knocked out 26 homers with a .315 AVG, .411 wOBA, and .259 ISO. After a pretty productive stretch of starts in July and August, Ivan Nova is back to looking like a very unreliable MLB starter. He has neutral splits which means he doesn’t excel against either righties or lefties, so the RvR match-up isn’t a negative factor here. For $2k/$2.4k price tags, you need very little from McBroom for him to produce strong value and make room for pricier pitchers or bigger bats.

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